Year Quarter 1 4 Total 122 108 81 90 401 2 130 100 73 96 399 3 132 98 71 99 400 Average 128 102 75 95 400 140 130 Average Demand 120 110+ 100+ 90 + 80 Actual Demand 70 60 + 2 4 7 8 QUARTERS 6. 10 11 12 FIGURE 8.6 Seasonal sales history. DEMAND Month Actual Demand Forecast Demand 1 260 2 230 3 225 4 245 5 250 6

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Author:Amos Gilat
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Using exponential smoothing, calculate the forecasts for months 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6. The
smoothing constant is 0.2, and the old forecast for month 1 is 245.

Year
Quarter
1
4
Total
122
108
81
90
401
2
130
100
73
96
399
3
132
98
71
99
400
Average
128
102
75
95
400
140
130
Average Demand
120
110+
100+
90 +
80
Actual Demand
70
60 +
2
4
7
8
QUARTERS
6.
10
11
12
FIGURE 8.6 Seasonal sales history.
DEMAND
Transcribed Image Text:Year Quarter 1 4 Total 122 108 81 90 401 2 130 100 73 96 399 3 132 98 71 99 400 Average 128 102 75 95 400 140 130 Average Demand 120 110+ 100+ 90 + 80 Actual Demand 70 60 + 2 4 7 8 QUARTERS 6. 10 11 12 FIGURE 8.6 Seasonal sales history. DEMAND
Month
Actual Demand
Forecast Demand
1
260
2
230
3
225
4
245
5
250
6
Transcribed Image Text:Month Actual Demand Forecast Demand 1 260 2 230 3 225 4 245 5 250 6
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