Probability and Statistics for Engineering and the Sciences
9th Edition
ISBN: 9781305251809
Author: Jay L. Devore
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 16.4, Problem 26E
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(c) Because logistic regression predicts probabilities of outcomes, observations used to build a logistic regression model need not be independent.
A. false: all observations must be independent
B. true
C. false: only observations with the same outcome need to be independent
I ANSWERED: A. false: all observations must be independent.
(This was marked wrong but I have no idea why. Isn't this a basic assumption of logistic regression)
Business discuss
Spam filters are built on principles similar to those used in logistic regression. We fit a probability that each message is spam or not spam. We have several variables for each email. Here are a few: to_multiple=1 if there are multiple recipients, winner=1 if the word 'winner' appears in the subject line, format=1 if the email is poorly formatted, re_subj=1 if "re" appears in the subject line. A logistic model was fit to a dataset with the following output:
Estimate
SE
Z
Pr(>|Z|)
(Intercept)
-0.8161
0.086
-9.4895
0
to_multiple
-2.5651
0.3052
-8.4047
0
winner
1.5801
0.3156
5.0067
0
format
-0.1528
0.1136
-1.3451
0.1786
re_subj
-2.8401
0.363
-7.824
0
(a) Write down the model using the coefficients from the model fit.log_odds(spam) = -0.8161 + -2.5651 + to_multiple + 1.5801 winner + -0.1528 format + -2.8401 re_subj(b) Suppose we have an observation where to_multiple=0, winner=1, format=0, and re_subj=0. What is the predicted probability that this message is spam?…
Chapter 16 Solutions
Probability and Statistics for Engineering and the Sciences
Ch. 16.1 - A control chart for thickness of rolled-steel...Ch. 16.1 - Refer to Exercise 1 and suppose the ten most...Ch. 16.1 - Suppose a control chart is constructed so that the...Ch. 16.1 - A cork intended for use in a wine bottle is...Ch. 16.1 - If a process variable is normally distributed, in...Ch. 16.2 - In the case of known and , what control limits...Ch. 16.2 - Consider a 3-sigma control chart with a center...Ch. 16.2 - The table below gives data on moisture content for...Ch. 16.2 - Refer to the data given in Exercise 8, and...Ch. 16.2 - When installing a bath faucet, it is important to...
Ch. 16.2 - The accompanying table gives sample means and...Ch. 16.2 - The accompanying table gives sample means and...Ch. 16.2 - Prob. 13ECh. 16.2 - Prob. 14ECh. 16.2 - Prob. 15ECh. 16.3 - A manufacturer of dustless chalk instituted a...Ch. 16.3 - Subgroups of power supply units are selected once...Ch. 16.3 - Prob. 18ECh. 16.3 - The accompanying table gives sample means and...Ch. 16.3 - Prob. 20ECh. 16.4 - On each of the previous 25 days, 100 electronic...Ch. 16.4 - A sample of 200 ROM computer chips was selected on...Ch. 16.4 - Prob. 23ECh. 16.4 - Prob. 24ECh. 16.4 - Prob. 25ECh. 16.4 - Prob. 26ECh. 16.4 - Prob. 27ECh. 16.4 - Prob. 28ECh. 16.5 - Prob. 29ECh. 16.5 - Prob. 30ECh. 16.5 - The standard deviation of a certain dimension on...Ch. 16.5 - Prob. 32ECh. 16.6 - Consider the single-sample plan with c = 2 and n =...Ch. 16.6 - A sample of 50 items is to be selected from a...Ch. 16.6 - Prob. 35ECh. 16.6 - Develop a single-sample plan for which AQL = .02...Ch. 16.6 - Consider the double-sampling plan for which both...Ch. 16.6 - Prob. 38ECh. 16.6 - Refer to Example 16.11, in which a single-sample...Ch. 16.6 - Consider the single-sample plan that utilizes n =...Ch. 16 - Observations on shear strength for 26 subgroups of...Ch. 16 - The number of scratches on the surface of each of...Ch. 16 - The following numbers are observations on tensile...Ch. 16 - Prob. 44SECh. 16 - Prob. 46SE
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- The accompanying data shows the fossil fuels production, fossil fuels consumption, and total energy consumption in quadrillions of BTUs of a certain region for the years 1986 to 2015. Complete parts a and b. Year Fossil Fuels Production Fossil Fuels Consumption Total Energy Consumption1949 28.748 29.002 31.9821950 32.563 31.632 34.6161951 35.792 34.008 36.9741952 34.977 33.800 36.7481953 35.349 34.826 37.6641954 33.764 33.877 36.6391955 37.364 37.410 40.2081956 39.771 38.888 41.7541957 40.133 38.926 41.7871958 37.216 38.717 41.6451959 39.045 40.550 43.4661960 39.869 42.137 45.0861961 40.307 42.758 45.7381962 41.732 44.681 47.8261963 44.037 46.509 49.6441964 45.789 48.543 51.8151965 47.235 50.577 54.0151966 50.035 53.514 57.0141967 52.597 55.127 58.9051968 54.306 58.502 62.4151969 56.286…arrow_forwardThe accompanying data shows the fossil fuels production, fossil fuels consumption, and total energy consumption in quadrillions of BTUs of a certain region for the years 1986 to 2015. Complete parts a and b. Develop line charts for each variable and identify the characteristics of the time series (that is, random, stationary, trend, seasonal, or cyclical). What is the line chart for the variable Fossil Fuels Production?arrow_forwardThe accompanying data shows the fossil fuels production, fossil fuels consumption, and total energy consumption in quadrillions of BTUs of a certain region for the years 1986 to 2015. Complete parts a and b. Year Fossil Fuels Production Fossil Fuels Consumption Total Energy Consumption1949 28.748 29.002 31.9821950 32.563 31.632 34.6161951 35.792 34.008 36.9741952 34.977 33.800 36.7481953 35.349 34.826 37.6641954 33.764 33.877 36.6391955 37.364 37.410 40.2081956 39.771 38.888 41.7541957 40.133 38.926 41.7871958 37.216 38.717 41.6451959 39.045 40.550 43.4661960 39.869 42.137 45.0861961 40.307 42.758 45.7381962 41.732 44.681 47.8261963 44.037 46.509 49.6441964 45.789 48.543 51.8151965 47.235 50.577 54.0151966 50.035 53.514 57.0141967 52.597 55.127 58.9051968 54.306 58.502 62.4151969 56.286…arrow_forward
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