You own a fruit garden. Choose one of the followings by showing clear calculation. Yearly inflation rate is 5%. Option A: Invest 3 lac BDT to buy cultivation tools/factory. At end of every year you may gain high (8 lac BDT), medium (3 lac BDT) or low (1 lac BDT) with respective probability 0.3, 0.4 and 0.3 for the next 5 years. Option B: Lease the garden. The lessee pays 3.5 lac BDT at the beginning of each year for the next 5 years. There is risk of plant mortality due to hyper production. Loss may be high: 9 lac BDT (probability 0.1) or low: 1 lac BDT. This loss is realized at the end of 5th year only.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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You own a fruit garden. Choose one of the followings by showing clear calculation. Yearly inflation
rate is 5%.
Option A: Invest 3 lac BDT to buy cultivation tools/factory. At end of every year you may
gain high (8 lac BDT), medium (3 lac BDT) or low (1 lac BDT) with respective probability 0.3,
0.4 and 0.3 for the next 5 years.
Option B: Lease the garden. The lessee pays 3.5 lac BDT at the beginning of each year for
the next 5 years. There is risk of plant mortality due to hyper production. Loss may be high:
9 lac BDT (probability 0.1) or low: 1 lac BDT. This loss is realized at the end of 5th year only.
Transcribed Image Text:You own a fruit garden. Choose one of the followings by showing clear calculation. Yearly inflation rate is 5%. Option A: Invest 3 lac BDT to buy cultivation tools/factory. At end of every year you may gain high (8 lac BDT), medium (3 lac BDT) or low (1 lac BDT) with respective probability 0.3, 0.4 and 0.3 for the next 5 years. Option B: Lease the garden. The lessee pays 3.5 lac BDT at the beginning of each year for the next 5 years. There is risk of plant mortality due to hyper production. Loss may be high: 9 lac BDT (probability 0.1) or low: 1 lac BDT. This loss is realized at the end of 5th year only.
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