An Introduction to Mathematical Statistics and Its Applications (6th Edition)
6th Edition
ISBN: 9780134114217
Author: Richard J. Larsen, Morris L. Marx
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 12.2, Problem 11Q
Verify the conclusion of Example 12.2.2 by doing a t test and an analysis of variance on the data of Question 9.2.8. Show that the observed F ratio is the square of the observed t ratio and that the F critical value is the square of the t critical value.
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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
Questions:
a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
Chapter 12 Solutions
An Introduction to Mathematical Statistics and Its Applications (6th Edition)
Ch. 12.2 - Prob. 1QCh. 12.2 - Mount Etna erupted in 1669, 1780, and 1865 (recall...Ch. 12.2 - An indicator of the value of a stock relative to...Ch. 12.2 - Each of five varieties of corn are planted in...Ch. 12.2 - Prob. 5QCh. 12.2 - Prob. 6QCh. 12.2 - Prob. 7QCh. 12.2 - Prob. 8QCh. 12.2 - Prob. 9QCh. 12.2 - Verify the conclusion of Example 12.2.2 by doing a...
Ch. 12.2 - Prob. 12QCh. 12.2 - Prob. 13QCh. 12.3 - Prob. 1QCh. 12.3 - Prob. 2QCh. 12.3 - Intravenous infusion fluids produced by three...Ch. 12.3 - Construct 95%Tukey intervals for all ten pairwise...Ch. 12.3 - Prob. 5QCh. 12.3 - Prob. 6QCh. 12.3 - Prob. 7QCh. 12.4 - The cathode warm-up time (in seconds) was...Ch. 12.4 - Test the hypothesis that the average of the true...Ch. 12.4 - In Case Study 12.2.1 test the hypothesis that the...Ch. 12.4 - Prob. 4QCh. 12.4 - Prob. 5QCh. 12.4 - For many years sodium nitrite has been used as a...Ch. 12.5 - Prob. 1QCh. 12.5 - Prob. 2QCh. 12.5 - Three air-to-surface missile launchers are tested...
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