EBK STATISTICS FOR ENGINEERS AND SCIENT
4th Edition
ISBN: 9780100274389
Author: Navidi
Publisher: YUZU
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Chapter 7.1, Problem 1E
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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
Questions:
a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
4. Linear Regression - Model Assumptions and Interpretation
A real estate analyst is studying how house prices (Y) are related to house size in square feet (X). A simple
linear regression model is proposed:
The analyst fits the model and obtains:
•
Ŷ50,000+150X
YBoB₁X + €
•
R² = 0.76
• Residuals show a fan-shaped pattern when plotted against fitted values.
Questions:
a) Interpret the slope coefficient in context.
b) Explain what the R² value tells us about the model's performance.
c) Based on the residual pattern, what regression assumption is likely violated? What might be the
consequence?
d) Suggest at least two remedies to improve the model, based on the residual analysis.
Chapter 7 Solutions
EBK STATISTICS FOR ENGINEERS AND SCIENT
Ch. 7.1 - Compute the correlation coefficient for the...Ch. 7.1 - For each of the following data sets, explain why...Ch. 7.1 - For each of the following scatterplots, state...Ch. 7.1 - True or false, and explain briefly: a. If the...Ch. 7.1 - In a study of ground motion caused by earthquakes,...Ch. 7.1 - A chemical engineer is studying the effect of...Ch. 7.1 - Another chemical engineer is studying the same...Ch. 7.1 - Tire pressure (in kPa) was measured for the right...Ch. 7.1 - Prob. 10ECh. 7.1 - The article Drift in Posturography Systems...
Ch. 7.1 - Prob. 12ECh. 7.1 - Prob. 13ECh. 7.1 - A scatterplot contains four points: (2, 2), (1,...Ch. 7.2 - Each month for several months, the average...Ch. 7.2 - In a study of the relationship between the Brinell...Ch. 7.2 - A least-squares line is fit to a set of points. If...Ch. 7.2 - Prob. 4ECh. 7.2 - In Galtons height data (Figure 7.1, in Section...Ch. 7.2 - In a study relating the degree of warping, in mm....Ch. 7.2 - Moisture content in percent by volume (x) and...Ch. 7.2 - The following table presents shear strengths (in...Ch. 7.2 - Structural engineers use wireless sensor networks...Ch. 7.2 - The article Effect of Environmental Factors on...Ch. 7.2 - An agricultural scientist planted alfalfa on...Ch. 7.2 - Curing times in days (x) and compressive strengths...Ch. 7.2 - Prob. 13ECh. 7.2 - An engineer wants to predict the value for y when...Ch. 7.2 - A simple random sample of 100 men aged 2534...Ch. 7.2 - Prob. 16ECh. 7.3 - A chemical reaction is run 12 times, and the...Ch. 7.3 - Structural engineers use wireless sensor networks...Ch. 7.3 - Prob. 3ECh. 7.3 - Prob. 4ECh. 7.3 - Prob. 5ECh. 7.3 - Prob. 6ECh. 7.3 - The coefficient of absorption (COA) for a clay...Ch. 7.3 - Prob. 8ECh. 7.3 - Prob. 9ECh. 7.3 - Three engineers are independently estimating the...Ch. 7.3 - In the skin permeability example (Example 7.17)...Ch. 7.3 - Prob. 12ECh. 7.3 - In a study of copper bars, the relationship...Ch. 7.3 - Prob. 14ECh. 7.3 - In the following MINITAB output, some of the...Ch. 7.3 - Prob. 16ECh. 7.3 - In order to increase the production of gas wells,...Ch. 7.4 - The following output (from MINITAB) is for the...Ch. 7.4 - The processing of raw coal involves washing, in...Ch. 7.4 - To determine the effect of temperature on the...Ch. 7.4 - The depth of wetting of a soil is the depth to...Ch. 7.4 - Good forecasting and control of preconstruction...Ch. 7.4 - The article Drift in Posturography Systems...Ch. 7.4 - Prob. 7ECh. 7.4 - Prob. 8ECh. 7.4 - A windmill is used to generate direct current....Ch. 7.4 - Two radon detectors were placed in different...Ch. 7.4 - Prob. 11ECh. 7.4 - The article The Selection of Yeast Strains for the...Ch. 7.4 - Prob. 13ECh. 7.4 - The article Characteristics and Trends of River...Ch. 7.4 - Prob. 15ECh. 7.4 - The article Mechanistic-Empirical Design of...Ch. 7.4 - An engineer wants to determine the spring constant...Ch. 7 - The BeerLambert law relates the absorbance A of a...Ch. 7 - Prob. 2SECh. 7 - Prob. 3SECh. 7 - Refer to Exercise 3. a. Plot the residuals versus...Ch. 7 - Prob. 5SECh. 7 - The article Experimental Measurement of Radiative...Ch. 7 - Prob. 7SECh. 7 - Prob. 8SECh. 7 - Prob. 9SECh. 7 - Prob. 10SECh. 7 - The article Estimating Population Abundance in...Ch. 7 - A materials scientist is experimenting with a new...Ch. 7 - Monitoring the yield of a particular chemical...Ch. 7 - Prob. 14SECh. 7 - Refer to Exercise 14. Someone wants to compute a...Ch. 7 - Prob. 16SECh. 7 - Prob. 17SECh. 7 - Prob. 18SECh. 7 - Prob. 19SECh. 7 - Use Equation (7.34) (page 545) to show that 1=1.Ch. 7 - Use Equation (7.35) (page 545) to show that 0=0.Ch. 7 - Prob. 22SECh. 7 - Use Equation (7.35) (page 545) to derive the...
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