EBK NATURE OF MATHEMATICS
13th Edition
ISBN: 9781305855588
Author: SMITH
Publisher: CENGAGE CO
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Chapter 5.7, Problem 52PS
To determine
To draw:
The modular design for
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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
Questions:
a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
Chapter 5 Solutions
EBK NATURE OF MATHEMATICS
Ch. 5.1 - Level 1 IN YOUR OWN WORDS Explain each of the...Ch. 5.1 - Prob. 2PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 3PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 4PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 5PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 6PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 7PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 8PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 9PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 10PS
Ch. 5.1 - Prob. 11PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 12PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 13PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 14PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 15PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 16PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 17PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 18PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 19PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 20PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 21PSCh. 5.1 - Level 1 In Problems 15-26, classify each as an...Ch. 5.1 - Prob. 23PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 24PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 25PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 26PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 27PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 28PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 29PSCh. 5.1 - Level 1 Think of three nonassociative word triples...Ch. 5.1 - Prob. 31PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 32PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 33PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 34PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 35PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 36PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 37PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 38PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 39PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 40PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 41PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 42PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 43PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 44PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 45PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 46PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 47PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 48PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 49PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 50PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 51PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 52PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 53PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 54PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 55PSCh. 5.1 - Problem Solving Level 3 Consider a soldier facing...Ch. 5.1 - Prob. 57PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 58PSCh. 5.1 - Prob. 59PSCh. 5.1 - Problem Solving Level 3 60. The Vanishing...Ch. 5.2 - IN YOUR OWN WORDS What is a prime number?Ch. 5.2 - Prob. 2PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 3PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 4PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 5PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 6PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 7PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 8PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 9PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 10PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 11PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 12PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 13PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 14PSCh. 5.2 - Find all the prime numbers less than or equal to...Ch. 5.2 - Determine the largest prime you need to consider...Ch. 5.2 - Prob. 17PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 18PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 19PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 20PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 21PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 22PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 23PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 24PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 25PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 26PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 27PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 28PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 29PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 30PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 31PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 32PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 33PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 34PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 35PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 36PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 37PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 38PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 39PSCh. 5.2 - Two movie theaters, UAI and UAII, start their...Ch. 5.2 - Prob. 41PSCh. 5.2 - Shannon is planning a party and wants to give each...Ch. 5.2 - Boxes that are 12 inches tall are stacked next to...Ch. 5.2 - Hot dogs come in packages of 10, while buns come...Ch. 5.2 - IN YOUR OWN WORDS We used a sieve of Eratosthenes...Ch. 5.2 - Prob. 46PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 47PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 48PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 49PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 50PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 51PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 52PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 53PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 54PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 55PSCh. 5.2 - What is the smallest natural number that is...Ch. 5.2 - Prob. 57PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 58PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 59PSCh. 5.2 - Prob. 60PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 1PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 2PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 3PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 4PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 5PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 6PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 7PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 8PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 9PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 10PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 11PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 12PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 13PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 14PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 15PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 16PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 17PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 18PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 19PSCh. 5.3 - Simplify the expressions in Problems 9-37. a....Ch. 5.3 - Prob. 21PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 22PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 23PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 24PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 25PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 26PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 27PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 28PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 29PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 30PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 31PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 32PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 33PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 34PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 35PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 36PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 37PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 38PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 39PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 40PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 41PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 42PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 43PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 44PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 45PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 46PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 47PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 48PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 49PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 50PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 51PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 52PSCh. 5.3 - Perform the indicated operations. Let k be a...Ch. 5.3 - Perform the indicated operations. Let k be a...Ch. 5.3 - a. State the commutative property. b. Is ...Ch. 5.3 - Prob. 56PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 57PSCh. 5.3 - Prob. 58PSCh. 5.3 - Multiply 1,234,5679,999,999 a. using a calculator...Ch. 5.3 - Prob. 60PSCh. 5.4 - IN YOUR OWN WORDS What does it mean for a fraction...Ch. 5.4 - IN YOUR OWN WORDS Describe the process for...Ch. 5.4 - Prob. 3PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 4PSCh. 5.4 - IN YOUR OWN WORDS Use algebra to show where the...Ch. 5.4 - IN YOUR OWN WORDS Use algebra to show where the...Ch. 5.4 - Completely reduce the fractions in Problems 7-18....Ch. 5.4 - Completely reduce the fractions in Problems 7-18....Ch. 5.4 - Completely reduce the fractions in Problems 7-18....Ch. 5.4 - Completely reduce the fractions in Problems 7-18....Ch. 5.4 - Completely reduce the fractions in problem 7-18....Ch. 5.4 - Completely reduce the fractions in problem 7-18....Ch. 5.4 - Completely reduce the fractions in problem 7-18....Ch. 5.4 - Completely reduce the fractions in problem 7-18....Ch. 5.4 - Completely reduce the fractions in problem 7-18....Ch. 5.4 - Completely reduce the fractions in problem 7-18....Ch. 5.4 - Completely reduce the fractions in problem 7-18....Ch. 5.4 - Completely reduce the fractions in problem 7-18....Ch. 5.4 - Perform the indicated operations in problems...Ch. 5.4 - Perform the indicated operations in problems...Ch. 5.4 - Perform the indicated operations in problems...Ch. 5.4 - Perform the indicated operations in problems...Ch. 5.4 - Perform the indicated operations in problems...Ch. 5.4 - Prob. 24PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 25PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 26PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 27PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 28PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 29PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 30PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 31PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 32PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 33PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 34PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 35PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 36PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 37PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 38PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 39PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 40PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 41PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 42PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 43PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 44PSCh. 5.4 - Perform the indicated operations in problems...Ch. 5.4 - Perform the indicated operations in problems...Ch. 5.4 - Prob. 47PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 48PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 49PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 50PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 51PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 52PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 53PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 54PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 55PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 56PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 57PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 58PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 59PSCh. 5.4 - Prob. 60PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 1PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 2PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 3PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 4PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 5PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 6PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 7PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 8PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 9PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 10PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 11PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 12PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 13PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 14PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 15PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 16PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 17PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 18PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 19PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 20PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 21PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 22PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 23PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 24PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 25PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 26PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 27PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 28PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 29PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 30PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 31PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 32PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 33PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 34PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 35PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 36PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 37PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 38PSCh. 5.5 - If a carpenter wants to make sure that the corner...Ch. 5.5 - Prob. 40PSCh. 5.5 - An antenna is to be erected and held by guy wires....Ch. 5.5 - Prob. 42PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 43PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 44PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 45PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 46PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 47PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 48PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 49PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 50PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 51PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 52PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 53PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 54PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 55PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 56PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 57PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 58PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 59PSCh. 5.5 - Prob. 60PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 1PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 2PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 3PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 4PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 5PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 6PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 7PSCh. 5.6 - Tell whether each number is an element of N a...Ch. 5.6 - Prob. 9PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 10PSCh. 5.6 - Express each of the numbers in Problems 9-12 as a...Ch. 5.6 - Prob. 12PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 13PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 14PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 15PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 16PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 17PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 18PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 19PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 20PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 21PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 22PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 23PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 24PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 25PSCh. 5.6 - Carry out the operations with decimal forms in...Ch. 5.6 - Prob. 27PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 28PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 29PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 30PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 31PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 32PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 33PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 34PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 35PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 36PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 37PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 38PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 39PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 40PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 41PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 42PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 43PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 44PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 45PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 46PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 47PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 48PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 49PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 50PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 51PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 52PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 53PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 54PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 55PSCh. 5.6 - Let be an arbitrary operation in Problems 52-59....Ch. 5.6 - Let be an arbitrary operation in Problems 52-59....Ch. 5.6 - Prob. 58PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 59PSCh. 5.6 - Prob. 60PSCh. 5.7 - Level 1. IN YOUR OWN WORDS. What do we mean by...Ch. 5.7 - Prob. 2PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 3PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 4PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 5PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 6PSCh. 5.7 - Level 1. Perform the indicated operations in...Ch. 5.7 - Prob. 8PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 9PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 10PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 11PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 12PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 13PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 14PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 15PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 16PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 17PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 18PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 19PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 20PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 21PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 22PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 23PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 24PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 25PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 26PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 27PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 28PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 29PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 30PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 31PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 32PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 33PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 34PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 35PSCh. 5.7 - Level 2. If you know that your aunt in Problem 34...Ch. 5.7 - Prob. 37PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 38PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 39PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 40PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 41PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 42PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 43PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 44PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 45PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 46PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 47PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 48PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 49PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 50PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 51PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 52PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 53PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 54PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 55PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 56PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 57PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 58PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 59PSCh. 5.7 - Prob. 60PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 1PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 2PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 3PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 4PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 5PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 6PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 7PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 8PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 9PSCh. 5.8 - Number the letters of the alphabet from 1 to 26;...Ch. 5.8 - Prob. 11PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 12PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 13PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 14PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 15PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 16PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 17PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 18PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 19PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 20PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 21PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 22PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 23PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 24PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 25PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 26PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 27PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 28PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 29PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 30PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 31PSCh. 5.8 - Give the decoding key for the encoding keys in...Ch. 5.8 - Prob. 33PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 34PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 35PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 36PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 37PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 38PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 39PSCh. 5.8 - Use Figure 5.25 to encode or decode the messages...Ch. 5.8 - Prob. 41PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 42PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 43PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 44PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 45PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 46PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 47PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 48PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 51PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 52PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 53PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 54PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 55PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 56PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 57PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 58PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 59PSCh. 5.8 - Prob. 60PSCh. 5.CR - Prob. 1CRCh. 5.CR - Prob. 2CRCh. 5.CR - Prob. 3CRCh. 5.CR - Prob. 4CRCh. 5.CR - Reduce each fraction. If it is reduced, so state....Ch. 5.CR - Prob. 6CRCh. 5.CR - Prob. 7CRCh. 5.CR - Prob. 8CRCh. 5.CR - Prob. 9CRCh. 5.CR - Prob. 10CRCh. 5.CR - Prob. 11CRCh. 5.CR - Prob. 12CRCh. 5.CR - Prob. 13CRCh. 5.CR - Prob. 14CRCh. 5.CR - Prob. 15CRCh. 5.CR - Prob. 16CRCh. 5.CR - Prob. 17CRCh. 5.CR - Do You Weigh Too Much? In the United States, an...Ch. 5.CR - Prob. 19CRCh. 5.CR - Prob. 20CR
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