Which alternative is best, based on expected value?
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
Publisher:Amos Gilat
Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1P
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Transcribed Image Text:A regional fast-food restaurant is considering an expansion program. The major factor influencing the success of such a program is the future
level of interest rates. It is estimated that there is a 20% chance that interest rates will increase by 2 percentage points, a 50% chance that they
will remain the same, and a 30% chance that they will decrease by 2 percentage points. The alternatives they are considering and possible
payoffs are shown in the following table.
Build 50 restaurants
Build 25 restaurants
Do nothing
Rates up 2%
- $220,000
-$125,000
- $60,000
Which alternative is best, based on expected value?
O They should build 50 restaurants.
O They should build 25 restaurants
O They should do nothing.
Rates unchanged Rates down 2%
$55,000
$25,000
$0
$151,000
$83,000
$5,000
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