You are called on to decide how your company should produce its new cell phone screen defroster (for use by skiers and others spending time out of doors in the cold). You develop a cost matrix ($000's), shown to the right. Complete parts a and b. Production EV(Out-Source) = thousand dollars EV(In-House) = thousand dollars Out-Source In-House a) Suppose P(Recession) = 0.1, P(Stable) = 0.3, and P(Expansion) = 0.6. What is the expected value of each action? State of Nature (State of the Economy) Stable 360 230 Recession 200 180 Expansion 280 400

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You are called on to decide how your company should produce its new cell phone
screen defroster (for use by skiers and others spending time out of doors in the
cold). You develop a cost matrix ($000's), shown to the right. Complete parts a and
b.
Production
Out-Source
In-House
State of Nature
(State of the Economy)
Stable
Recession
200
180
a) Suppose P(Recession) = 0.1, P(Stable) = 0.3, and P(Expansion) = 0.6. What is the expected value of each action?
EV(Out-Source) =
thousand dollars
EV(In-House) = thousand dollars
360
230
Expansion
280
400
Transcribed Image Text:You are called on to decide how your company should produce its new cell phone screen defroster (for use by skiers and others spending time out of doors in the cold). You develop a cost matrix ($000's), shown to the right. Complete parts a and b. Production Out-Source In-House State of Nature (State of the Economy) Stable Recession 200 180 a) Suppose P(Recession) = 0.1, P(Stable) = 0.3, and P(Expansion) = 0.6. What is the expected value of each action? EV(Out-Source) = thousand dollars EV(In-House) = thousand dollars 360 230 Expansion 280 400
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