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Basic Inequalities in Probability 1 Standard Notations: µ X = E X (expected value), σ 2 X = E ( X - µ X ) 2 (variance). Fundamental inequalities. (1) Re-arrangement : for every ream numbers a 1 a 2 ≤ · · · ≤ a n and b 1 b 2 ≤ · · · ≤ b n , and every permutation τ of the set { 1 , 2 , . . . , n } , a 1 b n + a 2 b n 1 + . . . + a n b 1 a 1 b τ (1) + a 2 b τ (2) + . . . + a n b τ ( n ) a 1 b 1 + a 2 b 2 + . . . + a n b n . Proof: induction can work. Example: if x, y, z > 0, then x y + z + y x + z + z x + y 3 2 . Indeed, with no loss of generality, assume that x y z , so that y + z x + z x + y and 1 / ( y + z ) 1 / ( x + z ) 1 / ( x + y ). Now take a 1 = 1 / ( y + z ) , a 2 = 1 / ( x + z ) , a 3 = 1 / ( x + y ), b 1 = x, b 2 = y, b 3 = z, and note that 3 = a 1 ( b 2 + b 3 ) + a 2 ( b 1 + b 3 ) + a 3 ( b 1 + b 2 ) 2( a 1 b 1 + a 2 b 2 + a 3 b 3 ). (2) Power mean : If a 1 > 0 , a 2 > 0 , . . . , a n > 0, and M p = ( 1 n n k =1 a p k ) 1 /p , p 6 = 0 , ±∞ , M 0 = ( a 1 a 2 · · · a n ) 1 /n , p = 0 , M + = max( a 1 , . . . , a n ) , p = + , M −∞ = min( a 1 , . . . , a n ) , p = -∞ , then lim p 0 M p = M 0 , lim p →−∞ M p = M −∞ , lim p + M p = M + , and the function p M p is strictly increasing unless a 1 = a 2 = . . . = a n . Proof: induction can work. Special names: M 1 is arithmetic mean (AG), M 0 is geometric mean (GM), M 1 is harmonic mean (HM). The (famous) AG/GM/HM inequality, M 1 M 0 M 1 , is a particular case of the power mean inequality. Concentration inequalities . (1) Markov [1880] : if Y > 0, then P ( Y a ) E Y a . Proof. E Y E Y I Y a a E I Y 0 = a P ( Y a ). (2) Chebyshev [1865] : with µ X = E X, σ 2 X = E ( X - µ X ) 2 , P ( | X - µ X | ≥ a ) σ 2 X a 2 . Proof. Apply Markov with Y = ( X - µ X ) 2 . Variations. Standartized : P ( | X - µ X | ≥ X ) 1 k 2 . Cantelli [1928] : P ( X - µ X a ) σ 2 X σ 2 X + a 2 . Proof. For t > 0 , by Markov, P ( X - µ X + t > a + t ) = P ( ( X - µ X + t ) 2 > ( a + t ) 2 ) ( σ 2 X + t 2 ) / ( a + t ) 2 . Direct computations show that the right hand side is minimized by taking t = σ 2 X /a . Vysochanskij-Petunin [1980] : if X is unimodal , then P ( | X - µ X | > kσ X ) 4 9 k 2 . 1 Sergey Lototsky, USC 1
2 (3) Chernoff [1955]: If M X ( t ) = E e tX exists for all t > 0, and a > 0, then P ( X a ) e ln M X ( t ) at , with subsequent minimization of the right-hand side with respect to t > 0. Proof. Use Markov with Y = e tX . Example. If X is standard normal, then M X ( t ) = e t 2 / 2 , so that ( t 2 / 2) - at ≥ - a 2 / 2, with the lower bound achieved for t = a/ 2, and therefore P ( X a ) e a 2 / 2 . (4) Paley-Zygmund [1932]: if Y > 0 and 0 < θ < 1, then P ( Y > θµ Y ) (1 - θ ) 2 µ 2 Y σ 2 Y + µ 2 Y . Proof. Keeping in mind that E Y 2 = σ 2 Y + µ 2 Y , µ Y = E Y I Y θµ Y + E Y I Y >θµ Y . Then E Y I Y <θµ Y θµ Y (obviously), and E Y I Y >θµ Y E Y 2 P ( Y > θµ Y ) (Cauchy-Schwarz; see below). Moment inequalities. (1) Jensen [1905] : If g = g ( x ) , x R , is convex , then E g ( X ) g ( E X ) (e . g . E e X e µ X . ) If f = f ( x ) is concave , then E f ( X ) f ( E X ) (e . g . X > 0 E ln X ln µ X . ) Proof: g convex for every x 0 R there is a number C R such that g ( x ) g ( x 0 ) + C ( x - x 0 ); if g exists, then C = g ( x 0 ) [the graph of g is above the tangent line at x 0 ]. Now put x = X, x 0 = µ X , and take expected value on both sides. (2) Lyapunov [1900] : if 0 < p < r , then ( E | X | p ) 1 /p ( E | X | r ) 1 /r . Proof: Use Jensen with g ( x ) = | x | r/p and | X | p instead of X . (3) H¨older [1885] : if p > 1 , q > 1 , and (1 /p ) + (1 /q ) = 1, then E | XY | ≤ ( E | X | p ) 1 /p ( E | Y | q ) 1 /q . The inequality is strict unless X = cY for some non-random number c . Proof. Using concavity of the log function, argue that ab ( a p /p ) + ( b q /q ) , a, b > 0. Then set a = | X | / ( E | X | p ) 1 /p , b = | Y | / ( E | Y | q ) 1 /q , and take expectation on both sides. Note that the H¨older inequality is trivial if E | X | p = 0 and/or E | Y | q = 0. (4) Cauchy-Bunyakovsky-Schwarz [1820 1855 1885] : E | XY | ≤ E X 2 E Y 2 . Proof: take p = q = 2. (5) Minkowski [1900] : if p 1, then ( E | X + Y | p ) 1 /p ( E | X | p ) 1 /p + ( E | Y | p ) 1 /p (that is, the functional X 7→ ( E | X | p ) 1 /p satisfies the triangle inequality and thus defines a norm on the space of random variables with finite p -th moment.) Proof. p = 1 is obvious. For p > 1, take q = p/ ( p - 1) [so that (1 /p ) + (1 /q ) = 1], note that | X + Y | p = | X + Y | · | X + Y | p 1 ≤ | X | · | X + Y | p 1 + | Y | · | X + Y | p 1 , and then, by H¨older, E ( | X | · | X + Y | p 1 ) ( E | X | p ) 1 /p ( E | X + Y | p ) 1 /q , E ( | Y | · | X + Y | p 1 ) ( E | Y | p ) 1 /p ( E | X + Y | p ) 1 /q . It remains to combine the inequalities: E | X + Y | p ( ( E | X | p ) 1 /p + ( E | Y | p ) 1 /p ) ( E | X + Y | p ) 1 /q and then simplify, keeping in mind that 1 - (1 /q ) = 1 /p .
3 The people. A.-L. Cauchy (1789–1857), French. V. Ya. Bunyakovsky (1804–1889), Russian. P. L. Chebyshev (1821–1894), Russian. K. H. A. Schwarz (1843–1921), German. A. A. Markov (1856–1922), Russian. A. M. Lyapunov (1857–1918), Russian. J. L. W. V. Jensen (1859–1925), Danish. H. Minkowski (1864–1909), German. F. P. Cantelli (1875–1966), Italian. A. Zygmund (1900-1992), Polish-American. R. E. A. C. Paley (1907–1933), English. H. Chernoff (b. 1923), American. Y. I. Petunin (1937–2011), Soviet.
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