Spreadsheet Modeling & Decision Analysis: A Practical Introduction To Business Analytics, Loose-leaf Version
8th Edition
ISBN: 9781337274852
Author: Ragsdale, Cliff
Publisher: South-Western College Pub
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Discuss the basic premise of the rational (classical) model of decision making and how does it differ from the rationality model.
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Come up with a decision using MINIMAX REGRET CRITERION under conditions of uncertainty using the table below. The payoff values are expressed as LOSSES.Which decision alternative has the minimum payoff value of the maximum regret? Choices: -> A,B,C-> C,D,E-> E,F,G-> B,F,G-> C,G,F
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- Supposed that a decision-maker faced with four decision alternatives and four states of nature develops the following profit payoff table.1. If the decision-maker knows nothing about the probabilities of the four states of nature, what is the recommended decision using the MAXIMAX criterion?2. What decision alternative will he choose if using the MAXIMIN criterion?3. What about MINIMAX REGRET CRITERION?4. What decision would he make if using the criterion of realism at alpha 0.6 is used?arrow_forwardSupposed that a decision-maker faced with four decision alternatives and four states of nature develops the following profit payoff table.1. If the decision-maker knows nothing about the probabilities of the four states of nature, what is the recommended decision using the MAXIMAX criterion?2. What decision alternative will he choose if using the MAXIMIN criterion?3. What about MINIMAX REGRET CRITERION?4. What decision would he make if using the criterion of realism at alpha 0.6 is used?arrow_forwardOutline and discuss the elements of a probabilistic decision model.List the main shortcomings of this approach to decision making.arrow_forward
- Identify each of the following examples as a programmed or nonprogrammed decision. Example Determining when to pay taxes Determining whether or not to ground an entire fleet of airplanes after one similar airplane has had an accident Identify the order in which the following steps are taken in the decision-making process. Step Monitoring the outcomes of a decision to see if it meets its objective Gathering information relevant to the problem Recognizing the problem Selecting the alternative that best meets the decision objective Listing and evaluating alternative courses of action Implementing the decision Identifying the objective of the decision Order 7 2 ▼ 1 ▼ 5 ▼ 4 ▼ 6 3 ▼ Programmed Decision Nonprogrammed Decisionarrow_forwardDecision-making framework: You will use the DECIDE model to make your decision. The DECIDE model is a six-step decision-making framework that stands for: Define the problem Establish the criteria Consider all the alternatives Identify the best alternative Develop and implement a plan of action Evaluate and monitor the decision Scenario: Imagine that you are the CEO of a small business that sells handmade jewelry. Your business has been growing steadily for the past few years, and you are now considering expanding into a new market. You have narrowed down your options to two cities: New York City and Los Angeles. Instructions: Use the DECIDE model to make a decision about which city to expand into. Be sure to include all of the steps in the DECIDE model in your post. Be as specific as possible when describing your scenario. What are the pros and cons of each city? What are the criteria that you will use to make your decision?arrow_forwardConsider the decision-making process steps; identify one step, if any, that is more important than the others. Defend the answer. Steps of the decision-making process: Define the real problem after awareness of the symptoms Set criteria for making the decisions while analyzing available information generate relevant alternative solutions to the problem analyze and evaluate these alternatives select the best alternative for a solution implement the chosen alternative monitor and evaluate the decision's effectiveness Please explain in detailarrow_forward
- State the differences between decision making under certainty, under risk, and under uncertainty.arrow_forwardCan you please draw a decision tree and make the decision boxes in square shape and the chances nodes in circular shape thank youarrow_forwardHow can decision trees be used to make decisions under uncertainty?arrow_forward
- Your Task For each scenario, discuss the following: - What is the issue (there may be more than 1)? - Who are the parties affected? - List and explain 2 alternatives for handling each situation o Discuss 2 pros and 2 cons for each alternative - What is your conclusion? Discuss the best way to handle each situation - use reasoning to justify your decision Situation You are the owner of a small craft store. When doing the scheduling, you put Judi on the Friday shift. On Tuesday, Judi comes to you and says that she cannot work. You remind Judi that she needs to tell you the days she is unavailable at least one week in advance. You insist that she work on Friday. At 7:00 a.m. on Friday, Judi calls in sick. You must take Judi's shift-giving up your only day off. When making deliveries for the store, you see Judi eating lunch on Friday in a local restaurant.arrow_forwardChoose the letter of the correct answer on each questions being asked for each case 1. If the decision maker knows nothing about the probabilities of the four states of nature, what is the recommended decision using MAXIMAX CRITERION? D1 D2 D3 D4 2. What decision alternative will he choose if using MAXIMIN CRITERION? D1 D2 D3 D4 3. What about MINIMAX REGRET CRITERION? D1 D2 D3 D4 4. What decision would he make if using criterion of realism at alpha 0.6 is used? D1 D2 D3 D4arrow_forwardA decision-making process can determine the success or failure of an organization, and how well it performs. Explain Decision Making Process in your own words. Additionally, suggest a possible decision-making example in an organization and perform the following steps based on the chosen example: Understand the decision Collect all the information Identify the alternatives Compare the risks and benefits of each solution Select the best alternative Make the decision Evaluate the impact of your decisionarrow_forward
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