Introduction to Statistics and Data Analysis
5th Edition
ISBN: 9781305115347
Author: Roxy Peck; Chris Olsen; Jay L. Devore
Publisher: Brooks Cole
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Chapter 7.2, Problem 13E
Simulate the chance experiment described in the previous exercise using five slips of paper, with two marked defective and three marked not defective Place the slips in a box, mix them well, and draw out two. Record the number of defective boards. Replace the slips and repeat until you have 50 observations of the value x. Construct a relative frequency distribution for the 50 observations, and compare this with the
7.14 Suppose that a computer manufacturer receives computer boards in lots of five. Two boards are selected from each lot for inspection. We can represent possible outcomes of the selection process by pairs. For example, the pair (1,2) represents the outcome where Boards 1 and 2 are selected for inspection.
- a. List the 10 different possible outcomes.
- b. Suppose that Boards 1 and 2 are the only defective boards in a lot of five. Two boards are to be chosen at random. Define x to be the number of defective boards observed among those inspected. Find the probability distribution of x.
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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
Questions:
a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
4. Linear Regression - Model Assumptions and Interpretation
A real estate analyst is studying how house prices (Y) are related to house size in square feet (X). A simple
linear regression model is proposed:
The analyst fits the model and obtains:
•
Ŷ50,000+150X
YBoB₁X + €
•
R² = 0.76
• Residuals show a fan-shaped pattern when plotted against fitted values.
Questions:
a) Interpret the slope coefficient in context.
b) Explain what the R² value tells us about the model's performance.
c) Based on the residual pattern, what regression assumption is likely violated? What might be the
consequence?
d) Suggest at least two remedies to improve the model, based on the residual analysis.
Chapter 7 Solutions
Introduction to Statistics and Data Analysis
Ch. 7.1 - State whether each of the following random...Ch. 7.1 - Classify each of the following random variables as...Ch. 7.1 - Starting at a particular time, each car entering...Ch. 7.1 - A point is randomly selected from the interior of...Ch. 7.1 - A point is randomly selected on the surface of a...Ch. 7.1 - Prob. 6ECh. 7.1 - A box contains four slips of paper marked 1, 2, 3,...Ch. 7.2 - Let x be the number of courses for which a...Ch. 7.2 - Let y denote the number of broken eggs in a...Ch. 7.2 - Suppose that fund-raisers at a university call...
Ch. 7.2 - Airlines sometimes overbook flights. Suppose that...Ch. 7.2 - Suppose that a computer manufacturer receives...Ch. 7.2 - Simulate the chance experiment described in the...Ch. 7.2 - Of all airline flight requests received by a...Ch. 7.2 - Suppose that 20% of all homeowners in an...Ch. 7.2 - A box contains five slips of paper, marked 1, 1,...Ch. 7.2 - Components coming off an assembly line are either...Ch. 7.2 - A contractor is required by a county planning...Ch. 7.2 - A library subscribes to two different weekly news...Ch. 7.3 - Let x denote the lifetime (in thousands of hours)...Ch. 7.3 - A particular professor never dismisses class...Ch. 7.3 - Refer to the probability distribution given in the...Ch. 7.3 - The article “Modeling Sediment and Water Column...Ch. 7.3 - Let x denote the amount of gravel sold (in tons)...Ch. 7.3 - Let x be the amount of time (in minutes) that a...Ch. 7.3 - Prob. 26ECh. 7.4 - Consider selecting a household in rural Thailand...Ch. 7.4 - Suppose the probability distribution of x, the...Ch. 7.4 - Consider the following probability distribution...Ch. 7.4 - Referring to the previous exercise, use the result...Ch. 7.4 - Exercise 7.8 gave the following probability...Ch. 7.4 - Prob. 32ECh. 7.4 - Prob. 33ECh. 7.4 - Suppose that for a particular computer...Ch. 7.4 - A local television station sells 15-second,...Ch. 7.4 - An author has written a book and submitted it to a...Ch. 7.4 - A grocery store has an express line for customers...Ch. 7.4 - Prob. 38ECh. 7.4 - To assemble a piece of furniture, a wood peg must...Ch. 7.4 - A multiple-choice exam consists of 50 questions....Ch. 7.4 - Prob. 41ECh. 7.4 - Prob. 42ECh. 7.5 - Prob. 43ECh. 7.5 - The Los Angeles Times (December 13, 1992) reported...Ch. 7.5 - Refer to the previous exercise, and suppose that...Ch. 7.5 - Twenty-five percent of the customers of a grocery...Ch. 7.5 - Example 7.18 described a study in which a person...Ch. 7.5 - Prob. 49ECh. 7.5 - A breeder of show dogs is interested in the number...Ch. 7.5 - Prob. 51ECh. 7.5 - Prob. 52ECh. 7.5 - Suppose that the probability is 0.1 that any given...Ch. 7.5 - Suppose that 30% of all automobiles undergoing an...Ch. 7.5 - Suppose that you will take a multiple-choice exam...Ch. 7.5 - Suppose that 20% of the 10,000 signatures on a...Ch. 7.5 - Prob. 57ECh. 7.5 - Prob. 58ECh. 7.5 - Suppose a playlist on an MP3 music player consists...Ch. 7.5 - Sophie is a dog that loves to play catch....Ch. 7.5 - Suppose that 5% of cereal boxes contain a prize...Ch. 7.5 - Prob. 62ECh. 7.6 - Prob. 63ECh. 7.6 - Prob. 64ECh. 7.6 - Prob. 65ECh. 7.6 - Prob. 66ECh. 7.6 - Let z denote a variable that has a standard normal...Ch. 7.6 - Determine the value z that a. Separates the...Ch. 7.6 - Determine the value of z such that a. z and z...Ch. 7.6 - Because P(z 0.44) = 0.67, 67% of all z values are...Ch. 7.6 - Consider the population of all 1-gallon cans of...Ch. 7.6 - Consider babies born in the “normal” range of...Ch. 7.6 - Prob. 73ECh. 7.6 - The paper referenced in Example 7.30 (Estimating...Ch. 7.6 - The size of the left upper chamber of the heart is...Ch. 7.6 - The paper referenced in the previous exercise also...Ch. 7.6 - According to the paper "Commuters' Exposure to...Ch. 7.6 - A machine that cuts corks for wine bottles...Ch. 7.6 - Refer to the previous exercise. Suppose that there...Ch. 7.6 - A gasoline tank for a certain car is designed to...Ch. 7.6 - The time that it takes a randomly selected job...Ch. 7.6 - Suppose that the distribution of typing speed in...Ch. 7.7 - The authors of the paper Development of...Ch. 7.7 - The paper Risk Behavior, Decision Making, and...Ch. 7.7 - Prob. 85ECh. 7.7 - Macular degeneration is the most common cause of...Ch. 7.7 - Prob. 87ECh. 7.7 - Consider the following 10 observations on the...Ch. 7.7 - Prob. 89ECh. 7.7 - Prob. 90ECh. 7.7 - Prob. 91ECh. 7.7 - Prob. 92ECh. 7.7 - The figure on the next page appeared in the paper...Ch. 7.8 - Let x denote the IQ of an individual selected at...Ch. 7.8 - Suppose that the distribution of x = the number of...Ch. 7.8 - The number of vehicles leaving a turnpike at a...Ch. 7.8 - Prob. 97ECh. 7.8 - Prob. 98ECh. 7.8 - Prob. 99ECh. 7.8 - Suppose that 70% of the bicycles sold by a certain...Ch. 7.8 - Suppose that 25% of the fire alarms in a large...Ch. 7.8 - Suppose that 65% of all registered voters in a...Ch. 7.8 - Flashlight bulbs manufactured by a certain company...Ch. 7.8 - A company that manufactures mufflers for cars...Ch. 7 - Let x denote the duration of a randomly selected...Ch. 7 - A soft-drink machine dispenses only regular Coke...Ch. 7 - Prob. 107CRCh. 7 - Refer 10 the probability distribution given in...Ch. 7 - A new batterys voltage may be acceptable (A) or...Ch. 7 - A pizza company advertises that it puts 0.5 pounds...Ch. 7 - Suppose that fuel efficiency for a particular...Ch. 7 - A coin is flipped 25 times. Let x be the number of...Ch. 7 - The probability distribution of x, the number of...Ch. 7 - The amount of time spent by a statistical...Ch. 7 - The lifetime of a certain brand of battery is...Ch. 7 - A machine producing vitamin E capsules operates so...Ch. 7 - The Wall Street Journal (February 15, 1972)...Ch. 7 - The longest run of Ss in the sequence SSFSSSSFFS...Ch. 7 - Prob. 119CRCh. 7 - Four peoplea, b, c, and dare waiting to give...Ch. 7 - Kyle and Lygia are going to play a series of...Ch. 7 - Prob. 122CRCh. 7 - Suppose that your statistics professor tells you...Ch. 7 - Suppose that the pH of soil samples taken from a...Ch. 7 - The lightbulbs used to provide exterior lighting...Ch. 7 - Suppose there are approximately 40,000 travel...Ch. 7 - Prob. 1CRECh. 7 - Prob. 2CRECh. 7 - Prob. 3CRECh. 7 - Prob. 4CRECh. 7 - Prob. 5CRECh. 7 - Prob. 6CRECh. 7 - Two shipping services offer overnight delivery of...Ch. 7 - Prob. 8CRECh. 7 - Prob. 9CRECh. 7 - The Cedar Rapids Gazette (November 20, 1999)...Ch. 7 - Prob. 11CRECh. 7 - The article Men, Women at Odds on Gun Control...Ch. 7 - Suppose that a new Internet company Mumble.com...Ch. 7 - Refer to the previous exercise. Suppose that...Ch. 7 - A chemical supply company currently has in stock...Ch. 7 - Prob. 16CRECh. 7 - An experiment was conducted to investigate whether...Ch. 7 - A machine that produces ball bearings has...Ch. 7 - Consider the variable x = time required for a...Ch. 7 - Prob. 20CRECh. 7 - Prob. 21CRE
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