Mathematical Statistics with Applications
7th Edition
ISBN: 9780495110811
Author: Dennis Wackerly, William Mendenhall, Richard L. Scheaffer
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 2, Problem 175SE
To determine
Define the Events A, B, and C.
Check whether the Events A, B, and C are mutually independent or not.
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(c) Because logistic regression predicts probabilities of outcomes, observations used to build a logistic regression model need not be independent.
A. false: all observations must be independent
B. true
C. false: only observations with the same outcome need to be independent
I ANSWERED: A. false: all observations must be independent.
(This was marked wrong but I have no idea why. Isn't this a basic assumption of logistic regression)
Business discuss
Spam filters are built on principles similar to those used in logistic regression. We fit a probability that each message is spam or not spam. We have several variables for each email. Here are a few: to_multiple=1 if there are multiple recipients, winner=1 if the word 'winner' appears in the subject line, format=1 if the email is poorly formatted, re_subj=1 if "re" appears in the subject line. A logistic model was fit to a dataset with the following output:
Estimate
SE
Z
Pr(>|Z|)
(Intercept)
-0.8161
0.086
-9.4895
0
to_multiple
-2.5651
0.3052
-8.4047
0
winner
1.5801
0.3156
5.0067
0
format
-0.1528
0.1136
-1.3451
0.1786
re_subj
-2.8401
0.363
-7.824
0
(a) Write down the model using the coefficients from the model fit.log_odds(spam) = -0.8161 + -2.5651 + to_multiple + 1.5801 winner + -0.1528 format + -2.8401 re_subj(b) Suppose we have an observation where to_multiple=0, winner=1, format=0, and re_subj=0. What is the predicted probability that this message is spam?…
Chapter 2 Solutions
Mathematical Statistics with Applications
Ch. 2.3 - Suppose a family contains two children of...Ch. 2.3 - Suppose that A and B are two events. Write...Ch. 2.3 - Prob. 3ECh. 2.3 - Prob. 4ECh. 2.3 - Refer to Exercise 2.4. Use the identities...Ch. 2.3 - Suppose two dice are tossed and the numbers on the...Ch. 2.3 - A group of five applicants for a pair of identical...Ch. 2.3 - From a survey of 60 students attending a...Ch. 2.4 - The proportions of blood phenotypes. A, B, AB, and...Ch. 2.4 - The proportions of blood phenotypes. A, B, AB, and...
Ch. 2.4 - A sample space consists of five simple events. E1,...Ch. 2.4 - A vehicle arriving at an intersection can turn...Ch. 2.4 - Americans can be quite suspicious, especially when...Ch. 2.4 - A survey classified a large number of adults...Ch. 2.4 - An oil prospecting firm hits oil or gas on 10% of...Ch. 2.4 - Prob. 16ECh. 2.4 - Hydraulic landing assemblies coming from an...Ch. 2.4 - Suppose two balanced coins are tossed and the...Ch. 2.4 - A business office orders paper supplies from one...Ch. 2.4 - The following game was played on a popular...Ch. 2.4 - If A and B are events, use the result derived in...Ch. 2.4 - If A and B are events and B A, use the result...Ch. 2.4 - Prob. 23ECh. 2.4 - Use the result in Exercise 2.22 and the Axioms in...Ch. 2.5 - A single car is randomly selected from among all...Ch. 2.5 - According to Websters New Collegiate Dictionary, a...Ch. 2.5 - In Exercise 2.12 we considered a situation where...Ch. 2.5 - Four equally qualified people apply for two...Ch. 2.5 - Two additional jurors are needed to complete a...Ch. 2.5 - Three imported wines are to be ranked from lowest...Ch. 2.5 - A boxcar contains six complex electronic systems....Ch. 2.5 - A retailer sells only two styles of stereo...Ch. 2.5 - The Bureau of the Census reports that the median...Ch. 2.5 - Patients arriving at a hospital outpatient clinic...Ch. 2.6 - An airline has six flights from New York to...Ch. 2.6 - Prob. 36ECh. 2.6 - A businesswoman in Philadelphia is preparing an...Ch. 2.6 - An upscale restaurant offers a special fixe prix...Ch. 2.6 - An experiment consists of tossing a pair of dice....Ch. 2.6 - A brand of automobile comes in five different...Ch. 2.6 - Prob. 41ECh. 2.6 - Prob. 42ECh. 2.6 - A fleet of nine taxis is to be dispatched to three...Ch. 2.6 - Refer to Exercise 2.43. Assume that taxis are...Ch. 2.6 - Prob. 45ECh. 2.6 - Ten teams are playing in a basketball tournament....Ch. 2.6 - Refer to Exercise 2.46. If 2n teams are to be...Ch. 2.6 - Prob. 48ECh. 2.6 - Students attending the University of Florida can...Ch. 2.6 - Prob. 50ECh. 2.6 - A local fraternity is conducting a raffle where 50...Ch. 2.6 - An experimenter wishes to investigate the effect...Ch. 2.6 - Five firms, F1, F2,, F5, each offer bids on three...Ch. 2.6 - A group of three undergraduate and five graduate...Ch. 2.6 - A study is to be conducted in a hospital to...Ch. 2.6 - A student prepares for an exam by studying a list...Ch. 2.6 - Two cards are drawn from a standard 52-card...Ch. 2.6 - Five cards are dealt from a standard 52-card deck....Ch. 2.6 - Prob. 59ECh. 2.6 - Refer to Example 2.7. Suppose that we record the...Ch. 2.6 - Prob. 61ECh. 2.6 - A manufacturer has nine distinct motors in stock,...Ch. 2.6 - The eight-member Human Relations Advisory Board of...Ch. 2.6 - A balanced die is tossed six times, and the number...Ch. 2.6 - Prob. 65ECh. 2.6 - Refer to Example 2.10. What is the probability...Ch. 2.6 - Refer to Example 2.13. Suppose that the number of...Ch. 2.6 - Show that, for any integer n 1, a (nn)=1....Ch. 2.6 - Prob. 69ECh. 2.6 - Prob. 70ECh. 2.7 - If two events, A and B, are such that P(A) = .5,...Ch. 2.7 - For a certain population of employees, the...Ch. 2.7 - Gregor Mendel was a monk who, in 1865, suggested a...Ch. 2.7 - One hundred adults were interviewed in a telephone...Ch. 2.7 - Prob. 75ECh. 2.7 - A survey of consumers in a particular community...Ch. 2.7 - A study of the posttreatment behavior of a large...Ch. 2.7 - In the definition of the independence of two...Ch. 2.7 - Suppose that A and B are mutually exclusive...Ch. 2.7 - Suppose that A B and that P(A) 0 and P(B) 0....Ch. 2.7 - If P(A) 0, P(B) 0, and P(A) P(A|B), show that...Ch. 2.7 - Suppose that A B and that P(A) 0 and P(B) 0....Ch. 2.7 - If A and B are mutually exclusive events and P(B) ...Ch. 2.8 - If A1, A2, and A3 are three events and...Ch. 2.8 - Prob. 85ECh. 2.8 - Suppose that A and B are two events such that P(A)...Ch. 2.8 - Suppose that A and B are two events such that P(A)...Ch. 2.8 - Suppose that A and B are two events such that P(A)...Ch. 2.8 - Prob. 89ECh. 2.8 - Suppose that there is a 1 in 50 chance of injury...Ch. 2.8 - Can A an B be mutually exclusive if P(A) = .4 and...Ch. 2.8 - Prob. 92ECh. 2.8 - In a game, a participant is given three attempts...Ch. 2.8 - A smoke detector system uses two devices, A and B....Ch. 2.8 - Prob. 95ECh. 2.8 - If A and B are independent events with P(A) = .5...Ch. 2.8 - Consider the following portion of an electric...Ch. 2.8 - With relays operating as in Exercise 2.97, compare...Ch. 2.8 - Suppose that A and B are independent events such...Ch. 2.8 - Show that Theorem 2.6, the additive law of...Ch. 2.8 - Articles coming through an inspection line are...Ch. 2.8 - Diseases I and II are prevalent among people in a...Ch. 2.8 - Refer to Exercise 2.50. Hours after the rigging of...Ch. 2.8 - If A and B are two events, prove that...Ch. 2.8 - If the probability of injury on each individual...Ch. 2.8 - If A and B are equally likely events and we...Ch. 2.8 - Prob. 107ECh. 2.8 - If A, B, and C are three events, use two...Ch. 2.8 - Prob. 109ECh. 2.9 - Of the items produced daily by a factory, 40% come...Ch. 2.9 - Prob. 111ECh. 2.9 - Three radar sets, operating independently, are set...Ch. 2.9 - Consider one of the radar sets of Exercise 2.112....Ch. 2.9 - A lie detector will show a positive reading...Ch. 2.9 - Prob. 115ECh. 2.9 - A communications network has a built-in safeguard...Ch. 2.9 - A slate auto-inspection station has two inspection...Ch. 2.9 - Prob. 118ECh. 2.9 - Suppose that two balanced dice are tossed...Ch. 2.9 - Suppose that two defective refrigerators have been...Ch. 2.9 - Prob. 121ECh. 2.10 - Applet Exercise Use the applet Bayes Rule as a...Ch. 2.10 - Prob. 123ECh. 2.10 - A population of voters contains 40% Republicans...Ch. 2.10 - A diagnostic test for a disease is such that it...Ch. 2.10 - Prob. 126ECh. 2.10 - Prob. 127ECh. 2.10 - Use Theorem 2.8, the law of total probability, to...Ch. 2.10 - Males and females are observed to react...Ch. 2.10 - A study of Georgia residents suggests that those...Ch. 2.10 - Prob. 131ECh. 2.10 - A plane is missing and is presumed to have equal...Ch. 2.10 - A student answers a multiple-choice examination...Ch. 2.10 - Two methods, A and B, are available for teaching a...Ch. 2.10 - Of the travelers arriving at a small airport, 60%...Ch. 2.10 - Prob. 136ECh. 2.10 - Five identical bowls are labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, and...Ch. 2.10 - Prob. 138ECh. 2.11 - Refer to Exercise 2.112. Let the random variable Y...Ch. 2.11 - Refer to Exercise 2.120. Let the random variable Y...Ch. 2.11 - Refer again to Exercise 2.120. Let the random...Ch. 2.11 - A spinner can land in any of four positions, A, B,...Ch. 2 - Show that Theorem 2.7 holds for conditional...Ch. 2 - Let S contain four sample points, E1, E2, E3, and...Ch. 2 - Prob. 145SECh. 2 - Prob. 146SECh. 2 - Prob. 147SECh. 2 - A bin contains three components from supplier A,...Ch. 2 - A large group of people is to be checked for two...Ch. 2 - 2.149 A large group of people is to be checked for...Ch. 2 - Prob. 151SECh. 2 - Prob. 152SECh. 2 - Prob. 153SECh. 2 - a A drawer contains n = 5 different and...Ch. 2 - A group of men possesses the three characteristics...Ch. 2 - The accompanying table lists accidental deaths by...Ch. 2 - Prob. 157SECh. 2 - A bowl contains w white balls and b black balls....Ch. 2 - Prob. 159SECh. 2 - A machine for producing a new experimental...Ch. 2 - Prob. 161SECh. 2 - Prob. 162SECh. 2 - Relays used in the construction of electric...Ch. 2 - Prob. 164SECh. 2 - Refer to Exercise 2.163 and consider circuit B. If...Ch. 2 - Prob. 166SECh. 2 - Prob. 167SECh. 2 - As in Exercises 2.166 and 2.167, eight tires of...Ch. 2 - Three beer drinkers (say I, II, and III) are to...Ch. 2 - Prob. 170SECh. 2 - Prob. 171SECh. 2 - Prob. 172SECh. 2 - Prob. 173SECh. 2 - Prob. 174SECh. 2 - Prob. 175SECh. 2 - Prob. 176SECh. 2 - Refer to Exercise 2.90(b) where a friend claimed...Ch. 2 - Suppose that the probability of exposure to the...Ch. 2 - Two gamblers bet 1 each on the successive tosses...Ch. 2 - Prob. 180SECh. 2 - Suppose that n indistinguishable balls are to be...
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