To write an exponential model by hand without Excel we need to know two things: the yearly growth or decay rate and the starting value.   Look on the given website under the "Growth Rate" (see photo)  heading to find the current growth rate of the world's population.  Note that this is the growth rate r, and you will need to convert it from a percentage to a decimal before you use it in your model. Since the population in the year 1800 was just under 1 billion, use 1 as your starting population (in billions) in 1800. A by-hand exponential model for the world population would be P(t)= _____ ( _____ + ______ ) _____   where t is years since 1800 and P is the population in billions.

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To write an exponential model by hand without Excel we need to know two things: the yearly growth or decay rate and the starting value.  

Look on the given website under the "Growth Rate" (see photo)  heading to find the current growth rate of the world's population.  Note that this is the growth rate r, and you will need to convert it from a percentage to a decimal before you use it in your model.

Since the population in the year 1800 was just under 1 billion, use 1 as your starting population (in billions) in 1800.

A by-hand exponential model for the world population would be

P(t)= _____ ( _____ + ______ ) _____   where t is years since 1800 and P is the population in billions.

 

 

Growth Rate
Yearly Population Growth Rate (%)
Yearly Growth Rate (%)
2.2
2.0
back to top ↑
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
1951
1955
1959
Population in the world is currently (2020) growing at a rate of around 1.05% per year (down from 1.08% in 2019, 1.10% in 2018, and 1.12% in 2017).
1963
1967
1971
The current average population increase is estimated at 81 million people per year.
1975
1979
1983
Annual growth rate reached its peak in the late 1960s, when it was at around 2%. The rate of increase has nearly halved since then, and will continue
1987
1991
Yearly Growth Rate (%)
1995
to decline in the coming years.
1999
2003
2007
2011
World population will therefore continue to grow in the 21st century, but at a much slower rate compared to the recent past. World population has
2015
2019
doubled (100% increase) in 40 years from 1959 (3 billion) to 1999 (6 billion). It is now estimated that it will take another nearly 40 years to increase by
another 50% to become 9 billion by 2037.
The latest world population projections indicate that world population will reach 10 billion persons in the year 2057.
Transcribed Image Text:Growth Rate Yearly Population Growth Rate (%) Yearly Growth Rate (%) 2.2 2.0 back to top ↑ 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 1951 1955 1959 Population in the world is currently (2020) growing at a rate of around 1.05% per year (down from 1.08% in 2019, 1.10% in 2018, and 1.12% in 2017). 1963 1967 1971 The current average population increase is estimated at 81 million people per year. 1975 1979 1983 Annual growth rate reached its peak in the late 1960s, when it was at around 2%. The rate of increase has nearly halved since then, and will continue 1987 1991 Yearly Growth Rate (%) 1995 to decline in the coming years. 1999 2003 2007 2011 World population will therefore continue to grow in the 21st century, but at a much slower rate compared to the recent past. World population has 2015 2019 doubled (100% increase) in 40 years from 1959 (3 billion) to 1999 (6 billion). It is now estimated that it will take another nearly 40 years to increase by another 50% to become 9 billion by 2037. The latest world population projections indicate that world population will reach 10 billion persons in the year 2057.
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