Statistics: The Art and Science of Learning From Data, Books a la Carte Edition (4th Edition)
Statistics: The Art and Science of Learning From Data, Books a la Carte Edition (4th Edition)
4th Edition
ISBN: 9780133860825
Author: Alan Agresti, Christine A. Franklin, Bernhard Klingenberg
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 9, Problem 93CP

a.

To determine

Explain the way to control the probability of making Type I error.

b.

To determine

Explain the reason that the researcher probably doesn’t set the probability of Type I error equal to 0.00001.

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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics: Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99% Specificity (true negative rate): 98% The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population. A patient receives a positive test result. Questions: a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
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Chapter 9 Solutions

Statistics: The Art and Science of Learning From Data, Books a la Carte Edition (4th Edition)

Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 11PBCh. 9.2 - Get P-value from z For a test of H0: p = 0.50, the...Ch. 9.2 - Get more P-values from z Refer to the previous...Ch. 9.2 - Find test statistic and P-value For a test of H0:...Ch. 9.2 - Dogs and cancer A recent study4 considered whether...Ch. 9.2 - Religion important in your life? Americans ages 18...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 17PBCh. 9.2 - Prob. 18PBCh. 9.2 - Testing a headache remedy Studies that compare...Ch. 9.2 - Gender bias in selecting managers For a large...Ch. 9.2 - Gender discrimination Refer to the 95% confidence...Ch. 9.2 - Garlic to repel ticks A study (J. Amer. Med....Ch. 9.2 - Exit-poll predictions According to an exit poll of...Ch. 9.2 - Which cola? The 49 students in a class at the...Ch. 9.2 - How to sell a burger A fast-food chain wants to...Ch. 9.2 - A binomial headache A null hypothesis states that...Ch. 9.2 - P-value for small samples Example 4, on whether...Ch. 9.3 - Which t has P-value = 0.05? A t test for a mean...Ch. 9.3 - Practice mechanics of a t test A study has a...Ch. 9.3 - Prob. 30PBCh. 9.3 - Low carbohydrate diet In a recent study,8 272...Ch. 9.3 - Prob. 32PBCh. 9.3 - Facebook friends Many students brag that they have...Ch. 9.3 - Lake pollution An industrial plant claims to...Ch. 9.3 - Weight change for controls A disadvantage of the...Ch. 9.3 - Crossover study A crossover study of 13 children...Ch. 9.3 - Too little or too much wine? Wine-pouring vending...Ch. 9.3 - Prob. 38PBCh. 9.3 - Assumptions important? Refer to the previous...Ch. 9.3 - Anorexia in teenage girls Example 8 described a...Ch. 9.3 - Sensitivity study Ideally, results of a...Ch. 9.3 - Prob. 42PBCh. 9.4 - Dr. Dog In the experiment in Example 4, we got a...Ch. 9.4 - Error probability A significance test about a...Ch. 9.4 - Fracking errors Example 6, in testing H0: p = 0.5...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 46PBCh. 9.4 - Anorexia decision Refer to the previous exercise....Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 48PBCh. 9.4 - Errors in medicine Consider the test of H0: The...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 50PBCh. 9.4 - Detecting prostate cancer Refer to the previous...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 52PBCh. 9.5 - Misleading summaries? Two researchers conduct...Ch. 9.5 - Practical significance A study considers whether...Ch. 9.5 - Prob. 55PBCh. 9.5 - Fishing for significance A marketing study...Ch. 9.5 - Prob. 57PBCh. 9.5 - Prob. 58PBCh. 9.5 - Interpret medical research studies a. An...Ch. 9.6 - Find P(Type II error) A study is designed to test...Ch. 9.6 - Gender bias in selecting managers Exercise 9.20...Ch. 9.6 - Prob. 62PBCh. 9.6 - P(Type II error) large when p close to H0 For...Ch. 9.6 - Prob. 64PBCh. 9.6 - Power for infertility trial Consider Example 13...Ch. 9.6 - Exploring Type II errors Refer to the web app from...Ch. 9 - H0 or Ha? For each of the following hypotheses,...Ch. 9 - Write H0 and Ha For each of the following...Ch. 9 - Prob. 69CPCh. 9 - Free-throw accuracy Consider all cases in which a...Ch. 9 - Brown or Whitman? Californias governor election in...Ch. 9 - Prob. 72CPCh. 9 - Prob. 73CPCh. 9 - Prob. 74CPCh. 9 - Prob. 75CPCh. 9 - Start a hockey team A fraternity at a university...Ch. 9 - Prob. 77CPCh. 9 - Prob. 78CPCh. 9 - Prob. 79CPCh. 9 - Prob. 80CPCh. 9 - Prob. 81CPCh. 9 - Two ideal children? Is the ideal number of...Ch. 9 - Prob. 83CPCh. 9 - Prob. 84CPCh. 9 - Blood pressure When Vincenzo Baranellos blood...Ch. 9 - Increasing blood pressure In the previous...Ch. 9 - Tennis balls in control? When it is operating...Ch. 9 - Prob. 88CPCh. 9 - Prob. 89CPCh. 9 - CI and test Refer to the previous exercise. a. For...Ch. 9 - Prob. 91CPCh. 9 - Religious beliefs statistically significant? A...Ch. 9 - Prob. 93CPCh. 9 - Prob. 94CPCh. 9 - Prob. 95CPCh. 9 - Prob. 96CPCh. 9 - Prob. 98CPCh. 9 - Baseball home team advantage In Major League...Ch. 9 - Prob. 100CPCh. 9 - Prob. 101CPCh. 9 - Prob. 102CPCh. 9 - Prob. 103CPCh. 9 - Prob. 104CPCh. 9 - Prob. 105CPCh. 9 - Prob. 106CPCh. 9 - Prob. 107CPCh. 9 - Prob. 108CPCh. 9 - Significance Explain the difference between...Ch. 9 - More doctors recommend An advertisement by Company...Ch. 9 - Prob. 111CPCh. 9 - Bad P-value interpretations A random sample of...Ch. 9 - Prob. 113CPCh. 9 - Prob. 114CPCh. 9 - Prob. 115CPCh. 9 - Prob. 116CPCh. 9 - Prob. 117CPCh. 9 - Prob. 118CPCh. 9 - Prob. 119CPCh. 9 - Prob. 120CPCh. 9 - Prob. 121CPCh. 9 - True or false A 95% confidence interval for =...Ch. 9 - Prob. 123CPCh. 9 - Prob. 124CPCh. 9 - Prob. 125CPCh. 9 - Prob. 126CPCh. 9 - Prob. 127CPCh. 9 - Prob. 128CP
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