Mylab Math With Pearson Etext -- 18 Week Standalone Access Card -- For Basic Technical Mathematics With Calculus
11th Edition
ISBN: 9780135902912
Author: Allyn J. Washington
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 20.5, Problem 23E
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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
Questions:
a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
answer number 6
Chapter 20 Solutions
Mylab Math With Pearson Etext -- 18 Week Standalone Access Card -- For Basic Technical Mathematics With Calculus
Ch. 20.1 - Prob. 1PECh. 20.1 - Prob. 2PECh. 20.1 - Prob. 3PECh. 20.1 - Prob. 1ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 2ECh. 20.1 - In Exercises 36, use a calculator to check the...Ch. 20.1 - Prob. 4ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 5ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 6ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 7E
Ch. 20.1 - Prob. 8ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 9ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 10ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 11ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 12ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 13ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 14ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 15ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 16ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 17ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 18ECh. 20.1 - In Exercises 19–38, prove the given identities.
Ch. 20.1 - Prob. 20ECh. 20.1 - In Exercises 19–38, prove the given identities.
Ch. 20.1 - Prob. 22ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 23ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 24ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 25ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 26ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 27ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 28ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 29ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 30ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 31ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 32ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 33ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 34ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 35ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 36ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 37ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 38ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 39ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 40ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 41ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 42ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 43ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 44ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 45ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 46ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 47ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 48ECh. 20.1 - In Exercises 47–50, for a first-quadrant angle,...Ch. 20.1 - Prob. 50ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 51ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 52ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 53ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 54ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 55ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 56ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 57ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 58ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 59ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 60ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 61ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 62ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 63ECh. 20.1 - In Exercise 63–70, solve the given...Ch. 20.1 - Prob. 65ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 66ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 67ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 68ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 69ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 70ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 71ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 72ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 73ECh. 20.1 - Prob. 74ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 1PECh. 20.2 - Prob. 2PECh. 20.2 - Prob. 1ECh. 20.2 - In Exercises 1 and 2, make the given changes in...Ch. 20.2 - Prob. 3ECh. 20.2 - In Exercises 36, determine the values of the given...Ch. 20.2 - Prob. 5ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 6ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 7ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 8ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 9ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 10ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 11ECh. 20.2 - In Exercises 1120, simplify the given...Ch. 20.2 - Prob. 13ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 14ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 15ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 16ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 17ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 18ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 19ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 20ECh. 20.2 - In Exercises 2124, evaluate each expression by...Ch. 20.2 - In Exercises 21–24, evaluate each expression by...Ch. 20.2 - Prob. 23ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 24ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 25ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 26ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 27ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 28ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 29ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 30ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 31ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 32ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 33ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 34ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 35ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 36ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 37ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 38ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 39ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 40ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 41ECh. 20.2 - In Exercises 4154, solve the given...Ch. 20.2 - Prob. 43ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 44ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 45ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 46ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 47ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 48ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 49ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 50ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 51ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 52ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 53ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 54ECh. 20.3 - Evaluate cos 90° using values for 45°.
Ch. 20.3 - Simplify:
Ch. 20.3 - In Exercises 1–4, make the given changes in the...Ch. 20.3 - In Exercises 1–4, make the given changes in the...Ch. 20.3 - In Exercises 1–4, make the given changes in the...Ch. 20.3 - Prob. 4ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 5ECh. 20.3 - In Exercises 5–8, determine the values of the...Ch. 20.3 - Prob. 7ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 8ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 9ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 10ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 11ECh. 20.3 - In Exercises 9–14, use a calculator to verify the...Ch. 20.3 - Prob. 13ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 14ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 15ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 16ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 17ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 18ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 19ECh. 20.3 - In Exercises 19–30, simplify the given...Ch. 20.3 - In Exercises 19–30, simplify the given...Ch. 20.3 - Prob. 22ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 23ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 24ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 25ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 26ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 27ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 28ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 29ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 30ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 31ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 32ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 33ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 34ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 35ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 36ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 37ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 38ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 39ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 40ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 41ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 42ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 43ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 44ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 45ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 46ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 47ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 48ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 49ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 50ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 51ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 52ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 53ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 54ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 55ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 56ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 57ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 58ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 59ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 60ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 61ECh. 20.3 - Prob. 62ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 1PECh. 20.4 - Prob. 1ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 3ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 4ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 5ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 6ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 7ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 8ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 9ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 10ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 11ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 12ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 13ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 14ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 15ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 16ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 17ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 18ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 19ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 20ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 21ECh. 20.4 - In Exercises 21–24, evaluate the indicated...Ch. 20.4 - Prob. 23ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 24ECh. 20.4 - In Exercises 25–28, derive the required...Ch. 20.4 - Prob. 26ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 27ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 28ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 29ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 30ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 31ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 32ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 33ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 34ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 35ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 36ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 37ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 38ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 39ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 40ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 41ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 42ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 43ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 44ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 45ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 46ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 47ECh. 20.4 - Prob. 48ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 1PECh. 20.5 - Prob. 2PECh. 20.5 - Prob. 1ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 2ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 3ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 4ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 5ECh. 20.5 - In Exercises 5–20, solve the given trigonometric...Ch. 20.5 - Prob. 7ECh. 20.5 - In Exercises 5–20, solve the given trigonometric...Ch. 20.5 - Prob. 9ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 10ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 11ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 12ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 13ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 14ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 15ECh. 20.5 - In Exercises 5–20, solve the given trigonometric...Ch. 20.5 - Prob. 17ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 18ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 19ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 20ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 21ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 22ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 23ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 24ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 25ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 26ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 27ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 28ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 29ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 30ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 31ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 32ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 33ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 34ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 35ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 36ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 37ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 38ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 39ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 40ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 41ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 42ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 43ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 44ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 45ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 46ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 47ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 48ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 49ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 50ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 51ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 52ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 53ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 54ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 55ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 56ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 57ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 58ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 59ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 60ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 61ECh. 20.5 - Prob. 62ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 1PECh. 20.6 - Prob. 2PECh. 20.6 - Prob. 1ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 2ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 3ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 4ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 5ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 6ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 7ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 8ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 9ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 10ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 11ECh. 20.6 -
In Exercises 11—28, evaluate exactly the given...Ch. 20.6 -
In Exercises 11—28, evaluate exactly the given...Ch. 20.6 -
In Exercises 11—28, evaluate exactly the given...Ch. 20.6 - Prob. 15ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 16ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 17ECh. 20.6 -
In Exercises 11—28, evaluate exactly the given...Ch. 20.6 - Prob. 19ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 20ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 21ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 22ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 23ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 24ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 25ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 26ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 27ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 28ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 29ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 30ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 31ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 32ECh. 20.6 -
In Exercises 29—36, use a calculator to evaluate...Ch. 20.6 -
In Exercises 29—36, use a calculator to evaluate...Ch. 20.6 - Prob. 35ECh. 20.6 -
In Exercises 29—36, use a calculator to evaluate...Ch. 20.6 - Prob. 37ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 38ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 39ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 40ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 41ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 42ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 43ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 44ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 45ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 46ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 47ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 48ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 49ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 50ECh. 20.6 - In Exercises 51–56, solve the given problems with...Ch. 20.6 - Prob. 52ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 53ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 54ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 55ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 56ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 57ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 58ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 59ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 60ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 61ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 62ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 63ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 64ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 65ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 66ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 67ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 68ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 69ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 70ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 71ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 72ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 73ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 74ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 75ECh. 20.6 - Prob. 76ECh. 20 - Prob. 1RECh. 20 - Prob. 2RECh. 20 - Prob. 3RECh. 20 - Prob. 4RECh. 20 - Prob. 5RECh. 20 - Prob. 6RECh. 20 - Prob. 7RECh. 20 - Prob. 8RECh. 20 - Prob. 9RECh. 20 - Prob. 10RECh. 20 - Prob. 11RECh. 20 - Prob. 12RECh. 20 - Prob. 13RECh. 20 - Prob. 14RECh. 20 - In Exercises 15–22, simplify the given expressions...Ch. 20 - In Exercises 15–22, simplify the given expressions...Ch. 20 - Prob. 17RECh. 20 - Prob. 18RECh. 20 - Prob. 19RECh. 20 - Prob. 20RECh. 20 - Prob. 21RECh. 20 - Prob. 22RECh. 20 - Prob. 23RECh. 20 - Prob. 24RECh. 20 - Prob. 25RECh. 20 - Prob. 26RECh. 20 - Prob. 27RECh. 20 - Prob. 28RECh. 20 - Prob. 29RECh. 20 - Prob. 30RECh. 20 - Prob. 31RECh. 20 - Prob. 32RECh. 20 - Prob. 33RECh. 20 - Prob. 34RECh. 20 - Prob. 35RECh. 20 - Prob. 36RECh. 20 - Prob. 37RECh. 20 - Prob. 38RECh. 20 - Prob. 39RECh. 20 - Prob. 40RECh. 20 - Prob. 41RECh. 20 - Prob. 42RECh. 20 - Prob. 43RECh. 20 - Prob. 44RECh. 20 - Prob. 45RECh. 20 - Prob. 46RECh. 20 - Prob. 47RECh. 20 - Prob. 48RECh. 20 - Prob. 50RECh. 20 - Prob. 51RECh. 20 - Prob. 52RECh. 20 - Prob. 53RECh. 20 - Prob. 54RECh. 20 -
In Exercises 51—58, simplify the given...Ch. 20 - Prob. 56RECh. 20 - Prob. 57RECh. 20 - Prob. 58RECh. 20 - Prob. 59RECh. 20 - Prob. 60RECh. 20 - Prob. 61RECh. 20 - Prob. 62RECh. 20 - Prob. 63RECh. 20 - Prob. 64RECh. 20 - Prob. 65RECh. 20 - Prob. 66RECh. 20 - Prob. 67RECh. 20 - Prob. 68RECh. 20 - Prob. 69RECh. 20 - Prob. 70RECh. 20 - Prob. 71RECh. 20 - Prob. 72RECh. 20 - Prob. 73RECh. 20 - Prob. 74RECh. 20 - Prob. 75RECh. 20 - Prob. 76RECh. 20 - Prob. 77RECh. 20 - Prob. 78RECh. 20 - Prob. 79RECh. 20 - Prob. 80RECh. 20 - Prob. 81RECh. 20 - Prob. 82RECh. 20 - Prob. 83RECh. 20 - Prob. 84RECh. 20 - Prob. 85RECh. 20 - Prob. 86RECh. 20 - Prob. 87RECh. 20 - Prob. 88RECh. 20 - Prob. 89RECh. 20 - Prob. 90RECh. 20 - Prob. 91RECh. 20 - Prob. 92RECh. 20 - Prob. 93RECh. 20 - Prob. 94RECh. 20 - Prob. 95RECh. 20 - Prob. 96RECh. 20 - Prob. 97RECh. 20 - Prob. 98RECh. 20 - Prob. 99RECh. 20 - Prob. 100RECh. 20 - Prob. 101RECh. 20 - Prob. 102RECh. 20 - Prob. 103RECh. 20 - Prob. 104RECh. 20 - Prob. 105RECh. 20 - Prob. 106RECh. 20 - Prob. 107RECh. 20 - Prob. 108RECh. 20 - Prob. 109RECh. 20 - Prob. 110RECh. 20 - Prob. 111RECh. 20 - Prob. 112RECh. 20 - Prob. 113RECh. 20 - Prob. 114RECh. 20 - Prob. 115RECh. 20 - Prob. 116RECh. 20 - Prob. 117RECh. 20 - Prob. 118RECh. 20 - Prob. 119RECh. 20 - Prob. 120RECh. 20 - Prob. 121RECh. 20 - Prob. 122RECh. 20 - Prob. 123RECh. 20 - Prob. 124RECh. 20 - Prob. 125RECh. 20 - Prob. 126RECh. 20 - Prob. 127RECh. 20 - Prob. 128RECh. 20 - Prob. 129RECh. 20 - Prob. 130RECh. 20 - Prob. 131RECh. 20 - Prob. 1PTCh. 20 - Prob. 2PTCh. 20 - Prob. 3PTCh. 20 - Prob. 4PTCh. 20 - Prob. 5PTCh. 20 - Prob. 6PTCh. 20 - Prob. 7PTCh. 20 - Prob. 8PTCh. 20 - Prob. 9PTCh. 20 - Prob. 10PT
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