WebAssign Printed Access Card for Brase/Brase's Understandable Statistics: Concepts and Methods, 12th Edition, Single-Term
12th Edition
ISBN: 9781337652551
Author: Charles Henry Brase, Corrinne Pellillo Brase
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 4.2, Problem 50P
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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
Questions:
a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
4. Linear Regression - Model Assumptions and Interpretation
A real estate analyst is studying how house prices (Y) are related to house size in square feet (X). A simple
linear regression model is proposed:
The analyst fits the model and obtains:
•
Ŷ50,000+150X
YBoB₁X + €
•
R² = 0.76
• Residuals show a fan-shaped pattern when plotted against fitted values.
Questions:
a) Interpret the slope coefficient in context.
b) Explain what the R² value tells us about the model's performance.
c) Based on the residual pattern, what regression assumption is likely violated? What might be the
consequence?
d) Suggest at least two remedies to improve the model, based on the residual analysis.
Chapter 4 Solutions
WebAssign Printed Access Card for Brase/Brase's Understandable Statistics: Concepts and Methods, 12th Edition, Single-Term
Ch. 4.1 - Statistical Literacy List three methods of...Ch. 4.1 - Prob. 2PCh. 4.1 - Prob. 3PCh. 4.1 - Statistical Literacy What is the law of large...Ch. 4.1 - Prob. 5PCh. 4.1 - Prob. 6PCh. 4.1 - Prob. 7PCh. 4.1 - Prob. 8PCh. 4.1 - Interpretation An investment opportunity boasts...Ch. 4.1 - Interpretation A sample space consists of 4 simple...
Ch. 4.1 - Critical Thinking Consider a family with 3...Ch. 4.1 - Prob. 12PCh. 4.1 - Prob. 13PCh. 4.1 - Critical Thinking (a) Explain why 0.41 cannot be...Ch. 4.1 - Myers-Briggs: Personality Types Isabel Briggs...Ch. 4.1 - General: Roll a Die (a) If you roll a single die...Ch. 4.1 - Psychology: Creativity When do creative people get...Ch. 4.1 - Agriculture: Cotton A botanist has developed a new...Ch. 4.1 - Expand Your Knowledge: Odds in Favor Sometimes...Ch. 4.1 - Expand Your Knowledge: Odds Against Betting odds...Ch. 4.1 - Business: Customers John runs a computer software...Ch. 4.2 - Statistical Literacy If two events are mutually...Ch. 4.2 - Statistical Literacy If two events A and B are...Ch. 4.2 - Basic Computation: Addition Rule Given P(A) = 0.3...Ch. 4.2 - Basic Computation: Addition Rule Given P(A) = 0.7...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 5PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 6PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 7PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 8PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 9PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 10PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 11PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 12PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 13PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 14PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 15PCh. 4.2 - Environmental: Land Formations Arches National...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 17PCh. 4.2 - General: Roll Two Dice You roll two fair dice, a...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 19PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 20PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 21PCh. 4.2 - General: Deck of Cards You draw two cards from a...Ch. 4.2 - General: Deck of Cards You draw two cards from a...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 24PCh. 4.2 - Marketing: Toys USA Today gave the information...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 26PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 27PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 28PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 29PCh. 4.2 - Survey: Medical Tests Diagnostic tests of medical...Ch. 4.2 - Survey: Lung/Heart In an article titled Diagnostic...Ch. 4.2 - Survey: Customer Loyalty Are customers more loyal...Ch. 4.2 - Franchise Stores: Profits Wing Foot is a shoe...Ch. 4.2 - Education: College of Nursing At Litchfield...Ch. 4.2 - Medical: Tuberculosis The state medical school has...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 36PCh. 4.2 - Brain Teasers Assume A and B are events such that...Ch. 4.2 - Brain Teasers Assume A and B are events such that...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 39PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 40PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 41PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 42PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 43PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 44PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 45PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 46PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 47PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 48PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 49PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 50PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 51PCh. 4.2 - Prob. 52PCh. 4.3 - Prob. 1PCh. 4.3 - Prob. 2PCh. 4.3 - Prob. 3PCh. 4.3 - Prob. 4PCh. 4.3 - Tree Diagram (a) Draw a tree diagram to display...Ch. 4.3 - Tree Diagram (a) Draw a tree diagram to display...Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 7PCh. 4.3 - Prob. 8PCh. 4.3 - Prob. 9PCh. 4.3 - Multiplication Rule for Counting A sales...Ch. 4.3 - Counting: Agriculture Barbara is a research...Ch. 4.3 - Counting: Outcomes You toss a pair of dice. (a)...Ch. 4.3 - Compute P5,2.Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 14PCh. 4.3 - Compute P7,7.Ch. 4.3 - Compute P9,9.Ch. 4.3 - Compute C5,2.Ch. 4.3 - Compute C8,3.Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 19PCh. 4.3 - Prob. 20PCh. 4.3 - Counting: Hiring There are three nursing positions...Ch. 4.3 - Counting: Lottery In the Cash Now lottery game...Ch. 4.3 - Counting: Sports The University of Montana ski...Ch. 4.3 - Counting: Sales During the Computer Daze special...Ch. 4.3 - Counting: Hiring There are 15 qualified applicants...Ch. 4.3 - Counting: Grading One professor grades homework by...Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 27PCh. 4.3 - Counting: Powerball The Viewpoint of this section,...Ch. 4 - Prob. 1CRPCh. 4 - Prob. 2CRPCh. 4 - Prob. 3CRPCh. 4 - Prob. 4CRPCh. 4 - Prob. 5CRPCh. 4 - Prob. 6CRPCh. 4 - Prob. 7CRPCh. 4 - Critical Thinking For a class activity, your group...Ch. 4 - Prob. 9CRPCh. 4 - Prob. 10CRPCh. 4 - Prob. 11CRPCh. 4 - Prob. 12CRPCh. 4 - Prob. 13CRPCh. 4 - Prob. 14CRPCh. 4 - Prob. 15CRPCh. 4 - Prob. 16CRPCh. 4 - Prob. 17CRPCh. 4 - Prob. 18CRPCh. 4 - Prob. 19CRPCh. 4 - Prob. 20CRPCh. 4 - Look at Figure 4-11, Whos Cracking the Books? (a)...Ch. 4 - Prob. 2LCCh. 4 - Prob. 1UT
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