PROBABILITY & STATS FOR ENGINEERING &SCI
9th Edition
ISBN: 9781285099804
Author: DEVORE
Publisher: CENGAGE L
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Question
Chapter 5.2, Problem 30E
a.
To determine
Find the
b.
To determine
Find the value of
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PEER REPLY 1:
Choose a classmate's Main Post and review their decision making process.
1. Choose a risk level for each of the states of nature (assign a probability
value to each).
2. Explain why each risk level is chosen.
3. Which alternative do you believe would be the best based on the maximum
EMV?
4. Do you feel determining the expected value with perfect information
(EVWPI) is worthwhile in this situation? Why or why not?
Questions
An insurance company's cumulative incurred claims for the last 5 accident years are given
in the following table:
Development Year
Accident Year 0
2018
1 2 3 4
245 267 274 289 292
2019
255 276 288 294
2020
265 283 292
2021
263 278
2022
271
It can be assumed that claims are fully run off after 4 years. The premiums received for
each year are:
Accident Year Premium
2018
306
2019
312
2020
318
2021
326
2022
330
You do not need to make any allowance for inflation.
1. (a) Calculate the reserve at the end of 2022 using the basic chain ladder method.
(b) Calculate the reserve at the end of 2022 using the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method.
2. Comment on the differences in the reserves produced by the methods in Part 1.
You are provided with data that includes all 50 states of the United States. Your task is to draw a sample of: o 20 States using Random Sampling (2 points: 1 for random number generation; 1 for random sample) o 10 States using Systematic Sampling (4 points: 1 for random numbers generation; 1 for random sample different from the previous answer; 1 for correct K value calculation table; 1 for correct sample drawn by using systematic sampling) (For systematic sampling, do not use the original data directly. Instead, first randomize the data, and then use the randomized dataset to draw your sample. Furthermore, do not use the random list previously generated, instead, generate a new random sample for this part. For more details, please see the snapshot provided at the end.) Upload a Microsoft Excel file with two separate sheets. One sheet provides random sampling while the other provides systematic sampling. Excel snapshots that can help you in organizing columns are provided on the next…
Chapter 5 Solutions
PROBABILITY & STATS FOR ENGINEERING &SCI
Ch. 5.1 - Prob. 1ECh. 5.1 - A large but sparsely populated county has two...Ch. 5.1 - A certain market has both an express checkout line...Ch. 5.1 - Return to the situation described in Exercise 3....Ch. 5.1 - The number of customers waiting for gift-wrap...Ch. 5.1 - Let X denote the number of Canon SLR cameras sold...Ch. 5.1 - Prob. 7ECh. 5.1 - A stockroom currently has 30 components of a...Ch. 5.1 - Each front tire on a particular type of vehicle is...Ch. 5.1 - Prob. 10E
Ch. 5.1 - Two different professors have just submitted final...Ch. 5.1 - Two components of a minicomputer have the...Ch. 5.1 - Prob. 13ECh. 5.1 - Suppose that you have ten lightbulbs, that the...Ch. 5.1 - Prob. 15ECh. 5.1 - Prob. 16ECh. 5.1 - An ecologist wishes to select a point inside a...Ch. 5.1 - Refer to Exercise 1 and answer the following...Ch. 5.1 - The joint pdf of pressures for right and left...Ch. 5.1 - Let X1, X2, X3, X4, X5, and X6 denote the numbers...Ch. 5.1 - Let X1, X2, and X3 be the lifetimes of components...Ch. 5.2 - An instructor has given a short quiz consisting of...Ch. 5.2 - The difference between the number of customers in...Ch. 5.2 - Six individuals, including A and B, take seats...Ch. 5.2 - A surveyor wishes to lay out a square region with...Ch. 5.2 - Prob. 26ECh. 5.2 - Annie and Alvie have agreed to meet for lunch...Ch. 5.2 - Show that if X and Y are independent rvs, then...Ch. 5.2 - Compute the correlation coefficient for X and Y...Ch. 5.2 - Prob. 30ECh. 5.2 - a. Compute the covariance between X and Y in...Ch. 5.2 - Reconsider the minicomputer component lifetimes X...Ch. 5.2 - Prob. 33ECh. 5.2 - a. Recalling the definition of 2 for a single rv...Ch. 5.2 - a. Use the rules of expected value to show that...Ch. 5.2 - Show that if Y = aX + b (a 0), then Corr(X, Y)...Ch. 5.3 - A particular brand of dishwasher soap is sold in...Ch. 5.3 - There are two traffic lights on a commuters route...Ch. 5.3 - It is known that 80% of all brand A external hard...Ch. 5.3 - A box contains ten sealed envelopes numbered 1, ....Ch. 5.3 - Let X be the number of packages being mailed by a...Ch. 5.3 - A company maintains three offices in a certain...Ch. 5.3 - Suppose the amount of liquid dispensed by a...Ch. 5.4 - Youngs modulus is a quantitative measure of...Ch. 5.4 - Refer to Exercise 46. Suppose the distribution is...Ch. 5.4 - The National Health Statistics Reports dated Oct....Ch. 5.4 - There are 40 students in an elementary statistics...Ch. 5.4 - Let X denote the courtship time for a randomly...Ch. 5.4 - The time taken by a randomly selected applicant...Ch. 5.4 - The lifetime of a certain type of battery is...Ch. 5.4 - Rockwell hardness of pins of a certain type is...Ch. 5.4 - Suppose the sediment density (g/cm) of a randomly...Ch. 5.4 - The number of parking tickets issued in a certain...Ch. 5.4 - A binary communication channel transmits a...Ch. 5.4 - Suppose the distribution of the time X (in hours)...Ch. 5.5 - A shipping company handles containers in three...Ch. 5.5 - Let X1, X2, and X3 represent the times necessary...Ch. 5.5 - Refer back to Example 5.31. Two cars with...Ch. 5.5 - Exercise 26 introduced random variables X and Y,...Ch. 5.5 - Manufacture of a certain component requires three...Ch. 5.5 - Refer to Exercise 3. a. Calculate the covariance...Ch. 5.5 - Suppose your waiting time for a bus in the morning...Ch. 5.5 - Suppose that when the pH of a certain chemical...Ch. 5.5 - If two loads are applied to a cantilever beam as...Ch. 5.5 - One piece of PVC pipe is to be inserted inside...Ch. 5.5 - Two airplanes are flying in the same direction in...Ch. 5.5 - Three different roads feed into a particular...Ch. 5.5 - Consider a random sample of size n from a...Ch. 5.5 - In Exercise 66, the weight of the beam itself...Ch. 5.5 - I have three errands to take care of in the...Ch. 5.5 - Suppose the expected tensile strength of type-A...Ch. 5.5 - In an area having sandy soil, 50 small trees of a...Ch. 5 - A restaurant serves three fixed-price dinners...Ch. 5 - In cost estimation, the total cost of a project is...Ch. 5 - Prob. 77SECh. 5 - According to the article Reliability Evaluation of...Ch. 5 - Suppose that for a certain individual, calorie...Ch. 5 - The mean weight of luggage checked by a randomly...Ch. 5 - We have seen that if E(X1) = E(X2) = =E(Xn) = ,...Ch. 5 - Suppose the proportion of rural voters in a...Ch. 5 - Let denote the true pH of a chemical compound. A...Ch. 5 - If the amount of soft drink that I consume on any...Ch. 5 - Refer to Exercise 58, and suppose that the Xis are...Ch. 5 - A student has a class that is supposed to end at...Ch. 5 - Garbage trucks entering a particular...Ch. 5 - Each customer making a particular Internet...Ch. 5 - a. Use the general formula for the variance of a...Ch. 5 - Suppose a randomly chosen individuals verbal score...Ch. 5 - Prob. 91SECh. 5 - Prob. 92SECh. 5 - Prob. 93SECh. 5 - Let A denote the percentage of one constituent in...Ch. 5 - Let X1, . . . , Xn be independent rvs with mean...Ch. 5 - A more accurate approximation to E[h(X1, . . . ,...Ch. 5 - Prob. 97SECh. 5 - Prob. 98SE
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