Connect Hosted by ALEKS Access Card or Elementary Statistics
3rd Edition
ISBN: 9781260373752
Author: William Navidi Prof., Barry Monk Professor
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Education
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Chapter 9.4, Problem 31E
To determine
To justify why hypothesis test should not use for given claim.
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PEER REPLY 1:
Choose a classmate's Main Post and review their decision making process.
1. Choose a risk level for each of the states of nature (assign a probability
value to each).
2. Explain why each risk level is chosen.
3. Which alternative do you believe would be the best based on the maximum
EMV?
4. Do you feel determining the expected value with perfect information
(EVWPI) is worthwhile in this situation? Why or why not?
Questions
An insurance company's cumulative incurred claims for the last 5 accident years are given
in the following table:
Development Year
Accident Year 0
2018
1 2 3 4
245 267 274 289 292
2019
255 276 288 294
2020
265 283 292
2021
263 278
2022
271
It can be assumed that claims are fully run off after 4 years. The premiums received for
each year are:
Accident Year Premium
2018
306
2019
312
2020
318
2021
326
2022
330
You do not need to make any allowance for inflation.
1. (a) Calculate the reserve at the end of 2022 using the basic chain ladder method.
(b) Calculate the reserve at the end of 2022 using the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method.
2. Comment on the differences in the reserves produced by the methods in Part 1.
You are provided with data that includes all 50 states of the United States. Your task is to draw a sample of: o 20 States using Random Sampling (2 points: 1 for random number generation; 1 for random sample) o 10 States using Systematic Sampling (4 points: 1 for random numbers generation; 1 for random sample different from the previous answer; 1 for correct K value calculation table; 1 for correct sample drawn by using systematic sampling) (For systematic sampling, do not use the original data directly. Instead, first randomize the data, and then use the randomized dataset to draw your sample. Furthermore, do not use the random list previously generated, instead, generate a new random sample for this part. For more details, please see the snapshot provided at the end.) Upload a Microsoft Excel file with two separate sheets. One sheet provides random sampling while the other provides systematic sampling. Excel snapshots that can help you in organizing columns are provided on the next…
Chapter 9 Solutions
Connect Hosted by ALEKS Access Card or Elementary Statistics
Ch. 9.1 - In Exercises 7 and 8, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 9.1 - In Exercises 7 and 8, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 9.1 - In Exercises 9-12, determine whether the statement...Ch. 9.1 - In Exercises 9-12, determine whether the statement...Ch. 9.1 - In Exercises 9-12, determine whether the statement...Ch. 9.1 - In Exercises 9-12, determine whether the statement...Ch. 9.1 - In Exercises 13-16, determine whether the...Ch. 9.1 - In Exercises 13-16, determine whether the...Ch. 9.1 - In Exercises 13-16, determine whether the...Ch. 9.1 - In Exercises 13-16, determine whether the...
Ch. 9.1 - In Exercises 17–20, determine whether the...Ch. 9.1 - In Exercises 17-20, determine whether the outcome...Ch. 9.1 - In Exercises 17–20, determine whether the...Ch. 9.1 - In Exercises 17–20, determine whether the...Ch. 9.1 - Fertilizer: A new type of fertilizer is being...Ch. 9.1 - Big fish: A sample of loo flounder of a certain...Ch. 9.1 - Check, please: A restaurant owner claims that the...Ch. 9.1 - Coffee: The mean caffeine content per cup of...Ch. 9.1 - Big dogs: A veterinarian claims that the mean...Ch. 9.1 - Business trips A sales manager believes that the...Ch. 9.1 - Type I error: A company that manufactures steel...Ch. 9.1 - Type I error: Washers used in a certain...Ch. 9.1 - Scales: It is desired to check the calibration of...Ch. 9.1 - IQ: Scores on a certain IQ test are known to have...Ch. 9.1 - Probability of error: A corn has probability p of...Ch. 9.2 - In Exercises 23–28, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 9.2 - In Exercises 23-28, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 25ECh. 9.2 - In Exercises 23-28, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 27ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 28ECh. 9.2 - In Exercises 29-34, determine whether the...Ch. 9.2 - In Exercises 29-34, determine whether the...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 31ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 32ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 33ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 34ECh. 9.2 - A test is made of H0:=50 versus H1:50. A sample of...Ch. 9.2 - A test is made of H0:=14 versus H1:14. A sample of...Ch. 9.2 - A test is made of H0:=130 versus H1:130. A sample...Ch. 9.2 - A test is made of H0:=5 versus H1:5. A sample of...Ch. 9.2 - A test of the hypothesis H0:=65 versus H1:65 was...Ch. 9.2 - A test of the hypothesis H0:=150 versus H1:150 was...Ch. 9.2 - True or false: If P=0.02, then The result is...Ch. 9.2 - True or false: If P=0.08, then The result is...Ch. 9.2 - A test of H0:=17 versus H1:17 is performed using a...Ch. 9.2 - A test of H0:=50 versus H1:50 is performed using a...Ch. 9.2 - A test of H0:=0 versus H1:0 is performed using a...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 46ECh. 9.2 - If H0 is rejected at the =0.05 level, which of the...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 48ECh. 9.2 - If P=0.03, which of the following is the best...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 50ECh. 9.2 - Netflix: A study conducted in 2015 by the...Ch. 9.2 - Are you smarter than a second grader? A random...Ch. 9.2 - Height and age: Are older men shorter than younger...Ch. 9.2 - Calibrating a scale: Making sure that the scales...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 55ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 56ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 57ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 58ECh. 9.2 - What are you drinking? Environmental Protection...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 60ECh. 9.2 - Interpret calculator display: The age in years was...Ch. 9.2 - Interpret calculator display: The number of...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 63ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 64ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 65ECh. 9.2 - Statistical or practical significance: A new...Ch. 9.2 - Test scores: A math teacher has developed a new...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 68ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 69ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 70ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 71ECh. 9.2 - Large samples and practical significance: A sample...Ch. 9.3 - In Exercises 7 and 8, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 9.3 - Prob. 8ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 9ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 10ECh. 9.3 - Find the P-value for the following values of the...Ch. 9.3 - Find the P-value for the following values of the...Ch. 9.3 - Find the critical value or values for the...Ch. 9.3 - Find the critical value or values for the...Ch. 9.3 - Is there a doctor in the house? The market...Ch. 9.3 - College tuition: The mean annual tuition and fees...Ch. 9.3 - Big babies: The National Health Statistics Reports...Ch. 9.3 - Good credit: The Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO)...Ch. 9.3 - Commuting to work: The American Community Survey...Ch. 9.3 - Watching TV: The General Social Survey asked a...Ch. 9.3 - Prob. 21ECh. 9.3 - How much is in that can? A machine that fills...Ch. 9.3 - Prob. 23ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 24ECh. 9.3 - Keep cool: Following are prices, in dollars, of a...Ch. 9.3 - Prob. 26ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 27ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 28ECh. 9.3 - Interpret calculator display: A sample of adults...Ch. 9.3 - Prob. 30ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 31ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 32ECh. 9.3 - Does this diet work? In a study of the...Ch. 9.3 - Prob. 34ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 35ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 36ECh. 9.3 - Larger or smaller P-value? In a study of sleeping...Ch. 9.3 - Larger or smaller P-value? Juan and Mary want to...Ch. 9.3 - Interpret a P-value: A real estate agent believes...Ch. 9.3 - Interpret a P-value: The manufacturer of a...Ch. 9.3 - Using z instead of t: When the sample size is...Ch. 9.4 - In Exercises 5 and 6, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 9.4 - In Exercises 5 and 6, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 7ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 8ECh. 9.4 - In a simple random sample of size 80, there were...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 10ECh. 9.4 - In a simple random sample of size 75, there were...Ch. 9.4 - In a simple random sample of size 150, there were...Ch. 9.4 - Spam: According to SecureList, 71.8% of all email...Ch. 9.4 - Confidence in banks: A poll conducted by the...Ch. 9.4 - Kids with cell phones: A marketing manager for a...Ch. 9.4 - Internet tax: The Gallup Poll asked 1015 U.S....Ch. 9.4 - Quit smoking: In a survey of 444 HIV-positive...Ch. 9.4 - Game consoles: A poll taken by the Software...Ch. 9.4 - Tattoo: A Harris poll taken surveyed 2016 adults...Ch. 9.4 - Curing diabetes: Vertical banded gastroplasty is a...Ch. 9.4 - Tweet tweet: An article in Forbes magazine...Ch. 9.4 - Online photos: A Pew poll surveyed 1802 Internet...Ch. 9.4 - Choosing a doctor: Which do patients value more...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 24ECh. 9.4 - Interpret calculator display: In a recent poll,...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 26ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 27ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 28ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 29ECh. 9.4 - Who will you vote for? A simple random sample of...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 31ECh. 9.4 - Dont perform a test: Over the past 100 days, the...Ch. 9.4 - Exact test: When np010 or n(1p0)10, we cannot use...Ch. 9.5 - In Exercises 5 and 6, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 9.5 - Prob. 6ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 7ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 8ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 9ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 10ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 11ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 12ECh. 9.5 - A random sample of size 25 from a normal...Ch. 9.5 - Prob. 14ECh. 9.5 - Babies: A sample of 25 one-year-old girls had a...Ch. 9.5 - Watching TV: The General Social Survey asked a...Ch. 9.5 - IQ scores: Scores on an IQ test are normally...Ch. 9.5 - SAT scores: Scores on the math SAT are normally...Ch. 9.5 - How much is in that can? A machine that fills...Ch. 9.5 - Prob. 20ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 21ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 22ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 23ECh. 9.6 - In Exercises 5–12, slate which type of parameter...Ch. 9.6 - Prob. 6ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 7ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 8ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 9ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 10ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 11ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 12ECh. 9.6 - Saving for college: In a survey of 909 U.S. adults...Ch. 9.6 - Prob. 14ECh. 9.6 - Cookies: Following are the weights of 8 boxes of...Ch. 9.6 - Prob. 16ECh. 9.6 - Teacher salaries: A random sample of 50 public...Ch. 9.6 - Prob. 18ECh. 9.6 - Mercury pollution: Mercury is a toxic metal that...Ch. 9.6 - Prob. 20ECh. 9.7 - In Exercises 3-5, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 9.7 - Prob. 4ECh. 9.7 - Prob. 5ECh. 9.7 - In Exercises 6-8, determine whether the statement...Ch. 9.7 - Prob. 7ECh. 9.7 - Prob. 8ECh. 9.7 - Prob. 9ECh. 9.7 - A test has power 0.80 when 1=3.5. True or false:...Ch. 9.7 - Prob. 11ECh. 9.7 - Prob. 12ECh. 9.7 - Prob. 13ECh. 9.7 - Watch sour cholesterol: An article in the...Ch. 9.7 - Prob. 15ECh. 9.7 - Coffee beans: Refer to Exercise 12. A test of the...Ch. 9.7 - Prob. 17ECh. 9.7 - Prob. 18ECh. 9.7 - Prob. 19ECh. 9 - Fill in the blank: A test of the hypotheses H0:=65...Ch. 9 - A hypothesis test results in a P-value of 0.008....Ch. 9 - Prob. 3CQCh. 9 - Prob. 4CQCh. 9 - Prob. 5CQCh. 9 - Prob. 6CQCh. 9 - Prob. 7CQCh. 9 - In a random sample of 500 people who took their...Ch. 9 - Prob. 9CQCh. 9 - Prob. 10CQCh. 9 - Prob. 11CQCh. 9 - In a test of H0:=5 versus H1:5, the value of the...Ch. 9 - True or false: We can perform a test for a...Ch. 9 - Prob. 14CQCh. 9 - Prob. 15CQCh. 9 - Prob. 1RECh. 9 - Prob. 2RECh. 9 - Prob. 3RECh. 9 - Prob. 4RECh. 9 - Prob. 5RECh. 9 - Prob. 6RECh. 9 - Prob. 7RECh. 9 - Job satisfaction: The General Social Survey...Ch. 9 - Prob. 9RECh. 9 - Prob. 10RECh. 9 - Prob. 11RECh. 9 - Prob. 12RECh. 9 - Prob. 13RECh. 9 - Prob. 14RECh. 9 - Prob. 15RECh. 9 - Prob. 1WAICh. 9 - Prob. 2WAICh. 9 - Prob. 3WAICh. 9 - Prob. 4WAICh. 9 - Prob. 5WAICh. 9 - Prob. 6WAICh. 9 - Prob. 1CSCh. 9 - Prob. 2CSCh. 9 - Prob. 3CSCh. 9 - Prob. 4CSCh. 9 - Prob. 5CSCh. 9 - Prob. 6CSCh. 9 - Prob. 7CS
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