MINDTAP FINANCE FOR GARMAN/FORGUE'S PER
MINDTAP FINANCE FOR GARMAN/FORGUE'S PER
13th Edition
ISBN: 9781337288347
Author: FORGUE
Publisher: CENGAGE LEARNING - CONSIGNMENT
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Chapter 1.2, Problem 2CC
Summary Introduction

To Describe: Statistics that are being used to forecast the direction an economy would go into the future.

Introduction: It is important that a business is aware of the stage they are in the business cycle, the current performance of the economy and where the economy is going. Various statistics that are also known as economic indicators could be used in this regard.

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Consider the following gasoline sales time series. If needed, round your answers to two decimal digits.   Week Sales (1,000s of gallons) 1 17 2 21 3 19 4 23 5 18 6 16 7 20 8 18 9 22 10 20 11 15 12 22       (a) Show the exponential smoothing forecasts using α = 0.1, and α = 0.2.     ExponentialSmoothing Week α = 0.1 α = 0.2 13     (b) Applying the MSE measure of forecast accuracy, would you prefer a smoothing constant of α = 0.1 or α = 0.2 for the gasoline sales time series?   An   smoothing constant provides a more accurate forecast, with an overall MSE of  . (c) Are the results the same if you apply MAE as the measure of accuracy?   An   smoothing constant provides a more accurate forecast, with an overall MAE of  . (d) What are the results if MAPE is used?   An   smoothing constant provides a more accurate forecast, with an overall MAPE of  .
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