Chapter 05
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Course
180.367
Subject
Economics
Date
Jan 9, 2024
Type
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47
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1.
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The Narnian stock market had a rate of return of 45% last year, but the inflation rate was 30%. What was the real rate of return to Narnian investors?
Note: Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
Rate of return
11.54
%
Explanation:
1 +
r
Real
= (1 +
r
Nominal
) ÷ (1 +
i
) = (1 + 0.45) ÷ (1 + 0.30) = 1.1154
r
Real
= 11.54%
Worksheet
Difficulty: 1 Basic
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Problems - Algorithmic & Static
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You are considering the choice between investing $50,000 in a conventional 1-year bank CD offering an interest rate of 5% and a 1-year “Inflation-Plus” CD offering 1.5% per year plus the rate of inflation.
Required:
a.
Which is the safer investment?
b.
Can you tell which offers the higher expected return?
c.
If you expect the rate of inflation to be 3% over the next year, which is the better investment?
d.
If we observe a risk-free nominal interest rate of 5% per year and a risk-free real rate of 1.5% on inflation-indexed bonds, can we assume that the entire difference between risk-free nominal interest rate and a risk-free real
rate is inflation rate?
a. Which is the safer investment?
1-year “Inflation-Plus” CD
b. Which offers the higher expected return?
Cannot be determined
c. Which is the better investment?
Conventional CD
d. Can we infer about the market’s expectation of the inflation rate?
No
Explanation:
a.
The “Inflation-Plus” CD is the safer investment because it guarantees the purchasing power of the investment. Using the approximation that the real rate equals the nominal rate minus the inflation rate, the CD provides a real
rate of 1.5% regardless of the inflation rate.
b.
The expected return depends on the expected rate of inflation over the next year. If the expected rate of inflation is less than 3.5% then the conventional CD offers a higher expected real return than the inflation-plus CD; if the
expected rate of inflation is greater than 3.5%, then the opposite is true.
c.
If you expect the rate of inflation to be 3% over the next year, then the conventional CD offers you an expected real rate of return of 2%, which is 0.5% higher than the real rate on the inflation-protected CD. But unless you
know that inflation will be 3% with certainty, the conventional CD is also riskier. The better investment depends on your attitude towards inflation risk versus return. You might choose to diversify and invest part of your funds in
each.
d.
No. We cannot assume that the entire difference between the risk-free nominal rate (on conventional CDs) of 5% and the real risk-free rate (on inflation-protected CDs) of 1.5% is the expected rate of inflation. Part of the
difference is probably a risk premium associated with the uncertainty surrounding the real rate of return on the conventional CDs. This implies that the expected rate of inflation is less than 3.5% per year.
Worksheet
Difficulty: 1 Basic
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Problems - Algorithmic & Static
References
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Suppose your expectations regarding the stock price are as follows:
State of the Market
Probability
Ending Price
HPR (including
dividends)
Boom
0.35
$ 140
44.5%
Normal growth
0.30
110
14.0
Recession
0.35
80
−16.5
Use the equations
and
to compute the mean and standard deviation of the HPR on stocks.
Note: Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.
Mean
14.00
%
Standard deviation
25.52
%
Explanation:
E(r) = [0.35 × 44.5%] + [0.30 × 14.0%] + [0.35 × (−16.5%)] = 0.1400 or 14%
σ
2
= [0.35 ×
(44.5 − 14)
2
] + [0.30 ×
(14 − 14)
2
] + [0.35 ×
(−16.5 − 14)
2
] = 651.175
= 0.2552 or 25.52%
The mean is unchanged, but the standard deviation has increased, as the probabilities of the high and low returns have increased.
Worksheet
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Problems - Algorithmic & Static
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4.
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Derive the probability distribution of the 1-year HPR on a 30-year U.S. Treasury bond with an 8% coupon if it is currently selling at par and the probability distribution of its yield to maturity a year from now is as shown in the table
below. (Assume the entire 8% coupon is paid at the end of the year rather than every 6 months. Assume a par value of $100.)
Note: Leave no cells blank - be certain to enter "0" wherever required. Negative values should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.
$
$
$
Economy
Probability
YTM
Price
Capital Gain
Coupon
Interest
HPR
Boom
0.20
11.0 %
74.05
(25.95)
8.00
(17.95)
%
Normal Growth
0.50
8.0 %
100.00
0.00
8.00
8.00
%
Recession
0.30
7.0 %
112.28
12.28
8.00
20.28
%
Explanation:
The price of the bond will be the present value of all future coupon payments plus the final principal payment, discounted by the appropriate yield to maturity. Using the present value of an annuity formula, prices are calculated
as follows:
Capital gains, if any, will be difference between the market value and the par value of the bond, calculated as follows:
$74.05 − $100 = −$25.95
$100.00 − $100 = $0
$112.28 − $100 = $12.28
Since coupon interest is paid annually (at the end of the year) and the bond has been held for one year, one single coupon payment has been distributed: 0.08 × 100 = $8.00
The holding period return will be the rate of return based on any capital gains earned plus the single coupon received, relative to the par value of the bond:
Worksheet
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Problems - Algorithmic & Static
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What is the standard deviation of a random variable
q
with the following probability distribution?
Note: Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer in numbers not in percentage. Round your answer to 4 decimal places.
Value of q
Probability
0
0.25
1
0.25
2
0.50
Standard deviation
0.8292
Explanation:
E(
q
) = (0 × 0.25) + (1 × 0.25) + (2 × 0.50) = 1.25
σ
q =
[0.25 × (0 − 1.25)
2
+ 0.25 × (1 − 1.25)
2
+ 0.50 × (2 − 1.25)
2
]
1/2
= 0.8292
Worksheet
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Problems - Algorithmic & Static
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The continuously compounded annual return on a stock is normally distributed with a mean of 20% and standard deviation of 30%. With 95.44% confidence, we should expect its actual return in any particular year to be between
which pair of values?
Hint
: Refer to
Figure 5.4
.
Which pair of values?
−40.0% and 80.0%
Explanation:
With probability 95.44%, the value of a normally distributed variable will fall within 2 standard deviations of the mean; that is, between −40% and 80%. Simply add and subtract 2 standard deviations to and from the mean.
Worksheet
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Problems - Algorithmic & Static
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7.
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Using historical risk premiums from
Table 5.5
over the 1927−2021 period as your guide, what would be your estimate of the expected annual HPR on the Big/Value portfolio if the current risk-free interest rate is 3%?
Note: Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
Expected annual HPR
15.02 %
Explanation:
From Table 5.5, the average risk premium of Big/Value for the period 1927-2021 was: 12.02% per year.
Adding 12.02% to the 3% risk-free interest rate, the expected annual HPR for the Big/Value portfolio is: 3.00% + 12.02% = 15.02%.
Worksheet
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Problems - Algorithmic & Static
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During a period of severe inflation, a bond offered a nominal HPR of 80% per year. The inflation rate was 70% per year.
Required:
a.
What was the real HPR on the bond over the year?
b.
Find the approximation
. Compare your answer in part b to the one in part a.
Note: Round your answers to 2 decimal places.
Real HPR
5.88
%
Approximation
10.00
%
Explanation:
a.
r
real
= ((1 +
r
nominal
) ÷ (1 +
i)
) − 1 = (
r
nominal
−
i
) ÷ (1 +
i)
= (0.80 − 0.70) ÷ 1.70 = 0.0588, or 5.88%
b.
r
nominal
−
i
= 0.80 − 0.70 = 0.10 ≈ r
real
≈ 10.00%
Clearly, the approximation gives a real HPR that is too high.
Worksheet
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Problems - Algorithmic & Static
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Suppose that the inflation rate is expected to be 3% in the near future using the historical data provided in
Table 5.3
and
Table 5.5
, what would be your predictions for the following?
Note: Round your answers to 2 decimal places.
a.
The T-bill rate?
3.38
%
b.
The expected rate of return on the Big/Value portfolio?
15.40
%
c.
The risk premium on the stock market?
Remains unchanged
Explanation:
From Table 5.3, the average real rate on T-bills has been 0.38%.
a.
T-bills: 0.38% real rate + 3% inflation = 3.38%
b.
Expected return on Big/Value:
3.38% T-bill rate + 12.02% historical risk premium (from Table 5.5) = 15.40%
c.
The risk premium on stocks remains unchanged. A premium, the difference between two rates, is a real value, unaffected by inflation.
Worksheet
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Problems - Algorithmic & Static
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10.
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An economy is making a rapid recovery from steep recession, and businesses foresee a need for large amounts of capital investment. Why would this development affect real interest rates?
Real interest rates are expected to
rise
. The investment activity will shift the demand for funds curve (in
Figure 5.1
) to the
right
. Therefore the equilibrium real interest rate will
increase
.
Explanation:
No further explanation details are available for this problem.
Worksheet
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Problems - Algorithmic & Static
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11.
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You are faced with the probability distribution of the HPR on the stock market index fund given in
spreadsheet 5.1
of the text. Suppose the price of a put option on a share of the index fund with exercise price of $110 and time to
expiration of 1 year is $12.
Required:
a.
What is the probability distribution of the HPR on the put option?
b.
What is the probability distribution of the HPR on a portfolio consisting of one share of the index fund and a put option?
c.
In what sense does buying the put option constitute a purchase of insurance in this case?
Required A
Required B
Complete this question by entering your answers in the tabs below.
What is the probability distribution of the HPR on the put option?
Note: Negative amounts should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.
Required A
Required B
Required C
$
$
STOCK
PUT
State of the
Economy
Probability
Ending Price +
Dividend
HPR
Stock
Ending Value
HPR
Put
Excellent
0.25
131.00
31.00
%
0.00
(100.00)
%
Good
0.45
114.00
14.00
%
0.00
(100.00)
%
Poor
0.25
93.25
(6.75)
%
20.25
68.75
%
Crash
0.05
48.00
(52.00)
%
64.00
433.33
%
Explanation:
a.
Probability distribution of the HPR on the stock market and put:
Remember that the cost of the index fund is $100 per share, cash dividends are from Spreadsheet 5.1 (and vary each year), and the cost of the put option is $12.
b.
The cost of one share of the index fund plus a put option is $112. The probability distribution of the HPR on the portfolio is:
HPR:
Excellent = ($131 − $112) ÷ $112 = 17.0%
Good = ($114 − $112) ÷ $112 = 1.8%
Poor = ($113.50 − $112) ÷ $112 = 1.3%
Crash = ($112 − $112) ÷ $112 = 0.0%
c.
Buying the put option guarantees the investor a minimum HPR of 0.0% regardless of what happens to the stock's price. Thus, it offers insurance against a price decline.
Worksheet
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Problems - Algorithmic & Static
References
11.
Award:
10.00
points
Problems?
Adjust credit
for all students.
You are faced with the probability distribution of the HPR on the stock market index fund given in
spreadsheet 5.1
of the text. Suppose the price of a put option on a share of the index fund with exercise price of $110 and time to
expiration of 1 year is $12.
Required:
a.
What is the probability distribution of the HPR on the put option?
b.
What is the probability distribution of the HPR on a portfolio consisting of one share of the index fund and a put option?
c.
In what sense does buying the put option constitute a purchase of insurance in this case?
Required A
Required C
Complete this question by entering your answers in the tabs below.
What is the probability distribution of the HPR on a portfolio consisting of one share of the index fund and a put option?
Note: Round your answers to 2 decimal places.
Required A
Required B
Required C
$
STOCK + PUT
State of the
Economy
Probability
Ending Price +
Put + Dividend
HPR
Stock + Put
Excellent
0.25
131.00
17.00
%
Good
0.45
114.00
1.80
%
Poor
0.25
113.50
1.30
%
Crash
0.05
112.00
0.00 %
Explanation:
a.
Probability distribution of the HPR on the stock market and put:
Remember that the cost of the index fund is $100 per share, cash dividends are from Spreadsheet 5.1 (and vary each year), and the cost of the put option is $12.
b.
The cost of one share of the index fund plus a put option is $112. The probability distribution of the HPR on the portfolio is:
HPR:
Excellent = ($131 − $112) ÷ $112 = 17.0%
Good = ($114 − $112) ÷ $112 = 1.8%
Poor = ($113.50 − $112) ÷ $112 = 1.3%
Crash = ($112 − $112) ÷ $112 = 0.0%
c.
Buying the put option guarantees the investor a minimum HPR of 0.0% regardless of what happens to the stock's price. Thus, it offers insurance against a price decline.
Worksheet
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Problems - Algorithmic & Static
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11.
Award:
10.00
points
Problems?
Adjust credit
for all students.
You are faced with the probability distribution of the HPR on the stock market index fund given in
spreadsheet 5.1
of the text. Suppose the price of a put option on a share of the index fund with exercise price of $110 and time to
expiration of 1 year is $12.
Required:
a.
What is the probability distribution of the HPR on the put option?
b.
What is the probability distribution of the HPR on a portfolio consisting of one share of the index fund and a put option?
c.
In what sense does buying the put option constitute a purchase of insurance in this case?
Required B
Required C
Complete this question by entering your answers in the tabs below.
In what sense does buying the put option constitute a purchase of insurance in this case?
Required A
Required B
Required C
It offers insurance
against a price decline.
Explanation:
a.
Probability distribution of the HPR on the stock market and put:
Remember that the cost of the index fund is $100 per share, cash dividends are from Spreadsheet 5.1 (and vary each year), and the cost of the put option is $12.
b.
The cost of one share of the index fund plus a put option is $112. The probability distribution of the HPR on the portfolio is:
HPR:
Excellent = ($131 − $112) ÷ $112 = 17.0%
Good = ($114 − $112) ÷ $112 = 1.8%
Poor = ($113.50 − $112) ÷ $112 = 1.3%
Crash = ($112 − $112) ÷ $112 = 0.0%
c.
Buying the put option guarantees the investor a minimum HPR of 0.0% regardless of what happens to the stock's price. Thus, it offers insurance against a price decline.
Worksheet
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Problems - Algorithmic & Static
References
12.
Award:
10.00
points
Problems?
Adjust credit
for all students.
You are faced with the probability distribution of the HPR on the stock market index fund given in
spreadsheet 5.1
of the text. Suppose the price of a put option on a share of the index fund with exercise price of $110 and time to
expiration of 1 year is $12, and suppose the risk-free interest rate is 6% per year. You are contemplating investing $107.55 in a 1-year CD and simultaneously buying a call option on the stock market index fund with an exercise
price of $110 and expiration of 1 year.
What is the probability distribution of your dollar return at the end of the year?
Note: Round your answers to 2 decimal places.
$
$
$
State of the
Economy
Probability
Ending Value
of CD
Ending Value
of Call
Combined
Value
Excellent
0.25
114.00
16.50
130.50
Good
0.45
114.00
0.00
114.00
Poor
0.25
114.00
0.00
114.00
Crash
0.05
114.00
0.00
114.00
Explanation:
No further explanation details are available for this problem.
Worksheet
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Problems - Algorithmic & Static
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13.
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Consider these long-term investment data:
The price of a 10-year $100 par value zero-coupon inflation-indexed bond is $84.49.
A real-estate property is expected to yield 2% per quarter (nominal) with a SD of the (effective) quarterly rate of 10%.
Compute the annual rate on the real (i.e., inflation-indexed) bond.
Note: Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
Real bond annual rate
1.70
%
Explanation:
Total return of the bond is ($100 ÷ $84.49) = 1.1836. With
t
= 10, the annual rate on the real bond is
EAR =
1.1836
1/10
− 1 = 1.70%.
Total return of the bond is ($100 ÷ $84.49) = 1.1836. With
t
= 10, the annual rate on the real bond is
EAR = 1.1836
1/10
− 1 = 1.70%.
Worksheet
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Problems - Algorithmic & Static
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You purchased a bond 81 days ago for $921.95. You received an interest payment of $32.00 74 days ago. Today the bond’s price is $1,047.64.
What is the holding period return (HPR) on the bond as of today?
Note: Negative value should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
HPR
17.10
%
Explanation:
The holding period return reflects the capital gain (or loss) and any income received from the investment. HPR is calculated according to the formula
Worksheet
Difficulty: 1 Basic
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Additional Algorithmic Problems
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15.
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You are the manager of the Mighty Fine mutual fund. The following table reflects the activity of the fund during the last quarter. The fund started the quarter on January 1 with a balance of $80 million.
Mighty Fine Mutual Fund
Monthly Data (measured at end of month)
January
February
March
6.7
−4.3
0
HPR (%)
−0.30
6.80
6.80
Required:
a.
Calculate the quarterly arithmetic average return on the fund.
Note: Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
Arithmetic average
4.43
%
b.
Calculate the quarterly geometric (time-weighted) average return on the fund.
Note: Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
Geometric average
4.38
%
c.
Calculate the quarterly dollar-weighted average return on the fund.
Note: Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
Dollar-weighted average return
6.66
%
Explanation:
a.
The arithmetic average equals the sum of the months’ returns divided by the number of months.
b.
Geometric average = [(1 − .30) × (1 + 6.80) × (1 + 6.80)]
⅓
− 1 = 4.38%
c.
To find the dollar-weighted average return, first determine the net inflows and outflows, and then calculate the internal rate of return.
January
February
March
Assets under management at beginning of month (million)
80
86.46
88.04
Investment profits during the month (HPR × Assets)
−0.24
5.88
5.99
Net inflows during the month
6.7
−4.3
0.00
Assets under management at end of month
86.46
88.04
94.03
The timing of the relevant cash flows is shown below. The initial portfolio value can be considered an outflow (investment). The ending portfolio value can be considered an inflow, as if the portfolio is liquidated at that time.
The relevant cash flows are shown below.
0
1
2
3
Net cash flow
−80
6.7
−4.3
94.03
The internal rate of return is the rate that solves the equation:
IRR = 6.66%
Worksheet
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Additional Algorithmic Problems
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Problems?
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You invested in a 3-month certificate of deposit at your bank. Your investment was $1,768, and at the end of the term you will receive $1,962.
Required:
a.
What is the holding period return (HPR) on your investment?
Note: Round your final percentage answer to 2 decimal places.
HPR
10.97
%
b.
What is the annual percentage rate (APR)?
Note: Round your final percentage answer to 2 decimal places.
APR
43.89
%
c.
What is the effective annual rate (EAR)?
Note: Round your final percentage answer to 2 decimal places.
EAR
51.66
%
Explanation:
a.
The HPR equals (1,962 – 1,768) ÷ 1,768 = 10.97%.
b.
The APR is the 3-month rate times the number of three-month periods in one year.
APR = 10.97% × (12/3) = 43.89%
c.
The EAR is calculated as
EAR = 51.66%
Worksheet
Difficulty: 1 Basic
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Additional Algorithmic Problems
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17.
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Your firm invested $2,502,300 in 310-day commercial paper today. At the end of the investment period (in 310 days) the firm will receive $2,588,700.
Required:
a.
What is the 310-day holding period rate of return on the investment?
Note: Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
HPR
3.45
%
b.
How many 310-day periods are there in one year?
Note: Use 365 days in a year. Round your answer to 4 decimal places.
Number of periods
1.1774
c.
What is the annual percentage rate APR earned on the investment?
Note: Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
APR
4.07
%
d.
What is the effective annual rate (EAR)?
Note: Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
EAR
4.08
%
Explanation:
a.
The HPR equals (2,588,700 − 2,502,300) ÷ 2,502,300 = 3.45%.
b.
There are 365 ÷ 310 = 1.1774 (rounded) 310-day periods in one year.
c.
The annual percentage rate APR is the 310-day rate times the number of 310-day periods in one year.
APR = 3.45% × 1.1774 = 4.07%
d.
The EAR may be calculated either as
1 + EAR = (1 + rate per period)
n
= (1 + 0.035)
1.1774
= 1.0408, EAR = 4.08%
or as
Worksheet
Difficulty: 1 Basic
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Additional Algorithmic Problems
References
18.
Award:
10.00
points
Problems?
Adjust credit
for all students.
The following data represent the probability distribution of the holding period returns for an investment in Lazy Rapids Kayaks (LARK) stock.
State of the Economy
Scenario #(s)
Probability,
p
(
s
)
HPR
Boom
1
0.324
30.80%
Normal growth
2
0.396
8.90%
Recession
3
0.280
-18.00%
Required:
a.
What is the expected return on LARK?
Note: Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
Expected return
8.46
%
b.
What is the standard deviation of the returns on LARK?
Note: Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
Standard deviation
18.92
%
Explanation:
a.
The expected return is
b.
The standard deviation is the square root of the variance. The variance is given by the formula
To find the variance of the returns it is helpful to set up a table for the calculations. Each column in the table below has a column number at the top (indicated in parentheses), which is used to indicate how the column is used
in calculations.
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
State of the Economy
Probability, p(s)
HPR
HPR - E(r)
(4) squared
(2) × (5)
Boom
0.324
30.80%
22.34%
0.049891476
0.016164838
Normal growth
0.396
8.90%
0.44%
0.000019044
0.000007542
Recession
0.280
-18.00%
-26.46%
0.070032212
0.019609019
VAR = sum of (6) =
0.035781400
SD =
18.92%
Worksheet
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Additional Algorithmic Problems
References
19.
Award:
10.00
points
Problems?
Adjust credit
for all students.
The common stock of Perforated Pool Liners, Incorporated now sells for $38.00 per share. The table below shows the anticipated stock price and the dividend to be paid one year from now. Both the price and the dividend will
depend on the level of growth experienced by the firm.
State
Probability, p(s)
End-of-Year Price
Annual Dividend
Super high growth
0.105
$50
$3
High growth
0.192
$50
$3
Normal growth
0.396
$56
$2
Low growth
0.172
$46
$2
No growth
0.135
$46
$0
Required:
a.
Calculate the holding period return (HPR) for each of the possible states, assuming a one-year holding period.
Note: Negative amounts should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
Super high growth
39.47
%
High growth
39.47
%
Normal growth
52.63
%
Low growth
26.32
%
No growth
21.05
%
b.
What is the expected return for a holder of Perforated Pool Liners stock?
Note: Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
Expected HPR
39.93
%
c.
What is the standard deviation of the returns?
Note: Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
Standard deviation
12.00
%
Explanation:
a.
The holding period return (HPR) for each state is calculated as
State
End-of-Year Price
Annual Dividend
HPR
Super high growth
$50
$3
(50+3−38)/38 = 39.47%
High growth
$50
$3
(50+3−38)/38 = 39.47%
Normal growth
$56
$2
(56+2−38)/38 = 52.63%
Low growth
$46
$2
(46+2−38)/38 = 26.32%
No growth
$46
$0
(46+0−38)/38 = 21.05%
b.
The expected return is
= (0.105 × 39.47%) + (0.172 × 39%) + (0.396 × 53%) + (0.172 × 26.320%) + (0.105 × ( 21.05%)) = 39.93%
c.
The standard deviation is the square root of the variance. The variance is given by the formula
since there are 5 possible outcomes. The calculations are shown in the table below. Each column in the table has a column number at the top (indicated in parentheses), which is used to indicate how the column is used in
calculations.
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
State
Probability p(
s
)
HPR (from part a)
HPR − E(
r
)
(4) squared
(2) × (5)
Super high growth
0.105
39.47%
−0.46%
0.000021
0.000002
High growth
0.192
39.47%
−0.46%
0.000021
0.000004
Normal growth
0.396
52.63%
12.70%
0.016122
0.006384
Low growth
0.172
26.32%
−13.62%
0.018546
0.003190
No growth
0.135
21.05%
−18.88%
0.035651
0.004813
Variance
0.014394
Standard deviation
12.00%
Worksheet
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Additional Algorithmic Problems
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Problems?
Adjust credit
for all students.
You earned a nominal rate of return equal to 11.10% on your investments last year. The annual inflation rate was 2.90%.
Required:
a.
What was your approximate real rate of return?
Note: Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
Approximate real rate of return
8.20
%
b.
What was your exact real rate of return?
Note: Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
Real rate of return
7.97
%
Explanation:
a.
The approximate rate of return equals the nominal rate minus the inflation rate:
r
R
−
i
= 11.10% − 2.90% = 8.20%.
b.
The exact real rate of return is calculated from the equation
r
= 7.97%.
Worksheet
Difficulty: 1 Basic
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Additional Algorithmic Problems
≅
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for all students.
If the real interest rate is 3.70% per year and the expected inflation rate is 1.40%, what is the nominal interest rate according to the Fisher equation?
Note: Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
Nominal interest rate
5.10
%
Explanation:
The Fisher equation shows the relationship
R
=
r
+
E
(
i
). In this case,
R
= 3.70% + 1.40% = 5.10%.
Worksheet
Difficulty: 1 Basic
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Additional Algorithmic Problems
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Problems?
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for all students.
Your firm recently lent Arlington Enterprises $23,140,000 for one year at an interest rate of 12.50%. Inflation during the year is expected to be 2.90%. Answer the following questions to gauge the impact of inflation on the real
interest to be paid.
Note: Round all answers to 2 decimal places.
Required:
a.
How much interest income will your firm receive from the transaction, calculated the traditional way?
$
Interest income
2,892,500.00
b.
What is the approximate real rate of interest?
Approximate real rate of interest
9.60
%
c.
What is the real portion of the interest income?
$
Real portion of interest income
2,221,440.00
d.
By how much will interest income be understated due to inflation?
$
Understated interest
671,060.00
Explanation:
a.
Interest income = 12.50% × $23,140,000 = $2,892,500.00
b.
The approximate real rate of interest = 12.50% − 2.90% = 9.60%
c.
The real portion of the interest income = 9.60% × $23,140,000 = $2,221,440.00
d.
Interest income will be understated by 2.90% × $23,140,000 = $671,060.00 due to inflation.
Worksheet
Difficulty: 1 Basic
Source: Investments (Bodie, 13e, ISBN 1266836322) > Chapter 05: Risk, Return, and the Historical Record > Chapter 05 Additional Algorithmic Problems
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1.
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10.00 points
2.
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3.
Award:
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4.
Award:
10.00 points
Over the past year, you earned a nominal rate of interest of 12% on your money. The inflation rate was 3% over the same period. The exact actual growth rate of your purchasing power was:
9.0%.
10.0%.
5.0%.
8.7%.
15.0%.
r
= (1 +
R
)÷(1 + i)
−
1 = 1.12÷1.03
−
1 = 0.087, or 8.7%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Over the past year, you earned a nominal rate of interest of 9% on your money. The inflation rate was 3% over the same period. The exact actual growth rate of your purchasing power was:
6.0%.
10.0%.
5.8%.
4.8%.
15.0%.
r
= (1 +
R
)/(1 +
i
)
−
1 = 1.09/1.03
−
1 = 0.058, or 5.8%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
A year ago, you invested $1,000 in a savings account that pays an annual interest rate of 9%. What is your approximate annual real rate of return if the rate of inflation was 2% over the year?
5%
10%
7%
3%
None of the options are correct.
9%
−
2% = 7%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
A year ago, you invested $10,000 in a savings account that pays an annual interest rate of 5%. What is your approximate annual real rate of return if the rate of inflation was 1.5% over the year?
3.5%
10%
7%
4%
None of the options are correct.
5%
−
1.5% = 3.5%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
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If the annual real rate of interest is 6%, and the expected inflation rate is 2%, the nominal rate of interest would be approximately:
1%.
8%.
20%.
15%.
None of the options are correct.
6% + 2% = 8%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
If the annual real rate of interest is 3.0%, and the expected inflation rate is 4.0%, the nominal rate of interest would be approximately:
3.7%.
7.0%.
2.5%.
−
1.2%.
None of the options are correct.
3% + 4% = 7%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
You purchased a share of stock for $25. One year later, you received $1 as a dividend and sold the share for $29. What was your holding-period return?
45%
20%
5%
40%
None of the options are correct.
HPR = (P
sell
−
P
buy
+ Div) ÷ P
buy
= ($29
−
$25 + $1) ÷ $25 = 0.20 or 20%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
You purchased a share of stock for $68. One year later, you received $5.00 as a dividend and sold the share for $74.50. What was your holding-period return?
12.50%
16.91%
13.65%
11.80%
None of the options are correct.
HPR = (P
sell
−
P
buy
+Div) ÷ P
buy
= ($74.50
−
$68.00 + $5.00) ÷ $68 = 0.1691 or 16.91%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
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Which of the following determine(s) the level of real interest rates?
I. The supply of savings by households and business firms
II. The demand for investment funds
III. The government's net supply and/or demand for funds
I only
II only
I and II only
I, II, and III
None of the options are correct.
The value of savings by households is the major supply of funds; the demand for investment funds is a portion of the total demand for funds; the government's position can be one of either net supplier or net demander of funds.
The above factors constitute the total supply and demand for funds, which determine real interest rates.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Which of the following statement(s) is(are)
true
?
I. The real rate of interest is determined by the supply and demand for funds.
II. The real rate of interest is determined by the expected rate of inflation.
III. The real rate of interest can be affected by actions of the Fed.
IV. The real rate of interest is equal to the nominal interest rate plus the expected rate of inflation.
I and II only
I and III only
III and IV only
II and III only
I, II, III, and IV only
The expected rate of inflation is a determinant of nominal, not real, interest rates. Real rates are determined by the supply and demand for funds, which can be affected by the Fed.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Which of the following statement(s) is(are)
true
?
Nominal interests account for inflation.
The nominal rate of interest is almost never greater than the real rate of interest.
Certificates of deposit offer a guaranteed real rate of interest.
None of the options are true.
All of the options are true.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Other things equal, an increase in the government budget deficit:
drives the interest rate down.
drives the interest rate up.
might not have any effect on interest rates.
increases business prospects.
None of the options are correct.
An increase in the government budget deficit, other things equal, causes the government to increase its borrowing, which increases the demand for funds and drives interest rates up.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
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16.
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Ceteris paribus, a decrease in the demand for loans:
drives the interest rate down.
drives the interest rate up.
might not have any effect on interest rates.
results from an increase in business prospects and a decrease in the level of savings.
increases the quantity demanded for loans.
A decrease in demand, ceteris paribus, always drives interest rates down. An increase in business prospects would increase the demand for funds. The savings level affects the supply of, not the demand for, funds.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
The holding-period return (HPR) on a share of stock is equal to:
the capital gain yield during the period plus the inflation rate.
the capital gain yield during the period plus the dividend yield.
the current yield plus the dividend yield.
the dividend yield plus the risk premium.
the change in stock price.
The HPR of any investment is the sum of the capital gain and the cash flow over the period, which for common stock is the capital gain yield during the period plus the dividend yield.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Historical records regarding return on stocks, Treasury bonds, and Treasury bills between 1926 and 2021 show that:
stocks offered investors greater rates of return than bonds and bills.
stock returns were less volatile than those of bonds and bills.
bonds offered investors greater rates of return than stocks and bills.
bills outperformed stocks and bonds.
Treasury bills always offered a rate of return greater than inflation.
The historical data show that, as expected, stocks offer a greater return and greater volatility than the other investment alternatives. Inflation sometimes exceeded the T-bill return.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
If the interest rate paid by borrowers and the interest rate received by savers accurately reflect the realized rate of inflation,
borrowers gain and savers lose.
savers gain and borrowers lose.
both borrowers and savers lose.
neither borrowers nor savers gain nor lose.
both borrowers and savers gain.
If the described interest rate accurately reflects the rate of inflation, both borrowers and lenders are paying and receiving, respectively, the real rate of interest; thus, neither group gains.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
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19.
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You have been given this probability distribution for the holding-period return for KMP stock:
Stock of the Economy
Probability
HPR
Boom
0.30
18%
Normal growth
0.50
12%
Recession
0.20
–5%
What is the expected holding-period return for KMP stock?
10.40%
9.32%
11.63%
11.54%
10.88%
HPR
= 0.30 × (18%) + 0.50 × (12%) + 0.20 × (
−
5%) = 10.4%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
You have been given this probability distribution for the holding-period return for KMP stock:
Stock of the Economy
Probability
HPR
Boom
0.30
18%
Normal growth
0.50
12%
Recession
0.20
–5%
What is the expected standard deviation for KMP stock?
6.91%
8.13%
7.79%
7.25%
8.85%
σ
= [0.30 × (18% − 10.4%)
2
+ 0.50 × (12% − 10.4%)
2
+ 0.20
× (−5% − 10.4%)
2
]
0.5
= 8.13%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
You have been given this probability distribution for the holding-period return for KMP stock:
Stock of the Economy
Probability
HPR
Boom
0.30
18%
Normal growth
0.50
12%
Recession
0.20
–5%
What is the expected variance for KMP stock?
0.6604%
0.6996%
0.7704%
0.6372%
0.7845%
2
= 0.30 × (18% − 0.104)
2
+ 0.5 × (12% − 0.104)
2
+ 0.20 × (−5% − 0.104)
2
= 0.6604%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
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23.
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If the nominal return is constant, the after-tax real rate of return:
declines exponentially as the inflation rate increases.
increases as the inflation rate increases.
declines as the inflation rate declines.
increases exponentially as the inflation rate decreases.
declines as the inflation rate increases and increases as the inflation rate decreases.
Inflation rates have an inverse effect on after-tax real rates of return.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
The risk premium for common stocks:
must always be zero, for investors would be unwilling to invest in common stocks.
must always be positive, in theory.
is negative, as common stocks are risky.
cannot be zero, for investors would be unwilling to invest in common stocks and must always be positive, in theory.
cannot be zero, for investors would be unwilling to invest in common stocks and is negative, as common stocks are risky.
If the risk premium for common stocks were zero or negative, investors would be unwilling to accept the lower returns for the increased risk.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
If a portfolio had a return of 18%, the risk-free asset return was 5%, and the standard deviation of the portfolio's excess returns was 34%, the risk premium would be:
13%.
18%.
49%.
12%.
29%.
18%
−
5% = 13%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
You purchase a share of Duke Energy Stock stock for $90. One year later, after receiving a dividend of $3, you sell the stock for $92. What was your holding-period return?
4.44%
2.22%
3.33%
5.56%
None of the options are correct.
HPR
= (P
sell
−
P
buy
+ Div) ÷ P
buy
= ($92
−
$90 + $3) ÷ $90 = 0.0556 = 5.56%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
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27.
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Coca Cola stock has the following probability distribution of expected prices one year from now:
State
Probability
Price
1
25%
$ 50
2
40%
$ 60
3
35%
$ 70
If you buy Coca Cola today for $55 and it will pay a dividend during the year of $4 per share, what is your expected holding period return on Coca Cola?
17.72%
18.89%
17.91%
18.18%
HPR =
∑
pr
3
obability ×
P
sell
-
P
buy
+
Div
P
buy
= (0.25 × ($50
−
$55 + $4) ÷ $55 ) + (0.40 × ($60
−
$55 + $4) ÷ $55) + (0.35 × ($70
−
$55 + $4) ÷ $55
= 0.1818, or 18.18%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
Which of the following factors would
not
be expected to affect the nominal interest rate?
The supply of loans
The demand for loans
The coupon rate on previously issued government bonds
The expected rate of inflation
Government spending and borrowing
The nominal interest rate is affected by supply, demand, government actions, and inflation. Coupon rates on previously issued government bonds reflect historical interest rates but should not affect the current level of interest
rates.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
If a portfolio had a return of 11%, the risk-free asset return was 6%, and the standard deviation of the portfolio's excess returns was 25%, the risk premium would be:
14%.
6%.
35%.
21%.
5%.
11%
−
6% = 5%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
In words, the real rate of interest is approximately equal to:
the nominal rate minus the inflation rate.
the inflation rate minus the nominal rate.
the nominal rate times the inflation rate.
the inflation rate divided by the nominal rate.
the nominal rate plus the inflation rate.
The actual relationship is (1 + real rate) = (1 + nominal rate) ÷ (1 + inflation rate). This can be approximated by the equation: Real rate = nominal rate
−
inflation rate.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
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If the Federal Reserve lowers the Fed Funds rate, ceteris paribus, the equilibrium levels of funds lent will _________, and the equilibrium level of real interest rates will _________.
increase; increase
increase; decrease
decrease; increase
decrease; decrease
reverse direction from their previous trends; reverse direction from their previous trends
A lower Fed Funds rate would encourage banks to make more loans, which would increase the money supply. The supply curve would shift to the right and the equilibrium level of funds would increase while the equilibrium
interest rate would fall.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
"Bracket Creep" happens when:
tax liabilities are based on real income and there is a negative inflation rate.
tax liabilities are based on real income and there is a positive inflation rate.
tax liabilities are based on nominal income and there is a negative inflation rate.
tax liabilities are based on nominal income and there is a positive inflation rate.
too many peculiar people make their way into the highest tax bracket.
A positive inflation rate typically leads to higher nominal income. Higher nominal income means people will have higher tax liabilities and in some cases will put them in higher tax brackets. This can happen even when real income
has declined.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
The holding-period return (HPR) for a stock is equal to:
the real yield minus the inflation rate.
the nominal yield minus the real yield.
the capital gains yield minus the tax rate.
the capital gains yield minus the dividend yield.
the dividend yield plus the capital gains yield.
HPR consists of an income component and a price change component. The income component on a stock is the dividend yield. The price change component is the capital gains yield.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
You have been given this probability distribution for the holding-period return for Cheese, Incorporated stock:
Stock of the Economy
Probability
HPR
Boom
0.20
24%
Normal growth
0.45
15%
Recession
0.35
8%
Assuming that the expected return on Cheese's stock is 14.35%, what is the standard deviation of these returns?
4.72%
6.30%
4.38%
5.74%
None of the options are correct.
= [0.20 × (24% − 14.35%)
2
+ 0.45 × (15% − 14.35%)
2
+ 0.35 × (8% − 14.35%)
2
]
0.5
= 5.74%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
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32.
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33.
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34.
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An investor purchased a bond 45 days ago for $985. He received $15 in interest and sold the bond for $980. What is the holding-period return on his investment?
1.02%
0.50%
1.92%
0.01%
HPR = (P
sell
−
P
buy
+ Coupon) ÷ P
buy
= ($980
−
$985 + $15)
÷
$985 = 0.0102 = 1.02%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
An investor purchased a bond 63 days ago for $980. He received $17 in interest and sold the bond for $987. What is the holding-period return on his investment?
1.52%
2.45%
1.92%
2.68%
HPR = (P
sell
−
P
buy
+ Coupon)
÷
P
buy
= ($987
−
$980 + $17) ÷ $980 = 0.0245 = 2.45%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
Over the past year, you earned a nominal rate of interest of 8% on your money. The inflation rate was 3.5% over the same period. The exact actual growth rate of your purchasing power was:
15.55%.
4.35%.
5.02%.
4.81%.
15.04%.
r
= ((1 +
R
) ÷ (1 +
i
))
−
1 = (1.08 ÷ 1.035)
−
1 = 0.0435 = 4.35%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Over the past year, you earned a nominal rate of interest of 14% on your money. The inflation rate was 2% over the same period. The exact actual growth rate of your purchasing power was:
11.76%.
16.00%.
15.02%.
14.32%.
r
= (1 +
R
) ÷ (1 +
i
)
−
1 = 1.14 ÷ 1.02
−
1 = 0.1176 = 11.76%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
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36.
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37.
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38.
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39.
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Over the past year, you earned a nominal rate of interest of 12.5% on your money. The inflation rate was 2.6% over the same period. The exact actual growth rate of your purchasing power was:
9.15%.
9.90%.
9.65%.
10.52%.
r
= (1 +
R
) ÷ (1 +
i
)
−
1 = 1.125 ÷ 1.026
−
1 = 0.965 = 9.65%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
A year ago, you invested $1,000 in a savings account that pays an annual interest rate of 6%. What is your approximate annual real rate of return if the rate of inflation was 2% over the year?
4%
2%
6%
3%
6%
−
2% = 4%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
A year ago, you invested $10,000 in a savings account that pays an annual interest rate of 3%. What is your approximate annual real rate of return if the rate of inflation was 4% over the year?
1%
−
1%
7%
3%
3%
−
4% =
−
1%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
A year ago, you invested $2,500 in a savings account that pays an annual interest rate of 5.7%. What is your approximate annual real rate of return if the rate of inflation was 1.6% over the year?
4.1%
2.5%
2.9%
1.6%
5.7%
−
1.6% = 4.1%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
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41.
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42.
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43.
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A year ago, you invested $2,500 in a savings account that pays an annual interest rate of 3.5%. What is your approximate annual real rate of return if the rate of inflation was 5.5% over the year?
0.9%
−
2.0%
5.9%
2.0%
3.5%
−
5.5% =
−
2.0%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
A year ago, you invested $12,000 in an investment that produced a return of 16%. What is your approximate annual real rate of return if the rate of inflation was 4% over the year?
18%
2%
12%
15%
16%
−
4% = 12%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
If the annual real rate of interest is 2.5%, and the expected inflation rate is 1.0%, the nominal rate of interest would be approximately:
3.5%.
2.5%.
1%.
6.8%.
None of the options are correct.
2.5% + 1.0% = 3.5%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
If the annual real rate of interest is 2.5%, and the expected inflation rate is 3.4%, the nominal rate of interest would be approximately:
5.9%.
0.9%.
–0.9%.
7%.
None of the options are correct.
2.5% + 3.4% = 5.9%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
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45.
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46.
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47.
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If the annual real rate of interest is 4%, and the expected inflation rate is 2%, the nominal rate of interest would be approximately:
6%.
3%.
1%.
5%.
None of the options are correct.
4% + 2% = 6%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
You purchased a share of stock for $12. One year later, you received $0.50 as a dividend and sold the share for $13.25. What was your holding-period return?
9.75%
10.65%
11.75%
14.58%
None of the options are correct.
HPR = (P
sell
−
P
buy
+ Div) ÷ P
buy
= ($13.25
−
$12.00 + $0.50) / $12.00 = 0.1458 = 14.58%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
You purchased a share of stock for $120. One year later, you received $1.82 as a dividend and sold the share for $136. What was your holding-period return?
15.67%
22.12%
18.85%
13.24%
None of the options are correct.
HPR = (P
sell
−
P
buy
+ Div)
÷
P
buy
= ($136
−
$120 + $1.82) ÷ $120 = 0.1485
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
You purchased a share of stock for $65. One year later, you received $2.37 as a dividend and sold the share for $63. What was your holding-period return?
0.57%
−
0.26%
−
0.89%
5.70%
None of the options are correct.
HPR = (P
sell
−
P
buy
+ Div)
÷
P
buy
= ($63
−
$65 + $2.37) ÷ $65 = 0.0057 = 0.57%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
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You have been given this probability distribution for the holding-period return for a stock:
Stock of the Economy
Probability
HPR
Boom
0.40
22%
Normal growth
0.35
11%
Recession
0.25
–9%
What is the expected holding-period return for the stock?
11.67%
8.33%
9.56%
12.4%
None of the options are correct.
HPR =
∑
3
probablity × HPR
state
= 0.40 × 0.22 + 0.35 × 0.11 + 0.25 × (
−
0.09)
= 0.104
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
You have been given this probability distribution for the holding-period return for a stock:
Stock of the Economy
Probability
HPR
Boom
0.40
22%
Normal growth
0.35
11%
Recession
0.25
−
9%
What is the expected standard deviation for the stock?
2.07%
9.96%
7.04%
1.44%
None of the options are correct.
= [0.40 × (22% − 10.4%)
2
+ 0.35 × (11% − 10.4%)
2
+ 0.25 × (-9% − 10.4%)
2
]
0.5
= 12.17%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
You have been given this probability distribution for the holding-period return for a stock:
Stock of the Economy
Probability
HPR
Boom
0.40
22%
Normal growth
0.35
11%
Recession
0.25
−
9%
What is the expected variance for the stock?
1.42%
1.90%
1.77%
1.48%
None of the options are correct.
2
= 0.40 (22% − 0.104)
2
+ 0.35 (11% − 0.104)
2
+ 0.25 (−9% − 0.104)
2
= 1.48%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
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51.
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52.
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53.
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54.
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Which of the following measures of risk best highlights the potential loss from extreme negative returns?
Standard deviation
Variance
Upper partial standard deviation
Value at risk (VaR)
None of the options are correct.
Only VaR measures potential loss from extreme negative returns.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Over the past year, you earned a nominal rate of interest of 3.6% on your money. The inflation rate was 3.1% over the same period. The exact actual growth rate of your purchasing power was:
3.6%.
3.1%.
0.48%.
6.7%.
r
= (1 +
R
) ÷ (1 +
I
)
−
1; 1.036 ÷ 1.031
−
1 = 0.48%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
A year ago, you invested $1,000 in a savings account that pays an annual interest rate of 4.3%. What is your approximate annual real rate of return if the rate of inflation was 3% over the year?
4.3%
−
1.3%
7.3%
3.0%
None of the options are correct.
4.3%
−
3.0% = 1.3%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
If the annual real rate of interest is 3.5%, and the expected inflation rate is 3.5%, the nominal rate of interest would be approximately:
0.0%.
3.5%.
12.3%.
7.0%.
3.5% + 3.5% = 7.0%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
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56.
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You purchased a share of CSCO stock for $20. One year later, you received $2 as a dividend and sold the share for $31. What was your holding-period return?
45%
50%
60%
40%
None of the options are correct.
HPR = (P
sell
−
P
buy
+ Div)
÷
P
buy
= ($31
−
$20 + $2) ÷ $20 = 0.65 = 65%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
You have been given this probability distribution for the holding-period return for GM stock:
Stock of the Economy
Probability
HPR
Boom
0.40
30%
Normal growth
0.40
11%
Recession
0.20
–10%
What is the expected holding-period return for GM stock?
10.4%
11.4%
12.4%
13.4%
14.4%
HPR =
∑
3
Probability × HPR
state
= 0.40 × 0.30 + 0.40 × 0.11 + 0.20 × (
−
0.10)
= 0.144 = 14.4%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
You have been given this probability distribution for the holding-period return for GM stock:
Stock of the Economy
Probability
HPR
Boom
0.40
30%
Normal growth
0.40
11%
Recession
0.20
–10%
What is the expected standard deviation for GM stock?
16.91%
16.13%
13.79%
15.25%
14.87%
σ
= [0.40 (30% − 14.4%)
2
+ 0.40 × (11% − 14.4%)
2
+ 0.20 × (−10% − 14.4%)
2
]
0.5
= 14.87%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
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58.
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59.
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60.
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61.
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You have been given this probability distribution for the holding-period return for GM stock:
Stock of the Economy
Probability
HPR
Boom
0.40
30%
Normal growth
0.40
11%
Recession
0.20
−
10%
What is the expected variance for GM stock?
200.00%
2.21%
246.37%
14.87%
16.13%
2
= 0.40 (30% − 14.4%)
2
+ 0.40 × (11% − 14.4%)
2
+ 0.20 (−10% − 14.4%)
2
= 2.21%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
You purchase a share of CAT stock for $90. One year later, after receiving a dividend of $4, you sell the stock for $97. What was your holding-period return?
14.44%
12.22%
13.33%
5.56%
HPR = (P
sell
−
P
buy
+ Div) ÷ P
buy
= ($97
−
$90 + $4) ÷ $90 = 0.1222 = 12.22%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
When comparing investments with different horizons, the _________ provides the more accurate comparison.
arithmetic average
effective annual rate
average annual return
historical annual average
The effective annual rate provides the more accurate comparison of investments with different horizons because it expresses the returns in a common period.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
Annual percentage rates (APRs) are computed using:
simple interest.
compound interest.
either simple interest or compound interest.
best estimates of expected real costs.
None of the options are correct.
APRs use simple interest.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 1 Basic
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62.
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63.
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64.
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65.
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If an investment provides a 2% return semi-annually, its effective annual rate is:
2.00%.
4.00%.
4.02%.
4.04%.
None of the options are correct.
EAR
= 1.02
2
− 1 = 0.0404, or 4.04%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
If an investment provides a 1.25% return quarterly, its effective annual rate is:
5.23%.
5.09%.
4.02%.
4.04%.
EAR
= 1.0125
4
− 1 = 0.0509, or 5.09%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
If an investment provides a 0.78% return monthly, its effective annual rate is:
9.36%.
9.63%.
10.02%.
9.77%.
EAR
= 1.0078
12
− 1 = 0.0977, or 9.77%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
If an investment provides a 3% return semi-annually, its effective annual rate is:
3%.
6%.
6.06%.
6.09%.
EAR
= 1.03
2
− 1 = 0.0609, or 6.09%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
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67.
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68.
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69.
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If an investment provides a 2.1% return quarterly, its effective annual rate is:
2.1%.
8.4%.
8.56%.
8.67%.
EAR
= 1.021
4
− 1 = 0.0867, or 8.67%
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Skewness is a measure of:
how fat the tails of a distribution are.
the downside risk of a distribution.
the asymmetry of a distribution.
the dividend yield of the distribution.
None of the options are correct.
One potentially important departure from normality relates to any asymmetry in the probability distribution of returns. The standard measure of this sort of asymmetry is called the skew of the distribution.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Kurtosis is a measure of:
how fat the tails of a distribution are.
the downside risk of a distribution.
the normality of a distribution.
the dividend yield of the distribution.
Kurtosis is a measure of how fat the tails of a distribution are.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
When a distribution is positively skewed,
standard deviation overestimates risk.
standard deviation correctly estimates risk.
standard deviation underestimates risk.
the tails are fatter than in a normal distribution.
None of the options are correct.
When a distribution is positively skewed, standard deviation overestimates risk.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
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70.
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71.
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72.
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73.
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When a distribution is negatively skewed,
standard deviation overestimates risk.
standard deviation correctly estimates risk.
standard deviation underestimates risk.
the tails are fatter than in a normal distribution.
None of the options are correct.
When a distribution is negatively skewed, standard deviation underestimates risk.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
If a distribution has "fat tails," it exhibits:
positive skewness.
negative skewness.
a kurtosis of zero.
positive kurtosis.
positive skewness and kurtosis.
Kurtosis is a measure of the tails of a distribution, or "fat tails."
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
If a portfolio had a return of 8%, the risk-free asset return was 3%, and the standard deviation of the portfolio's excess returns was 20%, the Sharpe measure would be:
0.08.
0.03.
0.20.
0.11.
0.25.
SR
= (0.08
−
0.03) ÷ 0.20 = 0.25
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
If a portfolio had a return of 12%, the risk-free asset return was 4%, and the standard deviation of the portfolio's excess returns was 25%, the Sharpe measure would be:
0.12.
0.04.
0.32.
0.16.
0.25.
SR
= (0.12
−
0.04) ÷ 0.25 = 0.32
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
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74.
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75.
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76.
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77.
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If a portfolio had a return of 15%, the risk-free asset return was 5%, and the standard deviation of the portfolio's excess returns was 30%, the Sharpe measure would be:
0.20.
0.35.
0.45.
0.33.
0.25.
SR
= (0.15
−
0.05) ÷ 0.30 = 0.33
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
If a portfolio had a return of 12%, the risk-free asset return was 4%, and the standard deviation of the portfolio's excess returns was 25%, the risk premium would be:
8%.
16%.
32%.
21%.
29%.
12%
−
4% = 8%.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
_________ is a risk measure that indicates vulnerability to extreme negative returns.
Value at risk
Upper partial standard deviation
Standard deviation
Variance
None of the options are correct.
Value at risk and lower partial standard deviation are risk measures that indicate vulnerability to extreme negative returns.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
_________ is a risk measure that indicates vulnerability to extreme negative returns.
Value at risk
Lower partial standard deviation
Expected shortfall
All of the options are correct.
All of the options are risk measures that indicate vulnerability to extreme negative returns.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
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78.
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79.
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80.
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81.
Award:
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The most common measure of loss associated with extremely negative returns is:
upper partial standard deviation.
value at risk.
expected windfall.
negative standard deviation.
None of the options are correct.
The most common measure of loss associated with extremely negative returns is value at risk.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
Practitioners often use a _________% VaR, meaning that _________% of returns will exceed the VaR, and _________% will be worse.
25; 75; 25
75; 25; 75
1; 99; 1
95; 5; 95
80; 80; 20
Practitioners often use a 1% VaR, meaning that 99% of returns will exceed the VaR, and 1% will be worse.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
When assessing tail risk by looking at the 1% worst-case scenario, the VaR is the:
most realistic, as it is the most complete measure of risk.
most pessimistic, as it is the most complete measure of risk.
most optimistic, as it is the most complete measure of risk.
most optimistic, as it takes the highest return (smallest loss) of all the cases.
None of the options are correct.
When assessing tail risk by looking at the 1% worst-case scenario, the VaR is the most optimistic as it takes the highest return (smallest loss) of all the cases.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
When assessing tail risk by looking at the 1% worst-case scenario, the most realistic view of downside exposure would be:
expected shortfall.
value at risk.
unconditional tail expectation.
expected shortfall and value at risk.
expected shortfall and unconditional tail expectation.
When assessing tail risk by looking at the 1% worst-case scenario, the most realistic view of downside exposure would be expected shortfall (or conditional tail expectation).
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
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82.
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83.
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84.
Award:
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85.
Award:
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A portfolio generates a Sharpe ratio of 0.83. Which of the following benchmark Sharpe ration would be considered show the portfolio over performed?
0.81
0.79
0.65
0.62
All of the options are correct.
A higher Sharpe ratio indicates over performance.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
The best measure of a portfolio’s risk adjusted performance is the _________.
return
standard deviation
Jensen alpha
Sharpe measure
All of the options are correct.
The Sharpe ratio is the only measurement that factors in risk adjusted returns.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
Which combination of returns and standard deviation provides the highest Sharpe ratio? Assume a 3% risk free rate.
return = 12%, standard deviation = 20%
return = 15%, standard deviation = 22%
return = 21%, standard deviation = 25%
return = 25%, standard deviation = 35%
None of the options are correct.
SR
= (0.21
−
0.03 ) ÷ 0.25 = 0.72
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 2 Intermediate
A(n) _________ can be used to show the possible outcomes from a normal distribution function.
bell curve
cumulative normal function
event tree
confidence level
None of the options are correct.
An event tree diagrams possible outcomes over time and represents the normal distribution.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
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In a two tailed normal distribution function, what is the confidence level created at 2 standard deviations?
68.26%
95.44%
99.74%
86.85%
72.50%
This is a general rule of statistics.
References
Multiple Choice
Difficulty: 3 Challenge
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