Mathematics for the Trades: A Guided Approach (11th Edition) (What's New in Trade Math)
11th Edition
ISBN: 9780134756967
Author: Hal Saunders, Robert Carman
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 6.1, Problem 34DE
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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
Questions:
a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
Chapter 6 Solutions
Mathematics for the Trades: A Guided Approach (11th Edition) (What's New in Trade Math)
Ch. 6.1 - If it is 13 below zero and the temperature rises...Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 2LCCh. 6.1 - Make each statement true by replacing the symbol...Ch. 6.1 - Make each statement true by replacing the symbol...Ch. 6.1 - Make each statement true by replacing the symbol...Ch. 6.1 - Make each statement true by replacing the symbol...Ch. 6.1 - Make each statement true by replacing the symbol...Ch. 6.1 - Make each statement true by replacing the symbol...Ch. 6.1 - Make each statement true by replacing the symbol...Ch. 6.1 - Make each statement true by replacing the symbol...
Ch. 6.1 - Make each statement true by replacing the symbol...Ch. 6.1 - Make each statement true by replacing the symbol...Ch. 6.1 - A. Make each statement true by replacing the ...Ch. 6.1 - Make each statement true by replacing the symbol...Ch. 6.1 - Make each statement true by replacing the symbol...Ch. 6.1 - Make each statement true by replacing the symbol...Ch. 6.1 - Make each statement true by replacing the symbol...Ch. 6.1 - Make each statement true by replacing the symbol...Ch. 6.1 - For each problem, make a separate number line and...Ch. 6.1 - For each problem, make a separate number line and...Ch. 6.1 - For each problem, make a separate number line and...Ch. 6.1 - For each problem, make a separate number line and...Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 1CECh. 6.1 - Represent each of the following situations with a...Ch. 6.1 - Represent each of the following situations with a...Ch. 6.1 - Represent each of the following situations with a...Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 5CECh. 6.1 - Represent each of the following situations with a...Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 7CECh. 6.1 - Represent each of the following situations with a...Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 9CECh. 6.1 - Represent each of the following situations with a...Ch. 6.1 - Represent each of the following situations with a...Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 12CECh. 6.1 - Prob. 13CECh. 6.1 - C. Represent each of the following situations with...Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 1DECh. 6.1 - Add. 2. 11 + 7Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 3DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 4DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 5DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 6DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 7DECh. 6.1 - Add. 8. 23 + (28)Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 9DECh. 6.1 - Add. 10. 12 + 19Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 11DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 12DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 13DECh. 6.1 - Add. 14. 56 + 29Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 15DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 16DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 17DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 18DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 19DECh. 6.1 - Add. 20. 5.7 + (7.9)Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 21DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 22DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 23DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 24DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 25DECh. 6.1 - Add. 26. 414+634Ch. 6.1 - Add. 27. 912+(412)Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 28DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 29DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 30DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 31DECh. 6.1 - Add. 32. 13310+(845)Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 33DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 34DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 35DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 36DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 37DECh. 6.1 - Add. 38. 11 + (6) + (5)Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 39DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 40DECh. 6.1 - Add. 41. 36 + 45 + 27 + (18)Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 42DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 43DECh. 6.1 - Add. 44. 1+3+(5)+7+(9)+11+(13)+(15)+(17)+19Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 45DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 46DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 47DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 48DECh. 6.1 - Prob. 49DECh. 6.1 - Add. 50. (0.0475)+(0.0875)+(0.0255)Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 1EECh. 6.1 - Practical Applications 2. Sports and Leisure...Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 3EECh. 6.1 - Prob. 4EECh. 6.1 - Practical Applications 5. Business and Finance A...Ch. 6.1 - Prob. 6EECh. 6.1 - Practical Applications 7. Electronics What is the...Ch. 6.1 - Practical Applications 8. Electrical Trades As...Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 1LCCh. 6.2 - Prob. 2LCCh. 6.2 - Prob. 1AECh. 6.2 - Find the value of the following. 2. 7 20Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 3AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 4AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 5AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 6AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 7AECh. 6.2 - Find the value of the following. 8. 22 ( 10)Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 9AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 10AECh. 6.2 - Find the value of the following. 11. 5 ( 16)Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 12AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 13AECh. 6.2 - Find the value of the following. 14. 30 65Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 15AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 16AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 17AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 18AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 19AECh. 6.2 - Find the value of the following. 20. 70 25Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 21AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 22AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 23AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 24AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 25AECh. 6.2 - Find the value of the following. 26. 55 0Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 27AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 28AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 29AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 30AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 31AECh. 6.2 - Find the value of the following. 32. 17 44Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 33AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 34AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 35AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 36AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 37AECh. 6.2 - Find the value of the following. 38. 5 12 + (13) ...Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 39AECh. 6.2 - Find the value of the following. 31. 22 89 32. 17...Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 41AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 42AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 43AECh. 6.2 - Find the value of the following. 44. 212(314)Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 45AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 46AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 47AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 48AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 49AECh. 6.2 - Find the value of the following. 50. (0.275) ...Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 51AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 52AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 53AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 54AECh. 6.2 - Prob. 55AECh. 6.2 - Find the value of the following. 56. (5.8)(818)3.9Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 1BECh. 6.2 - Practical Applications 2. Meteorology The highest...Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 3BECh. 6.2 - Prob. 4BECh. 6.2 - Prob. 5BECh. 6.2 - Prob. 6BECh. 6.2 - Prob. 7BECh. 6.2 - Practical Applications 8. Meteorology The fastest...Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 9BECh. 6.2 - Prob. 10BECh. 6.2 - Prob. 11BECh. 6.2 - Prob. 12BECh. 6.2 - Prob. 13BECh. 6.2 - Practical Applications 14. Meteorology The hottest...Ch. 6.2 - Prob. 15BECh. 6.3 - Prob. 1LCCh. 6.3 - Prob. 2LCCh. 6.3 - Prob. 1AECh. 6.3 - Multiply or divide as indicated. 2. 8 (5)Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 3AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 4AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 5AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 6AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 7AECh. 6.3 - Multiply or divide as indicated. 8. (44)(11)Ch. 6.3 - Multiply or divide as indicated. 9. (3.4)(1.5)Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 10AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 11AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 12AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 13AECh. 6.3 - Multiply or divide as indicated. 14. (10.8)(1.2)Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 15AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 16AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 17AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 18AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 19AECh. 6.3 - Multiply or divide as indicated. 20. (13)(4)Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 21AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 22AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 23AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 24AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 25AECh. 6.3 - Multiply or divide as indicated. 26. (200)(10)Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 27AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 28AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 29AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 30AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 31AECh. 6.3 - Multiply or divide as indicated. 32. (2.25)0.15Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 33AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 34AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 35AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 36AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 37AECh. 6.3 - Multiply or divide as indicated. 38. (8)4(7)Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 39AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 40AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 41AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 42AECh. 6.3 - Prob. 1BECh. 6.3 - Multiply or divide using a calculator and round as...Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 3BECh. 6.3 - Prob. 4BECh. 6.3 - Prob. 5BECh. 6.3 - Prob. 6BECh. 6.3 - Prob. 7BECh. 6.3 - Multiply or divide using a calculator and round as...Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 9BECh. 6.3 - Prob. 10BECh. 6.3 - Prob. 11BECh. 6.3 - Multiply or divide using a calculator and round as...Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 1CECh. 6.3 - Practical Applications 2. Business and Finance In...Ch. 6.3 - Practical Applications 3. Industrial Technology...Ch. 6.3 - Practical Applications 4. Machine Trades A long...Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 5CECh. 6.3 - Prob. 6CECh. 6.4 - What number, multiplied by itself, gives you a...Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 2LCCh. 6.4 - Prob. 1AECh. 6.4 - Find the value of these. 2. 32Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 3AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 4AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 5AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 6AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 7AECh. 6.4 - Find the value of these. 8. 62Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 9AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 10AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 11AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 12AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 13AECh. 6.4 - Find the value of these. 14. (3)5Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 15AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 16AECh. 6.4 - Find the value of these. 17. 51Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 18AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 19AECh. 6.4 - Find the value of these. 20. 82Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 21AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 22AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 23AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 24AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 25AECh. 6.4 - Find the value of these. 26. 2632Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 27AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 28AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 29AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 30AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 31AECh. 6.4 - Find the value of these. 32. 1423Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 33AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 34AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 35AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 36AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 37AECh. 6.4 - Find the value of these. 38. 6442+18Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 39AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 40AECh. 6.4 - Find the value of these. 41. 26+402332Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 42AECh. 6.4 - Prob. 1BECh. 6.4 - Calculate. Round to two decimal places if...Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 3BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 4BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 5BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 6BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 7BECh. 6.4 - Calculate. Round to two decimal places if...Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 9BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 10BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 11BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 12BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 13BECh. 6.4 - Calculate. Round to two decimal places if...Ch. 6.4 - Calculate. Round to two decimal places if...Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 16BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 17BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 18BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 19BECh. 6.4 - Calculate. Round to two decimal places if...Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 21BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 22BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 23BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 24BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 25BECh. 6.4 - Calculate. Round to two decimal places if...Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 27BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 28BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 29BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 30BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 31BECh. 6.4 - Calculate. Round to two decimal places if...Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 33BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 34BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 35BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 36BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 37BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 38BECh. 6.4 - Prob. 1CECh. 6.4 - Construction A square building covers an area of...Ch. 6.4 - Mechanical Engineering The following calculation...Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 4CECh. 6.4 - Prob. 5CECh. 6.4 - Prob. 6CECh. 6.4 - Prob. 7CECh. 6.4 - Roofing The length L of a rafter on a shed roof is...Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 9CECh. 6.4 - Prob. 10CECh. 6.4 - Prob. 11CECh. 6.4 - Electrical Trades The electrical resistance of a...Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 13CECh. 6 - Understand the meaning of signed numbers. (a)...Ch. 6 - Add signed numbers. (a) (3)+(5) _____ (b)...Ch. 6 - Subtract signed numbers. (a) 47 _____ (b) 11(3)...Ch. 6 - Multiply and divide signed numbers. (a) (12)6...Ch. 6 - Work with exponents. (a) 43 _____ (b) (2.05)2...Ch. 6 - Use the order of operations. (a) 2+32 _____ (b)...Ch. 6 - Find square roots. (a) 169 _____ (b) 14.5 (to two...Ch. 6 - A. Rewrite each group of numbers in order from...Ch. 6 - A. Rewrite each group of numbers in order from...Ch. 6 - A. Rewrite each group of numbers in order from...Ch. 6 - A. Rewrite each group of numbers in order from...Ch. 6 - Add or subtract as indicated. 1. 16+6Ch. 6 - Prob. 2BPSCh. 6 - Add or subtract as indicated. 3. 7 13Ch. 6 - Prob. 4BPSCh. 6 - Add or subtract as indicated. 5. 23 + (38)Ch. 6 - Prob. 6BPSCh. 6 - B. Add or subtract as indicated. 20 (5)Ch. 6 - Add or subtract as indicated. 8. 11 + (3)Ch. 6 - Add or subtract as indicated. 9. 2.6 + 4.9Ch. 6 - Prob. 10BPSCh. 6 - B. Add or subtract as indicated. 5.26 3.89Ch. 6 - Prob. 12BPSCh. 6 - B. Add or subtract as indicated. 9 6 + 4 + (13) ...Ch. 6 - B. Add or subtract as indicated. 12.4 + 612 (134)...Ch. 6 - Multiply or divide as indicated. 1. 6(10)Ch. 6 - Prob. 2CPSCh. 6 - Multiply or divide as indicated. 3. 48(4)Ch. 6 - Prob. 4CPSCh. 6 - Multiply or divide as indicated. 5. (118)(614)Ch. 6 - Prob. 6CPSCh. 6 - Multiply or divide as indicated. 7. 6.4(16)Ch. 6 - Prob. 8CPSCh. 6 - Multiply or divide as indicated. 9. (4) (5) (6)Ch. 6 - Multiply or divide as indicated. 10. 72(4)(3)Ch. 6 - Multiply or divide as indicated. 11. (2.4735) ...Ch. 6 - Prob. 12CPSCh. 6 - Find the numerical value of each expression. 12.5 ...Ch. 6 - Prob. 2DPSCh. 6 - Find the numerical value of each expression....Ch. 6 - Prob. 4DPSCh. 6 - Find the numerical value of each expression. 5. 26Ch. 6 - Prob. 6DPSCh. 6 - Find the numerical value of each expression. 7....Ch. 6 - Prob. 8DPSCh. 6 - Find the numerical value of each expression. 9....Ch. 6 - Prob. 10DPSCh. 6 - Find the numerical value of each expression. 11....Ch. 6 - Prob. 12DPSCh. 6 - Find the numerical value of each expression. 13....Ch. 6 - Prob. 14DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 15DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 16DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 17DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 18DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 19DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 20DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 21DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 22DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 23DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 24DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 25DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 26DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 27DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 28DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 29DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 30DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 31DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 32DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 33DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 34DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 35DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 36DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 37DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 38DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 39DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 40DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 41DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 42DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 43DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 44DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 45DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 46DPSCh. 6 - Prob. 1EPSCh. 6 - General Trades Find the side of a square whose...Ch. 6 - Prob. 3EPSCh. 6 - E. Practical Applications Trades Management Morgan...Ch. 6 - Prob. 5EPSCh. 6 - Fire Protection The flow rate (in gallons per...Ch. 6 - Prob. 7EPSCh. 6 - Trades Management An auto shop was 14,560 in the...Ch. 6 - Prob. 9EPSCh. 6 - Prob. 10EPSCh. 6 - Prob. 11EPSCh. 6 - Meteorology Use the formula F=9C5+32 to convert...Ch. 6 - Prob. 13EPSCh. 6 - Prob. 14EPSCh. 6 - Prob. 15EPSCh. 6 - Allied Health The following expression gives the...Ch. 6 - Prob. 17EPSCh. 6 - Prob. 18EPSCh. 6 - Prob. 19EPS
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