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Elementary Statistics with MyStatLab Access Code [With CDROM]
12th Edition
ISBN: 9780321890238
Author: Mario F. Triola
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 4.4, Problem 1BSC
Notation Let R be the
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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
Questions:
a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
4. Linear Regression - Model Assumptions and Interpretation
A real estate analyst is studying how house prices (Y) are related to house size in square feet (X). A simple
linear regression model is proposed:
The analyst fits the model and obtains:
•
Ŷ50,000+150X
YBoB₁X + €
•
R² = 0.76
• Residuals show a fan-shaped pattern when plotted against fitted values.
Questions:
a) Interpret the slope coefficient in context.
b) Explain what the R² value tells us about the model's performance.
c) Based on the residual pattern, what regression assumption is likely violated? What might be the
consequence?
d) Suggest at least two remedies to improve the model, based on the residual analysis.
Chapter 4 Solutions
Elementary Statistics with MyStatLab Access Code [With CDROM]
Ch. 4.2 - Florida Lottery Let A denote the event of placing...Ch. 4.2 - Probability Given that the following statement is...Ch. 4.2 - Interpreting Weather While this exercise was being...Ch. 4.2 - Subjective Probability Estimate the probability...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 5BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 6BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 7BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 8BSCCh. 4.2 - In Exercises 912, assume that 400 births are...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 912, assume that 400 births are...
Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 912, assume that 400 births are...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 912, assume that 400 births are...Ch. 4.2 - Traffic Light When arriving at the traffic light...Ch. 4.2 - Weather While this exercise was being created,...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 1320, express the indicated degree of...Ch. 4.2 - Pierced Ears Based on a Harris poll, there is a...Ch. 4.2 - SAT Test When making a random guess for an answer...Ch. 4.2 - Dice When rolling a pair of dice at the Bellagio...Ch. 4.2 - Statistics Test It is impossible to pass a...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 1320, express the indicated degree of...Ch. 4.2 - Pre-Employment Drug Screening Find the probability...Ch. 4.2 - Pre-Employment Drug Screening Hind the probability...Ch. 4.2 - Table 4-1 Pre-Employment Drug Screening Results...Ch. 4.2 - Table 4-1 Pre-Employment Drug Screening Results...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 2532, find the probability and answer...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 2532, find the probability and answer...Ch. 4.2 - Struck by Lightning In a recent year, 304 of the...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 2532, find the probability and answer...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 2532, find the probability and answer...Ch. 4.2 - Using Probability to Identify Unlikely Events. In...Ch. 4.2 - Using Probability to Identify Unlikely Events. In...Ch. 4.2 - Using Probability to Identify Unlikely Events. In...Ch. 4.2 - Using Probability to Identify Unlikely Events. In...Ch. 4.2 - Using Probability to Identify Unlikely Events. In...Ch. 4.2 - Using Probability to Identify Unlikely Events. In...Ch. 4.2 - Using Probability to Identify Unlikely Events. In...Ch. 4.2 - Probability from a Sample Space. In Exercises...Ch. 4.2 - Probability from a Sample Space. In Exercises...Ch. 4.2 - Two Children Exercise 37 lists the sample spice...Ch. 4.2 - Probability from a Sample Space. In Exercises...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 2532, find the probability and answer...Ch. 4.2 - In Exercises 2532, find the probability and answer...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 43BBCh. 4.2 - Finding Odds in Roulette A roulette wheel has 38...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 45BBCh. 4.2 - Prob. 46BBCh. 4.2 - Relative Risk and Odds Ratio In a clinical trial...Ch. 4.3 - Complements What is wrong with the expression?...Ch. 4.3 - Casino Craps A gambler plans to play the casino...Ch. 4.3 - Disjoint Events For a Gallup poll, M is the event...Ch. 4.3 - Rule of Complements One form of the rule of...Ch. 4.3 - Determining Whether Events Are Disjoint. For...Ch. 4.3 - Determining Whether Events Are Disjoint. For...Ch. 4.3 - Determining Whether Events Are Disjoint. For...Ch. 4.3 - Determining Whether Events Are Disjoint. For...Ch. 4.3 - Determining Whether Events Are Disjoint. For...Ch. 4.3 - Determining Whether Events Are Disjoint. For...Ch. 4.3 - Determining Whether Events Are Disjoint. For...Ch. 4.3 - Determining Whether Events Are Disjoint. For...Ch. 4.3 - Whatever A Marist poll survey showed that 47% of...Ch. 4.3 - Online Courses According to the National...Ch. 4.3 - Flirting Survey In a Microsoft Instant Messaging...Ch. 4.3 - Finding Complements. In Exercises 58, find the...Ch. 4.3 - Drug Screening If one of the test subjects is...Ch. 4.3 - Drug Screening If one of the test subjects is...Ch. 4.3 - Drug Screening If one of the subjects it randomly...Ch. 4.3 - Drug Screening If one of the subjects is randomly...Ch. 4.3 - Dosage Calculations. In Exercises 2126, use the...Ch. 4.3 - Dosage Calculations. In Exercises 2126, use the...Ch. 4.3 - Dosage Calculations. In Exercises 2126, use the...Ch. 4.3 - Dosage Calculations. In Exercises 2126, use the...Ch. 4.3 - Dosage Calculations. In Exercises 2126, use the...Ch. 4.3 - Dosage Calculations. In Exercises 2126, use the...Ch. 4.3 - Survey Refusals. In Exercises 2732, refer to the...Ch. 4.3 - Survey Refusals. In Exercises 2732, refer to the...Ch. 4.3 - Survey Refusals. In Exercises 2732, refer to the...Ch. 4.3 - Survey Refusals. In Exercises 2732, refer to the...Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 31BSCCh. 4.3 - Survey Refusals. In Exercises 2732, refer to the...Ch. 4.3 - In Exercises 3338, use these results from the...Ch. 4.3 - In Exercises 3338, use these results from the...Ch. 4.3 - In Exercises 3338, use these results from the...Ch. 4.3 - In Exercises 3338, use these results from the...Ch. 4.3 - In Exercises 3338, use these results from the...Ch. 4.3 - In Exercises 3338, use these results from the...Ch. 4.3 - Gender Selection When analyzing results from a...Ch. 4.3 - Disjoint Events If events A and B are disjoint and...Ch. 4.3 - Exclusive Or The formal addition rule expressed...Ch. 4.3 - Extending the Addition Rule Extend the formal...Ch. 4.3 - Complements and the Addition Rule a. Develop a...Ch. 4.4 - Notation Let R be the event of randomly selecting...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events Are events R and...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events True or false:...Ch. 4.4 - Sample for a Poll There are currently 28,741,346...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events. In Exercises...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events. In Exercises...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events. In Exercises...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events. In Exercises...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events. In Exercises...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events. In Exercises...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events. In Exercises...Ch. 4.4 - Independent and Dependent Events. In Exercises...Ch. 4.4 - Pro-Employment Drug Screening. In Exercises 1316,...Ch. 4.4 - Pre-Employment Drug Screening. In Exercises 1316,...Ch. 4.4 - Pre-Employment Drug Screening. In Exercises 1316,...Ch. 4.4 - Pre-Employment Drug Screening. In Exercises 1316,...Ch. 4.4 - Acceptance Sampling With one method of a procedure...Ch. 4.4 - Acceptance Sampling With one method of a procedure...Ch. 4.4 - Redundancy In Computer Hard Drives It is generally...Ch. 4.4 - Redundancy In Aircraft Radios The FAA requires...Ch. 4.4 - Born on the 4th of July For the following, ignore...Ch. 4.4 - Hiring Employees Assume that Google, Inc. hires...Ch. 4.4 - In Exercises 2326, use these results from the...Ch. 4.4 - In Exercises 2326, use these results from the...Ch. 4.4 - In Exercises 2326, use these results from the...Ch. 4.4 - Prob. 26BSCCh. 4.4 - In Exercises 2730, find the probabilities and...Ch. 4.4 - In Exercises 2730, find the probabilities and...Ch. 4.4 - Prob. 29BSCCh. 4.4 - In Exercises 2730, find the probabilities and...Ch. 4.4 - System Reliability Refer to the figure at the top...Ch. 4.4 - Prob. 32BBCh. 4.5 - Prob. 1BSCCh. 4.5 - Prob. 2BSCCh. 4.5 - Prob. 3BSCCh. 4.5 - Confusion of the Inverse Using the same events A...Ch. 4.5 - Describing Complements. In Exercises 58, provide a...Ch. 4.5 - Describing Complements. In Exercises 58, provide a...Ch. 4.5 - Describing Complements. In Exercises 58, provide a...Ch. 4.5 - Describing Complements. In Exercises 58, provide a...Ch. 4.5 - At Least One Correct Answer If you make random...Ch. 4.5 - At Least One Working Calculator A statistics...Ch. 4.5 - Probability of a Girl Assuming that boys and girls...Ch. 4.5 - At Least One Correct Answer If you make random...Ch. 4.5 - Births in the United States hi the United States,...Ch. 4.5 - Births in China In China, the probability of a...Ch. 4.5 - Car Crashes The probability of a randomly selected...Ch. 4.5 - Cleared Burglaries According 10 FBI data, 12.4% of...Ch. 4.5 - At Least One. In Exercises 5-12, find the...Ch. 4.5 - Compliments at Work Based on a poll conducted...Ch. 4.5 - In Exercises 19-24, refer to Table 4-1, included...Ch. 4.5 - In Exercises 19-24, refer to Table 4-1, included...Ch. 4.5 - In Exercises 19-24, refer to Table 4-1, included...Ch. 4.5 - In Exercises 19-24, refer to Table 4-1, included...Ch. 4.5 - In Exercises 19-24, refer to Table 4-1, included...Ch. 4.5 - In Exercises 19-24, refer to Table 4-1, included...Ch. 4.5 - Identical and Fraternal Twins. In Exercises 25-28,...Ch. 4.5 - Identical and Fraternal Twins. In Exercises 25-28,...Ch. 4.5 - Prob. 27BSCCh. 4.5 - Prob. 28BSCCh. 4.5 - Redundancy in Computer Hard Drives Assume that...Ch. 4.5 - Prob. 30BSCCh. 4.5 - Composite Drug Screening Based on the data in...Ch. 4.5 - Composite Water Samples The Fairfield County...Ch. 4.5 - Prob. 33BBCh. 4.5 - Prob. 34BBCh. 4.6 - Prob. 1BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 2BSCCh. 4.6 - California Daily 4 The winning numbers for the...Ch. 4.6 - Selections with Replacement When randomly...Ch. 4.6 - In Exercises 5-36, express all probabilities as...Ch. 4.6 - In Exercises 5-36, express all probabilities as...Ch. 4.6 - In Exercises 5-36, express all probabilities as...Ch. 4.6 - In Exercises 5-36, express all probabilities as...Ch. 4.6 - Prob. 9BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 10BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 11BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 12BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 13BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 14BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 15BSCCh. 4.6 - Florida Lottery Winning the jackpot in the Florida...Ch. 4.6 - Prob. 17BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 18BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 19BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 20BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 21BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 22BSCCh. 4.6 - In Exercises 5-36, express all probabilities as...Ch. 4.6 - Prob. 24BSCCh. 4.6 - Jumble Puzzle Many newspapers carry Jumble, a...Ch. 4.6 - Jumble Puzzle Many newspapers carry Jumble, a...Ch. 4.6 - Prob. 27BSCCh. 4.6 - Electricity When testing for current in a cable...Ch. 4.6 - Prob. 30BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 31BSCCh. 4.6 - In Exercises 5-36, express all probabilities as...Ch. 4.6 - Prob. 33BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 34BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 35BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 36BSCCh. 4.6 - Prob. 37BBCh. 4.6 - Prob. 38BBCh. 4.6 - Prob. 39BBCh. 4.6 - Prob. 40BBCh. 4 - A multiple-choice question on a statistics quiz...Ch. 4 - As the author is creating this exercise, a weather...Ch. 4 - Prob. 3CQQCh. 4 - Prob. 4CQQCh. 4 - Estimate the probability that a randomly selected...Ch. 4 - Prob. 6CQQCh. 4 - In Exercises 6-10, use site following results from...Ch. 4 - Prob. 8CQQCh. 4 - In Exercises 6-10, use site following results from...Ch. 4 - Prison and Plea. In Exercises 1-10, use the data...Ch. 4 - Prison and Plea. In Exercises 1-10, use the data...Ch. 4 - Prob. 3RECh. 4 - Prob. 4RECh. 4 - Prob. 5RECh. 4 - Prob. 6RECh. 4 - Prob. 7RECh. 4 - Prob. 8RECh. 4 - Prison and Plea. In Exercises 1-10, use the data...Ch. 4 - Prison and Plea. In Exercises 1-10, use the data...Ch. 4 - Prob. 11RECh. 4 - Prob. 12RECh. 4 - Prob. 13RECh. 4 - Prob. 14RECh. 4 - Prob. 15RECh. 4 - Prob. 16RECh. 4 - Prob. 17RECh. 4 - Trifecta In horse racing, a trifecta is a bet that...Ch. 4 - Prob. 1CRECh. 4 - Unusual/Unlikely Events a. The mean pulse rate for...Ch. 4 - Prob. 3CRECh. 4 - Prob. 4CRECh. 4 - Sampling Eye Color Based on a study by Dr. P....Ch. 4 - Prob. 6CRECh. 4 - Prob. 7CRECh. 4 - Prob. 1FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 2FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 3FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 4FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 5FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 6FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 7FDDCh. 4 - Critical Thinking: Interpreting medical test...Ch. 4 - Prob. 9FDD
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