EBK ESSENTIAL STATISTICS FOR THE BEHAVI
EBK ESSENTIAL STATISTICS FOR THE BEHAVI
2nd Edition
ISBN: 9781506386287
Author: PRIVITERA
Publisher: VST
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Chapter 10, Problem 34PR
To determine

To Explain: The meaning of “the magnitude of the effect”. In an article titled "Confidence intervals, significance, and effect size," person Z noted that " Significant tests are included in confidence intervals, which provide an estimate of the magnitude of the effect.

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1 (Expected Shortfall) Suppose the price of an asset Pt follows a normal random walk, i.e., Pt = Po+r₁ + ... + rt with r₁, r2,... being IID N(μ, o²). Po+r1+. ⚫ Suppose the VaR of rt is VaRq(rt) at level q, find the VaR of the price in T days, i.e., VaRq(Pt – Pt–T). - • If ESq(rt) = A, find ES₁(Pt – Pt–T).
2 (Normal Distribution) Let rt be a log return. Suppose that r₁, 2, ... are IID N(0.06, 0.47). What is the distribution of rt (4) = rt + rt-1 + rt-2 + rt-3? What is P(rt (4) < 2)? What is the covariance between r2(2) = 1 + 12 and 13(2) = r² + 13? • What is the conditional distribution of r₁(3) = rt + rt-1 + rt-2 given rt-2 = 0.6?
3 (Sharpe-ratio) Suppose that X1, X2,..., is a lognormal geometric random walk with parameters (μ, o²). Specifically, suppose that X = Xo exp(rı + ...Tk), where Xo is a fixed constant and r1, T2, ... are IID N(μ, o²). Find the Sharpe-ratios of rk and log(Xk) — log(Xo) respectively, assuming the risk free return is 0.
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