EP ELEMENTARY STAT.USING EXC.-MYSTATLAB
7th Edition
ISBN: 9780136961888
Author: Triola
Publisher: PEARSON CO
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Chapter 4.1, Problem 30BSC
To determine
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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
Questions:
a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
4. Linear Regression - Model Assumptions and Interpretation
A real estate analyst is studying how house prices (Y) are related to house size in square feet (X). A simple
linear regression model is proposed:
The analyst fits the model and obtains:
•
Ŷ50,000+150X
YBoB₁X + €
•
R² = 0.76
• Residuals show a fan-shaped pattern when plotted against fitted values.
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a) Interpret the slope coefficient in context.
b) Explain what the R² value tells us about the model's performance.
c) Based on the residual pattern, what regression assumption is likely violated? What might be the
consequence?
d) Suggest at least two remedies to improve the model, based on the residual analysis.
Chapter 4 Solutions
EP ELEMENTARY STAT.USING EXC.-MYSTATLAB
Ch. 4.1 - Prob. 1BSCCh. 4.1 - 2. Probability Rewrite the following statement so...Ch. 4.1 - Prob. 3BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 4BSCCh. 4.1 - 5. Identifying Probability Values Which of the...Ch. 4.1 - 6. Penicillin “Who discovered penicillin: Sean...Ch. 4.1 - Prob. 7BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 8BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 9BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 10BSC
Ch. 4.1 - Prob. 11BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 12BSCCh. 4.1 - In Exercises 13-20, express the indicated degree...Ch. 4.1 - 14. SAT Test When making a random guess for an...Ch. 4.1 - Prob. 15BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 16BSCCh. 4.1 - 17. Randomness When using a computer to randomly...Ch. 4.1 - Prob. 18BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 19BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 20BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 21BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 22BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 23BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 24BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 25BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 26BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 27BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 28BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 29BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 30BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 31BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 32BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 33BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 34BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 35BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 36BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 37BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 38BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 39BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 40BSCCh. 4.1 - Prob. 41BBCh. 4.1 - Prob. 42BBCh. 4.1 - Prob. 43BBCh. 4.1 - Prob. 44BBCh. 4.2 - Prob. 1BSCCh. 4.2 - 2. Notation When randomly selecting adults, let M...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 3BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 4BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 5BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 6BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 7BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 8BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 9BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 10BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 11BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 12BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 13BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 14BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 15BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 16BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 17BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 18BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 19BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 20BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 21BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 22BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 23BSCCh. 4.2 - In Exercises 21-24, use these results from the...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 25BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 26BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 27BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 28BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 29BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 30BSCCh. 4.2 - Prob. 31BBCh. 4.2 - 32. Same Birthdays If 25 people are randomly...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 33BBCh. 4.2 - Prob. 34BBCh. 4.3 - Prob. 1BSCCh. 4.3 - Prob. 2BSCCh. 4.3 - Prob. 3BSCCh. 4.3 - Prob. 4BSCCh. 4.3 - Prob. 5BSCCh. 4.3 - Prob. 6BSCCh. 4.3 - Prob. 7BSCCh. 4.3 - Prob. 8BSCCh. 4.3 - Prob. 9BSCCh. 4.3 - At Least One. In Exercises 5-12, find the...Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 11BSCCh. 4.3 - Prob. 12BSCCh. 4.3 - Denomination Effect. In Exercises 13-16, use the...Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 14BSCCh. 4.3 - Prob. 15BSCCh. 4.3 - Denomination Effect. In Exercises 13-16, use the...Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 17BSCCh. 4.3 - Prob. 18BSCCh. 4.3 - Prob. 19BSCCh. 4.3 - Prob. 20BSCCh. 4.3 - Prob. 21BSCCh. 4.3 - Prob. 22BSCCh. 4.3 - Prob. 23BSCCh. 4.3 - 24. Composite Water Samples The Fairfield County...Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 25BBCh. 4.3 - Prob. 26BBCh. 4.4 - Prob. 1BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 2BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 3BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 4BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 5BSCCh. 4.4 - 6. Social Security Numbers A Social Security...Ch. 4.4 - Prob. 7BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 8BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 9BSCCh. 4.4 - 10. Radio Station Call Letters If radio station...Ch. 4.4 - Prob. 11BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 12BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 13BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 14BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 15BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 16BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 17BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 18BSCCh. 4.4 - 19. ZIP Code If you randomly select five digits,...Ch. 4.4 - Prob. 20BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 21BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 22BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 23BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 24BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 25BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 26BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 27BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 28BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 29BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 31BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 32BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 33BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 34BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 35BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 36BSCCh. 4.4 - Prob. 37BBCh. 4.4 - Prob. 38BBCh. 4.4 - Prob. 39BBCh. 4.5 - Prob. 1BSCCh. 4.5 - Prob. 2BSCCh. 4.5 - Prob. 3BSCCh. 4.5 - Prob. 4BSCCh. 4.5 - Prob. 5BSCCh. 4.5 - Prob. 6BSCCh. 4.5 - Prob. 7BSCCh. 4.5 - Prob. 8BSCCh. 4.5 - Prob. 9BSCCh. 4.5 - Prob. 10BSCCh. 4.5 - Prob. 11BSCCh. 4.5 - Prob. 12BSCCh. 4.5 - Prob. 13BBCh. 4.5 - Prob. 14BBCh. 4.5 - Prob. 15BBCh. 4 - Prob. 1CQQCh. 4 - Prob. 2CQQCh. 4 - Prob. 3CQQCh. 4 - Prob. 4CQQCh. 4 - Prob. 5CQQCh. 4 - Prob. 6CQQCh. 4 - Prob. 7CQQCh. 4 - Prob. 8CQQCh. 4 - Prob. 9CQQCh. 4 - Prob. 10CQQCh. 4 - Prob. 1RECh. 4 - Prob. 2RECh. 4 - Prob. 3RECh. 4 - Prob. 4RECh. 4 - Prob. 5RECh. 4 - Prob. 6RECh. 4 - Prob. 7RECh. 4 - Prob. 8RECh. 4 - Prob. 9RECh. 4 - Prob. 10RECh. 4 - Prob. 11RECh. 4 - Prob. 12RECh. 4 - Prob. 13RECh. 4 - Prob. 14RECh. 4 - Prob. 15RECh. 4 - Prob. 1CRECh. 4 - Prob. 2CRECh. 4 - Prob. 3CRECh. 4 - Prob. 4CRECh. 4 - Prob. 5CRECh. 4 - Prob. 1FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 2FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 3FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 4FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 5FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 6FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 7FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 8FDDCh. 4 - Prob. 9FDD
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