Numerical Analysis, Books A La Carte Edition (3rd Edition)
3rd Edition
ISBN: 9780134697338
Author: Timothy Sauer
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 9.1, Problem 5E
To determine
To show:Using given LCG the
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6 (Model Selection, Estimation and Prediction of GARCH) Consider the daily returns rt
of General Electric Company stock (ticker: "GE") from "2021-01-01" to "2024-03-31",
comprising a total of 813 daily returns. Using the "fGarch" package of R, outputs of
fitting three GARCH models to the returns are given at the end of this question.
Model 1 ARCH (1) with standard normal innovations;
Model 2
Model 3
GARCH (1, 1) with Student-t innovations;
GARCH (2, 2) with Student-t innovations;
Based on the outputs, answer the following questions.
(a) What can be inferred from the Standardized Residual Tests conducted on Model 1?
(b) Which model do you recommend for prediction between Model 2 and Model 3?
Why?
(c) Write down the fitted model for the model that you recommended in Part (b).
(d) Using the model recommended in Part (b), predict the conditional volatility in the
next trading day, specifically trading day 814.
4 (MLE of ARCH) Suppose rt follows ARCH(2) with E(rt) = 0,
rt = ut, ut =
στει, σε
where {+} is a sequence of independent and identically distributed (iid) standard normal
random variables.
With observations r₁,...,, write down the log-likelihood function for the model esti-
mation.
5 (Moments of GARCH) For the GARCH(2,2) model rt =
0.2+0.25u1+0.05u-2 +0.30% / -1 +0.20% -2, find cov(rt).
0.0035 ut, ut =
στει,στ
=
Chapter 9 Solutions
Numerical Analysis, Books A La Carte Edition (3rd Edition)
Ch. 9.1 - Find the period of the linear congruential...Ch. 9.1 - Find the period of the LCG defined by a=4,b=0,m=9...Ch. 9.1 - Approximate the area under the curve y=x2 for 0x1,...Ch. 9.1 - Approximate the area under the curve y=1x for 0x1,...Ch. 9.1 - Prob. 5ECh. 9.1 - Prove that u1=x21+x22 in the Box-Muller Rejection...Ch. 9.1 - Implement the Minimal Standard random number...Ch. 9.1 - Implement randu and find the Monte Carlo...Ch. 9.1 - (a) Using calculus, find the area bounded by the...Ch. 9.1 - Carry out the steps of Computer Problem 3 for the...
Ch. 9.1 - Use n=104 pseudo-random points to estimate the...Ch. 9.1 - Use n=104 pseudo-random points to estimate the...Ch. 9.1 - (a) Use calculus to evaluate the integral 01x2x,...Ch. 9.1 - Prob. 8CPCh. 9.1 - Prob. 9CPCh. 9.1 - Devise a Monte Carlo approximation problem that...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 1CPCh. 9.2 - Prob. 2CPCh. 9.2 - Prob. 3CPCh. 9.2 - Prob. 4CPCh. 9.2 - Prob. 5CPCh. 9.2 - One of the best-known Monte Carlo problems is the...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 7CPCh. 9.2 - Prob. 8CPCh. 9.2 - Prob. 9CPCh. 9.3 - Design a Monte Carlo simulation to estimate the...Ch. 9.3 - Calculate the mean escape time for the random...Ch. 9.3 - In a biased random walk, the probability of going...Ch. 9.3 - Prob. 4CPCh. 9.3 - Design a Monte Carlo simulation to estimate the...Ch. 9.3 - Calculate the mean escape time for Brownian motion...Ch. 9.3 - Prob. 7CPCh. 9.4 - Use Itos formula to show that the solutions of the...Ch. 9.4 - Use Itos formula to show that the solutions of the...Ch. 9.4 - Use Itos formula to show that the solutions of the...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 4ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 5ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 6ECh. 9.4 - Use the Euler-Maruyama Method to find approximate...Ch. 9.4 - Use the Euler-Maruyama Method to find approximate...Ch. 9.4 - Apply the Euler-Maruyama Method with step size...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 4CPCh. 9.4 - Prob. 5CPCh. 9.4 - Prob. 6CPCh. 9.4 - Use the Milstein Method to find approximate...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 8CPCh. 9.4 - Prob. 9CPCh. 9.4 - Prob. 10CPCh. 9.4 - Prob. 11CPCh. 9.4 - Prob. 12CPCh. 9.4 - Prob. 1SACh. 9.4 - Prob. 2SACh. 9.4 - Prob. 3SACh. 9.4 - Prob. 4SACh. 9.4 - Compare your approximation in step 4 with the...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 6SA
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