Weatherwise is a magazine published by the American Meteorological Society. One issue gives a rating system used to classify Nor'easter storms that frequently hit New England and can cause much damage near the ocean. A severe storm has an average peak wave height of μ = 16.4 feet for waves hitting the shore. Suppose that a Nor'easter is in progress at the severe storm class rating. Peak wave heights are usually measured from land (using binoculars) off fixed cement piers. Suppose that a reading of 40 waves showed an average wave height of x = 16.9 feet. Previous studies of severe storms indicate that σ = 3.5 feet. Does this information suggest that the storm is (perhaps temporarily) increasing above the severe rating? Use ? = 0.01. (a) What is the level of significance? State the null and alternate hypotheses. H0: μ < 16.4 ft; H1: μ = 16.4 ft H0: μ > 16.4 ft; H1: μ = 16.4 ft H0: μ = 16.4 ft; H1: μ < 16.4 ft H0: μ = 16.4 ft; H1: μ ≠ 16.4 ft H0: μ = 16.4 ft; H1: μ > 16.4 ft (b) What sampling distribution will you use? Explain the rationale for your choice of sampling distribution. The Student's t, since the sample size is large and σ is unknown. The standard normal, since the sample size is large and σ is unknown. The Student's t, since the sample size is large and σ is known. The standard normal, since the sample size is large and σ is known. What is the value of the sample test statistic? (Round your answer to two decimal places.) (c) Estimate the P-value. P-value > 0.2500.100 < P-value < 0.250 0.050 < P-value < 0.1000.010 < P-value < 0.050P-value < 0.010 Sketch the sampling distribution and show the area corresponding to the P-value. d) Based on your answers in parts (a) to (c), will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis? Are the data statistically significant at level ?? At the ? = 0.01 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant. At the ? = 0.01 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant. At the ? = 0.01 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant. At the ? = 0.01 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant. (e) Interpret your conclusion in the context of the application. There is sufficient evidence at the 0.01 level to conclude that the storm is increasing above the severe rating. There is insufficient evidence at the 0.01 level to conclude that the storm is increasing above the severe rating.
Continuous Probability Distributions
Probability distributions are of two types, which are continuous probability distributions and discrete probability distributions. A continuous probability distribution contains an infinite number of values. For example, if time is infinite: you could count from 0 to a trillion seconds, billion seconds, so on indefinitely. A discrete probability distribution consists of only a countable set of possible values.
Normal Distribution
Suppose we had to design a bathroom weighing scale, how would we decide what should be the range of the weighing machine? Would we take the highest recorded human weight in history and use that as the upper limit for our weighing scale? This may not be a great idea as the sensitivity of the scale would get reduced if the range is too large. At the same time, if we keep the upper limit too low, it may not be usable for a large percentage of the population!
Weatherwise is a magazine published by the American Meteorological Society. One issue gives a rating system used to classify Nor'easter storms that frequently hit New England and can cause much damage near the ocean. A severe storm has an average peak wave height of μ = 16.4 feet for waves hitting the shore. Suppose that a Nor'easter is in progress at the severe storm class rating. Peak wave heights are usually measured from land (using binoculars) off fixed cement piers. Suppose that a reading of 40 waves showed an average wave height of x = 16.9 feet. Previous studies of severe storms indicate that σ = 3.5 feet. Does this information suggest that the storm is (perhaps temporarily) increasing above the severe rating? Use ? = 0.01.
What is the value of the sample test statistic? (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
(c) Estimate the P-value.
(e) Interpret your conclusion in the context of the application.
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