Discrete Mathematics
5th Edition
ISBN: 9780134689562
Author: Dossey, John A.
Publisher: Pearson,
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Chapter 9.2, Problem 6E
To determine
To prove: The term
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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
Questions:
a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
answer number 6
Chapter 9 Solutions
Discrete Mathematics
Ch. 9.1 - Prob. 1ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 2ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 3ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 4ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 5ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 6ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 7ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 8ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 9ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 10E
Ch. 9.1 - Prob. 11ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 12ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 13ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 14ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 15ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 16ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 17ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 18ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 19ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 20ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 21ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 22ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 23ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 24ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 25ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 26ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 27ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 28ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 29ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 30ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 31ECh. 9.1 - Suppose that you have an unlimited supply of red,...Ch. 9.1 - Prob. 33ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 34ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 35ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 36ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 37ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 38ECh. 9.2 - Prove by mathematical induction that n2 − n + 2 is...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 2ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 3ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 4ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 5ECh. 9.2 - Prove by mathematical induction that
is a...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 7ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 8ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 9ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 10ECh. 9.2 - In Exercises 11–24, use the method of iteration to...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 12ECh. 9.2 - In Exercises 11–24, use the method of iteration to...Ch. 9.2 - In Exercises 11–24, use the method of iteration to...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 15ECh. 9.2 - In Exercises 11–24, use the method of iteration to...Ch. 9.2 - In Exercises 11–24, use the method of iteration to...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 18ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 19ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 20ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 21ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 22ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 23ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 24ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 25ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 26ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 27ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 28ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 29ECh. 9.2 - Consider the sequences of n terms in which each...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 31ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 32ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 33ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 34ECh. 9.3 - In Exercises 1–24, find an explicit formula for sn...Ch. 9.3 - Prob. 2ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 3ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 4ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 5ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 6ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 7ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 8ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 9ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 10ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 11ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 12ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 13ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 14ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 15ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 16ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 17ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 18ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 19ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 20ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 21ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 22ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 23ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 24ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 25ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 26ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 28ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 30ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 31ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 32ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 33ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 34ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 35ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 36ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 37ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 38ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 1ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 2ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 3ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 4ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 5ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 6ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 7ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 8ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 9ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 10ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 11ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 12ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 13ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 14ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 15ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 16ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 17ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 18ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 19ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 20ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 22ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 24ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 26ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 30ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 32ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 34ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 36ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 38ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 1ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 2ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 3ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 4ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 5ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 6ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 7ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 8ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 9ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 10ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 11ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 12ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 13ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 14ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 15ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 16ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 17ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 18ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 19ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 20ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 21ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 22ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 23ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 24ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 25ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 26ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 27ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 28ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 29ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 30ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 31ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 32ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 33ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 34ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 35ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 1ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 2ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 3ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 4ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 5ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 6ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 7ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 8ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 9ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 10ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 11ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 12ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 13ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 14ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 15ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 16ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 17ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 18ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 19ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 20ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 21ECh. 9.6 - In Exercises 21–26, find constants a and b such...Ch. 9.6 - Prob. 23ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 24ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 25ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 26ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 27ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 28ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 29ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 30ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 31ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 32ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 34ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 35ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 36ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 37ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 38ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 39ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 40ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 41ECh. 9.6 - Prob. 42ECh. 9 - Prob. 1SECh. 9 - Prob. 2SECh. 9 - Prob. 3SECh. 9 - Prob. 4SECh. 9 - Prob. 6SECh. 9 - A data processing position pays a starting salary...Ch. 9 - Prob. 8SECh. 9 - Prob. 9SECh. 9 - Prob. 10SECh. 9 - Prob. 11SECh. 9 - Prob. 12SECh. 9 - Prob. 13SECh. 9 - Prob. 14SECh. 9 - Prob. 17SECh. 9 - Prob. 18SECh. 9 - Prob. 19SECh. 9 - Prob. 21SECh. 9 - Prob. 22SECh. 9 - Prob. 23SECh. 9 - Prob. 41SECh. 9 - Prob. 42SECh. 9 - Prob. 43SECh. 9 - Prob. 44SECh. 9 - Prob. 45SECh. 9 - Prob. 46SECh. 9 - Prob. 47SECh. 9 - Prob. 48SE
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