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CASE STUDY Chrysalises for Cash
The butterfly symbolizes the notion of personal change. Increasingly, people are turning to butterflies to consecrate meaningful
Due to the possibility of introducing an invasive species, butterfly suppliers are monitored by governmental agencies. Along with following regulations, butterfly suppliers must ensure quality and quantity of their product while maintaining a profit. To this end, an individual supplier may hire independent contractors to hatch the varieties needed. These entrepreneurs are paid a small fee for each chrysalis delivered, with a 50% bonus added for each hatched healthy butterfly. This fee structure provides little room for profit. Therefore, it is important that these contractors deliver a high proportion of healthy butterflies that emerge at a fairly predictable rate.
In Florida, one such entrepreneur specializes in harvesting the black swallowtail butterfly. In nature, the female butterfly seeks plants, such as carrot and parsley, to harvest and lay eggs on. A newly hatched caterpillar consumes the host plant, then secures itself and sheds its skin, revealing a chrysalis. During this resting phase, environmental factors such as temperature and humidity may affect the transformation process. Typically, the black swallowtail takes about 1 week to complete its metamorphosis and emerge from its chrysalis. The transformation occasionally results in deformities
The Florida contractor believes that there are differences in quality and emergence time among his broods. Not having taken a scientific approach to the problem, he relies on his memory of seasons past. It seems to him that late-season butterflies emerge sooner and with a greater number of deformities than their early-season counterparts. He also speculates that the type and nutritional value of the food consumed by the caterpillar might contribute to any observed differences. This year he is committed to a more formal approach to his butterfly harvest.
Since it takes 2 days to deliver the chrysalises from the contractor to the supplier, it is important that the butterflies do not emerge prematurely. It is equally important that the number of defective butterflies be minimized. With these two goals in mind, the contractor seeks the best combination of food source, fertilizer, and brood season to maximize his profits. To examine the effects of these variables on emergence time and number of deformed butterflies, the entrepreneur designed the following experiment.
Eight identical pots were filled with equal amounts of a soil and watered carefully to ensure consistency. Two pots of carrot plants and two of parsley were set outside during the early part of the brood season. For the carrot pair, one pot was fed a fixed amount of liquid fertilizer, while the other was fed a nutritionally similar amount of solid fertilizer. The two pots of parsley were similarly fertilized. All four pots were placed next to each other to ensure similar exposures to environmental conditions such as temperature and solar radiation. Five black swallowtail caterpillars of similar age were placed into each container, each allowed to mature and form a chrysalis. The time from chrysalis formation until emergence was reported to the nearest day, along with any defects. The same procedure was followed with the four pots that were placed outdoors during the late brood season.
Write a report describing the experimental goals and design for the entrepreneur’s experiment. Follow the procedure outlined in the box on steps in designing and conducting an experiment (p. 44). Step 5(b), of this procedure is provided in the following table and should be included in your report.
In your report, provide a general descriptive analysis of these data. Be sure to include recommendations for the combination of season, food source, and type of fertilizer that result in the fewest deformed butterflies while achieving a long emergence time. Conclude your report with recommendations for further experiments. For each proposed experiment, be sure to do the following:
4. State the treatment.
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Chapter 1 Solutions
MyLab Statistics with Pearson eText -- Standalone Access Card -- for Fundamentals of Statistics
- I need help with this problem and an explanation of the solution for the image described below. (Statistics: Engineering Probabilities)arrow_forward310015 K Question 9, 5.2.28-T Part 1 of 4 HW Score: 85.96%, 49 of 57 points Points: 1 Save of 6 Based on a poll, among adults who regret getting tattoos, 28% say that they were too young when they got their tattoos. Assume that six adults who regret getting tattoos are randomly selected, and find the indicated probability. Complete parts (a) through (d) below. a. Find the probability that none of the selected adults say that they were too young to get tattoos. 0.0520 (Round to four decimal places as needed.) Clear all Final check Feb 7 12:47 US Oarrow_forwardhow could the bar graph have been organized differently to make it easier to compare opinion changes within political partiesarrow_forward
- 30. An individual who has automobile insurance from a certain company is randomly selected. Let Y be the num- ber of moving violations for which the individual was cited during the last 3 years. The pmf of Y isy | 1 2 4 8 16p(y) | .05 .10 .35 .40 .10 a.Compute E(Y).b. Suppose an individual with Y violations incurs a surcharge of $100Y^2. Calculate the expected amount of the surcharge.arrow_forward24. An insurance company offers its policyholders a num- ber of different premium payment options. For a ran- domly selected policyholder, let X = the number of months between successive payments. The cdf of X is as follows: F(x)=0.00 : x < 10.30 : 1≤x<30.40 : 3≤ x < 40.45 : 4≤ x <60.60 : 6≤ x < 121.00 : 12≤ x a. What is the pmf of X?b. Using just the cdf, compute P(3≤ X ≤6) and P(4≤ X).arrow_forward59. At a certain gas station, 40% of the customers use regular gas (A1), 35% use plus gas (A2), and 25% use premium (A3). Of those customers using regular gas, only 30% fill their tanks (event B). Of those customers using plus, 60% fill their tanks, whereas of those using premium, 50% fill their tanks.a. What is the probability that the next customer will request plus gas and fill the tank (A2 B)?b. What is the probability that the next customer fills the tank?c. If the next customer fills the tank, what is the probability that regular gas is requested? Plus? Premium?arrow_forward
- 38. Possible values of X, the number of components in a system submitted for repair that must be replaced, are 1, 2, 3, and 4 with corresponding probabilities .15, .35, .35, and .15, respectively. a. Calculate E(X) and then E(5 - X).b. Would the repair facility be better off charging a flat fee of $75 or else the amount $[150/(5 - X)]? [Note: It is not generally true that E(c/Y) = c/E(Y).]arrow_forward74. The proportions of blood phenotypes in the U.S. popula- tion are as follows:A B AB O .40 .11 .04 .45 Assuming that the phenotypes of two randomly selected individuals are independent of one another, what is the probability that both phenotypes are O? What is the probability that the phenotypes of two randomly selected individuals match?arrow_forward53. A certain shop repairs both audio and video compo- nents. Let A denote the event that the next component brought in for repair is an audio component, and let B be the event that the next component is a compact disc player (so the event B is contained in A). Suppose that P(A) = .6 and P(B) = .05. What is P(BA)?arrow_forward
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