Do rational expectations tend to look back at past experience while adaptive expectations look ahead to the future? Explain your answer.
Whether rational expectations look back at past experience while the adaptive expectations look ahead to the future is to be determined.
Explanation of Solution
The perspective of rational expectations supports that many people incorporate excellent information about the economic events and impact of the economy. This may lead to prompt price and other important economic adjustments. On the other hand, adaptive expectations theory worked on policy in which people have precise or limited information about economic information and other aspects with the impact of economy procedures. This may lead to a slow growth of price and other important economic adjustments.
As per the definition, rational expectations seek to predict the future as accurately as possible by using past experience as a departure point. While, adaptive expectations are largely backwards looking; that is, they adapt as experience accumulates, without attempting to look at future.
Therefore the statement is incorrect.
Rational Expectation: According to the theory of rational expectations; people form the most accurate possible expectations about the future that they can, using all information available to them.
Adaptive Expectations: According to the theory of adaptive expectations; people look at past experience and gradually adapt their beliefs and behaviour as circumstances change, but are not perfect synthesizers of information and accurate predictors of the future in the sense of rational expectations theory.
Want to see more full solutions like this?
Chapter 26 Solutions
PRINCIPLES OF ECONOMICS
Additional Business Textbook Solutions
Operations Management
Horngren's Financial & Managerial Accounting, The Financial Chapters (Book & Access Card)
Business Essentials (12th Edition) (What's New in Intro to Business)
Horngren's Accounting (12th Edition)
Financial Accounting (12th Edition) (What's New in Accounting)
- 2. Question The 'Democratic Family' consists of three members {mother m, father f, daughter d}, that have different preferences with respect to how much money X € [0,8] they think should be invested in the new family car. These preferences can be represented by the following utility functions: - Mother m: um(X) = 2X - X² Father f: uf(X) = 10X - X² - Daughter d: ud(X) = 4X - X² Calculate for each family member (f, m, d) the preferred amount of money to invest in the new car denoted by X; for i = {m, f,d}. Assume that (Xf, Xm, Xd) are the three alternatives on which the family must decide. Show that each family member has rational preferences over this domain. Preferences on the family level are determined by pairwise majority voting (all family members vote on two alternatives). Derive the family preference and check whether it is rational. Assume that the final family decision is made by conducting sequential pair- wise majority voting, where the loosing alternative is eliminated. Does…arrow_forward3. Question You invented a new lateral-flow test for asymptomatic Covid-19 detection, where saliva is entered into a test-tube and then the result is shown directly on the device. However, to save on costly chemicals you designed the tests such that it always reports a negative test result. Assume that the incidence rate is 5 per 1000 and that your test is used for detection of asymptomatic cases (without symptoms). (a) Calculate the probability that 100 randomly determined volunteers receive a correct test result by using the AND-rule and the OR-rule. Can your test be qualified as a diagnostic test? (b) The health authorities are investigating the performance of your test. Government guidelines require a specificity (conditional probability to re- ceive a negative test result given that the test-taker is not infected with COVID19) of at least 97% and a sensitivity (conditional probability to receive a positive test result given that the test-taker is infected with COVID-19) of at…arrow_forward3. Question You invented a new lateral-flow test for asymptomatic Covid-19 detection, where saliva is entered into a test-tube and then the result is shown directly on the device. However, to save on costly chemicals you designed the tests such that it always reports a negative test result. Assume that the incidence rate is 5 per 1000 and that your test is used for detection of asymptomatic cases (without symptoms). (a) Calculate the probability that 100 randomly determined volunteers receive a correct test result by using the AND-rule and the OR-rule. Can your test be qualified as a diagnostic test? (b) The health authorities are investigating the performance of your test. Government guidelines require a specificity (conditional probability to re- ceive a negative test result given that the test-taker is not infected with COVID19) of at least 97% and a sensitivity (conditional probability to receive a positive test result given that the test-taker is infected with COVID-19) of at…arrow_forward
- I need expert handwritten solutionsarrow_forwardmachine A operated manually cost 2000naira has a life of 2 years, while an automatic machine B cost 5000naira but has a life of 4 years,operating cost for machine A is 4000naira per year while of machine B is 3000naira only, which should be purchased?consider 10% interest I need expert handwritten solutionsarrow_forwardDon't used Ai solutionarrow_forward
- Economics (MindTap Course List)EconomicsISBN:9781337617383Author:Roger A. ArnoldPublisher:Cengage Learning
- Economics Today and Tomorrow, Student EditionEconomicsISBN:9780078747663Author:McGraw-HillPublisher:Glencoe/McGraw-Hill School Pub Co