Umunat is considering investing $50,000 in a new machine with an expected The machine will have no scrap value at the end of 5 years. It is expected that 20,000 units will be sold each year at a selling price of $3.00 per unit. Variable production costs are expected to be $10,000 per year. Umunat uses a discount rate of 12% for investment appraisal purposes and expects investment projects to recover their initial investment within 2 years. Required: a. Explain why risk and uncertainty should be considered in the investment appraisal process. b. Calculate and comment on the payback period of the project. C. Evaluate the sensitivity of the project's net present value to a change in the following project variables: ● Sales volume Sales price Variable cost and discuss he use of sensitivity analysis as a way of evaluating project risk. d. Upon further investigation it is found that there is a significant chance that t expected sales volume of $20,000 units per year will not be achieved. The sa manager of Umunat suggests tgat sales volumes could depend on expect economic situations that could be assigned the following probabilities:

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
Section: Chapter Questions
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Question 2
Umunat is considering investing $50,000 in a new machine with an expected life of 5 years.
The machine will have no scrap value at the end of 5 years. It is expected that 20,000 units
will be sold each year at a selling price of $3.00 per unit. Variable production costs are
expected to be $10,000 per year. Umunat uses a discount rate of 12% for investment
appraisal purposes and expects investment projects to recover their initial investment within
2 years.
Required:
●
a.
b.
C.
Explain why risk and uncertainty should be considered in the investment appraisal
process.
Calculate and comment on the payback period of the project.
Evaluate the sensitivity of the project's net present value to a change in the
following project variables:
Sales volume
Sales price
Variable cost
UNIVE
and discuss he use of sensitivity analysis as a way of evaluating project risk.
d. Upon further investigation it is found that there is a significant chance that the
expected sales volume of $20,000 units per year will not be achieved. The sales
manager of Umunat suggests tgat sales volumes could depend on expected
economic situations that could be assigned the following probabilities:
Economic situation
Probability
Annual sales in units
Poor
0.3
17,500
Normal
0.6
20,000
Good
0.1
22,500
Calculate and comment on the expected net present value of the project.
Transcribed Image Text:Question 2 Umunat is considering investing $50,000 in a new machine with an expected life of 5 years. The machine will have no scrap value at the end of 5 years. It is expected that 20,000 units will be sold each year at a selling price of $3.00 per unit. Variable production costs are expected to be $10,000 per year. Umunat uses a discount rate of 12% for investment appraisal purposes and expects investment projects to recover their initial investment within 2 years. Required: ● a. b. C. Explain why risk and uncertainty should be considered in the investment appraisal process. Calculate and comment on the payback period of the project. Evaluate the sensitivity of the project's net present value to a change in the following project variables: Sales volume Sales price Variable cost UNIVE and discuss he use of sensitivity analysis as a way of evaluating project risk. d. Upon further investigation it is found that there is a significant chance that the expected sales volume of $20,000 units per year will not be achieved. The sales manager of Umunat suggests tgat sales volumes could depend on expected economic situations that could be assigned the following probabilities: Economic situation Probability Annual sales in units Poor 0.3 17,500 Normal 0.6 20,000 Good 0.1 22,500 Calculate and comment on the expected net present value of the project.
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