X E Lakeshore Manufacturing must decide whether to set their production capacity next quarter to small, medium or large while hoping that a looming employee strike will not actually materialize. Their projected annual profits $('000) depend on the event of the strike as follows: Part A No strike Strike 440 350 -280 0.2 Small 430 Medium 460 Large 740 Probability 0.8 1. What is the best expected payoff and the corresponding decision using the Expected Monetary Value (EMV) approach? $('000) Part B Large 2. What is the expected value of perfect information (EVPI)? $('000)

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
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E
Lakeshore Manufacturing must decide whether to set their production capacity next
quarter to small, medium or large while hoping that a looming employee strike will not
actually materialize. Their projected annual profits $('000) depend on the event of the
strike as follows:
Part A
No strike Strike
440
350
-280
0.2
Small
430
Medium
460
Large
740
Probability 0.8
1. What is the best expected payoff and the corresponding decision using the Expected
Monetary Value (EMV) approach?
$('000)
Part B
Large
2. What is the expected value of perfect information (EVPI)?
$('000)
Lakeshore can hire a labour researcher for a $10,000 to obtain further information on
the possibility of a strike. The researcher's report will either be favourable or
unfavourable. The probability estimates are:
Transcribed Image Text:X E Lakeshore Manufacturing must decide whether to set their production capacity next quarter to small, medium or large while hoping that a looming employee strike will not actually materialize. Their projected annual profits $('000) depend on the event of the strike as follows: Part A No strike Strike 440 350 -280 0.2 Small 430 Medium 460 Large 740 Probability 0.8 1. What is the best expected payoff and the corresponding decision using the Expected Monetary Value (EMV) approach? $('000) Part B Large 2. What is the expected value of perfect information (EVPI)? $('000) Lakeshore can hire a labour researcher for a $10,000 to obtain further information on the possibility of a strike. The researcher's report will either be favourable or unfavourable. The probability estimates are:
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