Practical Management Science
Practical Management Science
5th Edition
ISBN: 9781305250901
Author: Wayne L. Winston, S. Christian Albright
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 2.6, Problem 10P
Summary Introduction

To find: The best fitting linear, power and exponential trend lines and also calculate MAPE.

Forecasting:

Forecasting is a method utilized by organizations to project future demand and implement their production strategies accordingly. Forecasting is essential for developing the budget, marketing plans and for making other financial considerations.

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1) View the video Service Processing at BuyCostumes (10.41 minutes, Ctrl+Click on the link); what are your key takeaways (tie to one or more of the topics discussed in Chapter 3) after watching this video. (viddler.com/embed/a6b7054c)       Note: As a rough guideline, please try to keep the written submission to one or two paragraphs.       2) Orkhon Foods makes hand-held pies (among other products). The firm’s weekly sales of hand-held pies over the past seven weeks are given in the table. The firm’s operations manager, Amarjargal, wants to forecast sales for week 8.   Weeks Sales of hand-held pies(000s) 1 19 2 18 3 17 4 20 5 18 6 22 7 20   Forecast the week 8 sales using the following approaches:   a) Naïve approach b) 5-month moving average c) 3-month weighted moving average using the following weights: 0.50 for week 7, 0.30 for week 6, and 0.20 for week 5. d) Exponential smoothing using a smoothing constant of 0.30, assume a…
Answer all parts to question 4 and show all working
1) View the video Service Processing at BuyCostumes (10.41 minutes, Ctrl+Click on the link); what are your key takeaways (tie to one or more of the topics discussed in Chapter 3) after watching this video. (viddler.com/embed/a6b7054c)   Note: As a rough guideline, please try to keep the written submission to one or two paragraphs.   2) Orkhon Foods makes hand-held pies (among other products). The firm’s weekly sales of hand-held pies over the past seven weeks are given in the table. The firm’s operations manager, Amarjargal, wants to forecast sales for week 8.   Weeks Sales of hand-held pies(000s) 1 19 2 18 3 17 4 20 5 18 6 22 7 20 Forecast the week 8 sales using the following approaches:   a) Naïve approach b) 5-month moving average c) 3-month weighted moving average using the following weights: 0.50 for week 7, 0.30 for week 6, and 0.20 for week 5. d) Exponential smoothing using a smoothing constant of 0.30, assume a week 2…
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