Pearson eText for Basic Business Statistics -- Instant Access (Pearson+)
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780137400119
Author: MARK BERENSON, David Levine
Publisher: PEARSON+
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Chapter 16, Problem 24PS
To determine
Test the appropriateness of the fitted model at 0.05 level of significance,
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An article in Quality Engineering presents viscosity data from a batch chemical process. A sample of these data is in the table. Reading left to right and up to down, draw a time series plot of all the data and comment on any features of the data that are revealed by this plot.
Consider that the first 40 observations (the first 4 columns) were generated from a specific process, whereas the last 40 observations were generated from a different process. Does the plot indicate that the two processes generate similar results?
Calculate the sample mean and sample variance of the first 40 and the second 40 observations.
Solve the following parts (a) and (b)
The autoregressive model ŷt = 200 + 15yt - 1 was developed from a time series. If the last
%3D
observation was 8, the forecast for the next period is 215.
True
False
Chapter 16 Solutions
Pearson eText for Basic Business Statistics -- Instant Access (Pearson+)
Ch. 16 - If you are using exponential smoothing for...Ch. 16 - Consider a nine-year moving average used to smooth...Ch. 16 - You are using exponential smoothing on an annual...Ch. 16 - Prob. 4PSCh. 16 - Prob. 5PSCh. 16 - How have stocks performed in the past? The...Ch. 16 - Prob. 7PSCh. 16 - Prob. 8PSCh. 16 - Prob. 9PSCh. 16 - Prob. 10PS
Ch. 16 - The linear trend forecasting equation for an...Ch. 16 - There has been much publicity about bounces paid...Ch. 16 - Prob. 13PSCh. 16 - Prob. 14PSCh. 16 - Prob. 15PSCh. 16 - The data shown in the following table and stored...Ch. 16 - Prob. 17PSCh. 16 - Prob. 18PSCh. 16 - Prob. 19PSCh. 16 - Prob. 20PSCh. 16 - Prob. 21PSCh. 16 - Prob. 22PSCh. 16 - You are given an annual time series with 40...Ch. 16 - Prob. 24PSCh. 16 - Prob. 25PSCh. 16 - Prob. 26PSCh. 16 - Prob. 27PSCh. 16 - Prob. 28PSCh. 16 - Prob. 29PSCh. 16 - Using the average baseball salary from 200 through...Ch. 16 - Using the yearly amount of solar power generated...Ch. 16 - The following residuals are from a linear trend...Ch. 16 - Prob. 33PSCh. 16 - Prob. 34PSCh. 16 - Prob. 35PSCh. 16 - Prob. 36PSCh. 16 - Prob. 37PSCh. 16 - Prob. 38PSCh. 16 - Prob. 39PSCh. 16 - Prob. 40PSCh. 16 - In forecasting daily time-series data, how many...Ch. 16 - In forecasting a quarterly time series over the...Ch. 16 - Prob. 43PSCh. 16 - Prob. 44PSCh. 16 - Are gasoline prices higher during the height of...Ch. 16 - Prob. 46PSCh. 16 - Prob. 47PSCh. 16 - The file Silver-Q contains the price in London for...Ch. 16 - Prob. 49PSCh. 16 - What is a time series?Ch. 16 - What are the different components of a time-series...Ch. 16 - What is the difference between moving average and...Ch. 16 - Prob. 53PSCh. 16 - How does the least-squares linear trend...Ch. 16 - How does autoregressive modelling differ from the...Ch. 16 - What are the different approaches to choosing an...Ch. 16 - What is the major difference between using SYX and...Ch. 16 - How does forecasting for monthly or quarterly data...Ch. 16 - Prob. 60PSCh. 16 - The monthly commercial and residential prices for...Ch. 16 - The data stored in McDonalds represent the gross...Ch. 16 - Teachers’ Retirement System of the City of New...Ch. 16 - Prob. 64PS
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- (b) Develop a three-month moving average for this time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for month 8. If required, round your answers to two decimal places. Do not round intermediate calculation. MSE The forecast for month 8: (c) Use a 0.2 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for month R. If required, round your answers to two decimal places. Do not round intermediate calculation. MSE: The forecast for month 8: (d) Compare the three-month moving average forecast with the exponential smoothing forecast using a 0.2. Which appears to provide the better forecast based on MSE? Select your answer- (e) Use trial and error to find a value of the exponential smoothing coefficient a that results in the smallest MSE. Do not round intermediate calculations. Use a two-decimal digit precision for the exponential smoothing coefficient. Check Mv Wnrkarrow_forwardQ.13 Describe models of a time series. CS Scanned with CamScannerarrow_forwardA student is speeding down Route 11 in his fancy red Porsche when his radar system warns him of an obstacle 400 feet ahead. He immediately applies the brakes, starts to slow down, and spots a skunk in the road directly ahead of him. The "black box" in the Porsche records the car's speed every two seconds, producing the following table. The speed decreases throughout the 10 seconds it takes to stop, although not necessarily at a uniform rate.arrow_forward
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