Answered: What is the expected return based on…

What is the expected return based on the table below? Outcome Probability Return Recession 40% -35% Expansion 25% 20% Boom 35% 55%

Essentials Of Investments

11th Edition

ISBN:9781260013924

Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.

Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.

Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1PS

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Question

What is the expected return based on the table below?
Outcome Probability
Return
Recession
40%
-35%
Expansion 25%
20%
Boom
35%
55%

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% Return on T-Bills, Stocks and Market Index States of Economy Probability T-Bills Phillips Pay-up Rubber-Made Market Index Recession 0.2 7 -22 28 10 -13 Below Average 0.1 7 -2 14.7 -10 1 Average 0.3 7 20 0 7 15 Above Average 0.3 7 35 -10 45 29 Boom 0.1 7 50 -20 30 43 Mean 7 16.9 20.7 19.6 15 Variance (%) ^2 0 549.09 244.124 358.04 313.6 Standard Deviation 0 23.4326695 15.6244712 18.92194493 17.7087549 Coefficient of Variation 0 1.386548491 7.54805372 0.965405354 1.18058366 Covariance wit MP 0 .0413 -.0275 .0231 .0314 Correlation with Market Index 0 0.9953 -0.9953 0.6894 1.0000 Beta 0 1.32 - 0.88 0.74 1.00 CAPM Req. Return 7.00 % 17.54 % -0.02% 12.89% 15.00% Valuation ( Overvalued / Undervalued/Fairly Valued) Valued Fairly…
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% Return on T-Bills, Stocks and Market Index State of the economy Probability T-Bills Phillips Pay -up Rubber-made Market Index Recession 0.2 7 -22 28 10 -13 Below Average 0.1 7 -2 14.7 -10 1 Average 0.3 7 20 0 7 15 Above Average 0.3 7 35 -10 45 29 Boom 0.1 7 50 -20 30 43 Mean 16.9 2.07 19.60 15 Standard Deviation 0 23.4 15.62 18.92 17.71 Coefficient of Variation 0 1.39 7.55 0.97 1.18 Covariance with MP 0 0.04 -0.3 0.02 0.03 Correlation with Market Index 0 1 -1.0 0.69 1 Beta 0 1.32 -0.88 0.74 1 CAPM Req. Return 7 17.54 -0.02 12.89 15.0 Valuation (Overvalued/Undervalued/Fairly valued) Fairly valued Overvalued Undervalued Undervalued Fairly valued Nature of stock Defensive Aggressive Defensive Defensive Defensive Find the mean for T-Bills showing…
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