Using Excel, run descriptive analysis for the first 12 months, the next 12 months, etc., on the dataset. Determine the 12 period moving average forecasts and the simple exponential smoothing forecasts (α = 0.05) based on the data. The mathematical formulas for these forecasting techniques are as follows. N period Moving Average Forecast (for next period) = (Sum of Actuals for N number of previous periods) / N. Note: For this assignment, assume N=12. Simple Exponential Smoothing Forecast (for next period) = Previous Period Forecast + (α * (Previous Period Actual - Previous Period Forecast)). Note: For this assignment, assume α = 0.05. For the Period 1, assume that the Forecast is the same as the Actual.value. Mean Absolute %Error = Average of: ((|Actual - Forecast|) / Actual )) for all periods where Actuals and Forecasts exist. Create a line chart for each forecast and ensure that each line chart also contains the historical dataset.  Compute the mean absolute percentage error for each forecast, based on the available and computed data. Based on the line charts and the mean absolute percentage error calculations, indicate which forecasting technique should be used

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
Publisher:Amos Gilat
Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1P
icon
Related questions
Question
  1. Using Excel, run descriptive analysis for the first 12 months, the next 12 months, etc., on the dataset.
  2. Determine the 12 period moving average forecasts and the simple exponential smoothing forecasts (α = 0.05) based on the data. The mathematical formulas for these forecasting techniques are as follows. N period Moving Average Forecast (for next period) = (Sum of Actuals for N number of previous periods) / N. Note: For this assignment, assume N=12. Simple Exponential Smoothing Forecast (for next period) = Previous Period Forecast + (α * (Previous Period Actual - Previous Period Forecast)). Note: For this assignment, assume α = 0.05. For the Period 1, assume that the Forecast is the same as the Actual.value. Mean Absolute %Error = Average of: ((|Actual - Forecast|) / Actual )) for all periods where Actuals and Forecasts exist.
  3. Create a line chart for each forecast and ensure that each line chart also contains the historical dataset. 
  4. Compute the mean absolute percentage error for each forecast, based on the available and computed data.
  5. Based on the line charts and the mean absolute percentage error calculations, indicate which forecasting technique should be used
  6. Using Excel, run descriptive analysis for the first 12 months, the next 12 months, etc., on the dataset.
  7. Determine the 12 period moving average forecasts and the simple exponential smoothing forecasts (α = 0.05) based on the data. The mathematical formulas for these forecasting techniques are as follows. N period Moving Average Forecast (for next period) = (Sum of Actuals for N number of previous periods) / N. Note: For this assignment, assume N=12. Simple Exponential Smoothing Forecast (for next period) = Previous Period Forecast + (α * (Previous Period Actual - Previous Period Forecast)). Note: For this assignment, assume α = 0.05. For the Period 1, assume that the Forecast is the same as the Actual.value. Mean Absolute %Error = Average of: ((|Actual - Forecast|) / Actual )) for all periods where Actuals and Forecasts exist.
  8. Create a line chart for each forecast and ensure that each line chart also contains the historical dataset. 
  9. Compute the mean absolute percentage error for each forecast, based on the available and computed data.
  10. Based on the line charts and the mean absolute percentage error calculations, indicate which forecasting technique should be used
  11. ***need steps in excel to solve***
Month
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Customers
103
113
123
125
149
144
151
165
178
192
202
200
110
114
116
134
132
12 Period Moving
Average Forecast
153.75
154.33
154.42
153.83
154.58
Mean Absolute
%Error
39.77%
35.38%
33.12%
14.80%
17.11%
a =
0.05
Simple Exponential
Smoothing
Forecast
100.00
100.15
100.79
101.90
103.06
105.35
107.29
109.47
112.25
115.54
119.36
123.49
127.32
126.45
125.83
125.34
125.77
Mean Absolute
%Error
2.91%
11.37%
18.05%
18.48%
30.83%
26.84%
28.95%
33.65%
36.94%
39.82%
40.91%
38.25%
15.74%
10.92%
8.47%
6.46%
4.72%
Seasonal Average
Forecast
103.00
113.00
123.00
125.00
149.00
Transcribed Image Text:Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Customers 103 113 123 125 149 144 151 165 178 192 202 200 110 114 116 134 132 12 Period Moving Average Forecast 153.75 154.33 154.42 153.83 154.58 Mean Absolute %Error 39.77% 35.38% 33.12% 14.80% 17.11% a = 0.05 Simple Exponential Smoothing Forecast 100.00 100.15 100.79 101.90 103.06 105.35 107.29 109.47 112.25 115.54 119.36 123.49 127.32 126.45 125.83 125.34 125.77 Mean Absolute %Error 2.91% 11.37% 18.05% 18.48% 30.83% 26.84% 28.95% 33.65% 36.94% 39.82% 40.91% 38.25% 15.74% 10.92% 8.47% 6.46% 4.72% Seasonal Average Forecast 103.00 113.00 123.00 125.00 149.00
Expert Solution
Step 1: Write the given information.
MonthsCostumers
1103
2113
3123
4125
5149
6144
7151
8165
9178
10192
11202
12200
13110
14114
15116
16134
17132
steps

Step by step

Solved in 8 steps with 8 images

Blurred answer
Similar questions
Recommended textbooks for you
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
Statistics
ISBN:
9781119256830
Author:
Amos Gilat
Publisher:
John Wiley & Sons Inc
Probability and Statistics for Engineering and th…
Probability and Statistics for Engineering and th…
Statistics
ISBN:
9781305251809
Author:
Jay L. Devore
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Statistics for The Behavioral Sciences (MindTap C…
Statistics for The Behavioral Sciences (MindTap C…
Statistics
ISBN:
9781305504912
Author:
Frederick J Gravetter, Larry B. Wallnau
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Elementary Statistics: Picturing the World (7th E…
Elementary Statistics: Picturing the World (7th E…
Statistics
ISBN:
9780134683416
Author:
Ron Larson, Betsy Farber
Publisher:
PEARSON
The Basic Practice of Statistics
The Basic Practice of Statistics
Statistics
ISBN:
9781319042578
Author:
David S. Moore, William I. Notz, Michael A. Fligner
Publisher:
W. H. Freeman
Introduction to the Practice of Statistics
Introduction to the Practice of Statistics
Statistics
ISBN:
9781319013387
Author:
David S. Moore, George P. McCabe, Bruce A. Craig
Publisher:
W. H. Freeman