Unioil produces vegetable based cooking oil and butter spreads. Unioil uses large quantities of crude palm oil (CPO)in its production process as a main raw material. It is April 2021 now and Unioil estimates a need of 25,000 metric tons (MTs)of CPO in September 2021. Current spot price of CPO is RM2200 per MT. You as the procurement manager of Unioil, have the following alternatives to hedge the possible increase in the CPO price by September 2021: a) The analysist predicts that the CPO will be trading at RM3400 per MT in September 2021.   b) Forward contracts on CPO for September 2021 delivery is available at RM3600 per MT.   C) September 2021 Futures contract on CPO (FCPO) is available and currently trading at RM2280 per MT. (FCPO has a contract specification of 25 metric tons per contract). What would be your net purchase price in September 2021 if the CPO closing price in September 2021 is RM3500 per MT? Justify whether this is a perfect hedge?

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Unioil produces vegetable based cooking oil and butter spreads. Unioil uses large quantities of crude palm oil (CPO)in its production process as a main raw material. It is April 2021 now and Unioil estimates a need of 25,000 metric tons (MTs)of CPO in September 2021. Current spot price of CPO is RM2200 per MT. You as the procurement manager of Unioil, have the following alternatives to hedge the possible increase in the CPO price by September 2021:

a) The analysist predicts that the CPO will be trading at RM3400 per MT in September 2021.

 

b) Forward contracts on CPO for September 2021 delivery is available at RM3600 per MT.

 

C) September 2021 Futures contract on CPO (FCPO) is available and currently trading at RM2280 per MT. (FCPO has a contract specification of 25 metric tons per contract). What would be your net purchase price in September 2021 if the CPO closing price in September 2021 is RM3500 per MT? Justify whether this is a perfect hedge?

 

d) European Options on September 2021 CPO is available at the following prices:

 

Sept. 2021 Strike RM/MT

European

Call Sept. 2021

European

Put Sept. 2021

3300

200

120

3400

190

140

3500

180

150

3600

160

180

3700

140

200

 

You are required to evaluate each hedge alternative carefully and suggest the best hedge strategy or would you decide to remain unhedged. Your answer should include a careful cost and benefit analysis for each hedge alternative and justify your selection in terms of its certainty and effectiveness.

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