Using the 911 call data in Problem 4.31, forecast calls for weeks 2 through 25 with a trend-adjusted exponential smoothing model. Assume an initial forecast for 50 calls for week 1 and an initial trend of zero. Use smoothing constants of a = .3 and b = .2. Is this model better than that of Problem 4.31? What adjustment might be useful for further improvement? (Again, assume that actual calls in week 25 were 85.) Note: Attached photo is the data in probl

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Using the 911 call data in Problem 4.31, forecast calls for weeks 2 through 25 with a trend-adjusted exponential smoothing model. Assume an initial forecast for 50 calls for week 1 and an initial trend of zero. Use smoothing constants of a = .3 and b = .2. Is this model better than that of Problem 4.31? What adjustment might be useful for further improvement? (Again, assume that actual calls in week 25 were 85.) Note: Attached photo is the data in problem 4.31
WEEK
1
2
4
6.
7
8
9.
10 11
12
CALLS 50 35
25
40 45
35
20 30
35
20
15
40
WEEK 13
14
15
16
17
18
19 20
21
22
23
24
CALLS 55 35
25
55
55 40
35
60
75
50
40
65
Transcribed Image Text:WEEK 1 2 4 6. 7 8 9. 10 11 12 CALLS 50 35 25 40 45 35 20 30 35 20 15 40 WEEK 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 CALLS 55 35 25 55 55 40 35 60 75 50 40 65
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