Use a single excel file with formulas within answer cells. Show formulas in Excel Your retail business sells pumpkins. You have to decide how many pumpkins to order from the farmer. Based on your historical sales, you think the probability of selling 500 is 0.2, 1000 is 0.35, 1500 is 0.35, and 2000 is 0.1. You can buy each pumpkin from the farmer for $3.35 and sell each pumpkin for $5.00. If you have leftover pumpkins at the end of the season, you can sell them to a local homeless shelter for $1.75. You could hire a consultant for $300 to study and provide more information on the market conditions. There is an 80% chance the study is favorable. With a favorable study, the probability of selling 500 is 0.1, 1000 is 0.2, 1500 is 0.4, and 2000 is 0.3. If the study is unfavorable, the probability of selling 500 is 0.4, 1000 is 0.4, 1500 is 0.1, and 2000 is 0.1.

Database System Concepts
7th Edition
ISBN:9780078022159
Author:Abraham Silberschatz Professor, Henry F. Korth, S. Sudarshan
Publisher:Abraham Silberschatz Professor, Henry F. Korth, S. Sudarshan
Chapter1: Introduction
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Use a single excel file with formulas within answer cells. Show formulas in Excel 

  1. Your retail business sells pumpkins. You have to decide how many pumpkins to order from the farmer.  Based on your historical sales, you think the probability of selling 500 is 0.2, 1000 is 0.35, 1500 is 0.35, and 2000 is 0.1.  You can buy each pumpkin from the farmer for $3.35 and sell each pumpkin for $5.00.  If you have leftover pumpkins at the end of the season, you can sell them to a local homeless shelter for $1.75.
    1. You could hire a consultant for $300 to study and provide more information on the market conditions. There is an 80% chance the study is favorable.  With a favorable study, the probability of selling 500 is 0.1, 1000 is 0.2, 1500 is 0.4, and 2000 is 0.3.  If the study is unfavorable, the probability of selling 500 is 0.4, 1000 is 0.4, 1500 is 0.1, and 2000 is 0.1.  Calculate EMVs and write the strategy.
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