Operations Management: Processes and Supply Chains, Student Value Edition Plus MyLab Operations Management with Pearson eText -- Access Card Package (11th Edition)
11th Edition
ISBN: 9780134111056
Author: Lee J. Krajewski, Manoj K. Malhotra, Larry P. Ritzman
Publisher: PEARSON
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Question
Chapter A, Problem 18P
Summary Introduction
Interpretation: Decision making for a new processing technology.
Concept Introduction:
Probability of an event is how likely or how possibly an event take place. It shows an outcome of event which ranges between 0 and 1.
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1.
Kirsten is trying to decide where to go for her well-earned vacation. She would like to camp, but if the weather is bad, she will have to go to a motel. Given the costs and probabilities of bad weather given below, which destination should she choose?
Camping cost
Motel cost
Probability of bad weather
Nevada
$21.2
$80.9
0.2
Oregon
$15.9
$84.6
0.4
California
$30
$95
0.1
a.
California, because its EMV = $33.14
b.
Nevada, because its EMV = $33.14
c.
California, because its EMV = $36.5
d.
Any of the 3 choices.
e.
Oregon, because its EMV = $43.38
f.
Nevada, because its EMV = $43.38
g.
None of the 3 choices.
h.
Oregon, because its EMV is $36.50.
A new minor league baseball team is coming to town and the owners have decided to build a new stadium, either small or large. The success of the team with regard to ticket sales will be either high or low with probabilities of 0.75 and 0.25, respectively. If demand for tickets is high, the large stadium would provide a payoff of approximately $20 million. If ticket sales are low, the loss on the large stadium would be $5 million. If a small stadium is constructed, and ticket sales are low, the payoff is $500,000 after deducting the cost of construction. If ticket sales are high, the team can choose to build an upper deck, or to maintain the existing facility. Expanding the stadium in this scenario has a payoff of $10 million, whereas maintaining the same number of seats has a payoff of only $3 million.
a. Draw a decision tree for this problem.
b. What should management do to achieve the highest expected payoff?
8. Ms. Rabiya Mateo and Ms. Sandra Lemonon, two real-estate investment partners, are assessing the relative risks of a prime property in Taguig City, and a comparable property in a similarly vibrant area of Iloilo City. One partner discounts heavily the value of the Taguig property because of the potential earthquake damage. The Taguig City-averse partner is most likely influenced by which element of risk management analysis?
a. Risk Prioritization
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Chapter A Solutions
Operations Management: Processes and Supply Chains, Student Value Edition Plus MyLab Operations Management with Pearson eText -- Access Card Package (11th Edition)
Ch. A - Mary Williams, owner of Williams Products, is...Ch. A - Prob. 2PCh. A - An interactive television service that costs $10...Ch. A - A restaurant is considering adding fresh brook...Ch. A - Spartan Castings must implement a manufacturing...Ch. A - A news clipping service is considering...Ch. A - Prob. 7PCh. A - Techno Corporation is currently manufacturing an...Ch. A - The Tri-County Generation and Transmission...Ch. A - Prob. 10P
Ch. A - Tri-County G&T sells 150,000 MWh per year of...Ch. A - The Forsite Company is screening three ideas for...Ch. A - Prob. 13PCh. A - Prob. 14PCh. A - Prob. 15PCh. A - Build-Rite Construction has received favorable...Ch. A - Prob. 17PCh. A - Prob. 18PCh. A - Prob. 19PCh. A - Prob. 20PCh. A - Prob. 21PCh. A - Prob. 22PCh. A - Prob. 23PCh. A - Prob. 24P
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