To explain why the chance of a woman get-ting breast cancer in the next year goes up each year, while the chance of a woman getting breast cancer in her lifetime goesdown, Ruma Falk made the following analogy. Suppose youare looking for a letter that you may have lost. You have 8drawers in your desk. There is a probability of 0.1 that the letteris in any one of the 8 drawers and a probability of 0.2 that theletter is not in any of the drawers. Source: Chance News.a. What is the probability that the letter is in drawer 1? b. Given that the letter is not in drawer 1, what is the prob-ability that the letter is in drawer 2? c. Given that the letter is not in drawer 1 or 2, what is theprobability that the letter is in drawer 3? d. Given that the letter is not in drawers 1–7, what is the prob-ability that the letter is in drawer 8? e. Based on your answers to parts a–d, what is happening tothe probability that the letter is in the next drawer?f. What is the probability that the letter is in some drawer? g. Given that the letter is not in drawer 1, what is the prob-ability that the letter is in some drawer? h. Given that the letter is not in drawer 1 or 2, what is theprobability that the letter is in some drawer? i. Given that the letter is not in drawers 1–7, what is the prob-ability that the letter is in some drawer? j. Based on your answers to parts f–i, what is happening tothe probability that the letter is in some drawer?

Holt Mcdougal Larson Pre-algebra: Student Edition 2012
1st Edition
ISBN:9780547587776
Author:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Publisher:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Chapter11: Data Analysis And Probability
Section11.8: Probabilities Of Disjoint And Overlapping Events
Problem 2C
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To explain why the chance of a woman get-
ting breast cancer in the next year goes up each year, while the

chance of a woman getting breast cancer in her lifetime goes
down, Ruma Falk made the following analogy. Suppose you
are looking for a letter that you may have lost. You have 8
drawers in your desk. There is a probability of 0.1 that the letter
is in any one of the 8 drawers and a probability of 0.2 that the
letter is not in any of the drawers. Source: Chance News.
a. What is the probability that the letter is in drawer 1?

b. Given that the letter is not in drawer 1, what is the prob-
ability that the letter is in drawer 2?

c. Given that the letter is not in drawer 1 or 2, what is the
probability that the letter is in drawer 3?

d. Given that the letter is not in drawers 1–7, what is the prob-
ability that the letter is in drawer 8?

e. Based on your answers to parts a–d, what is happening to
the probability that the letter is in the next drawer?
f. What is the probability that the letter is in some drawer?

g. Given that the letter is not in drawer 1, what is the prob-
ability that the letter is in some drawer?

h. Given that the letter is not in drawer 1 or 2, what is the
probability that the letter is in some drawer?

i. Given that the letter is not in drawers 1–7, what is the prob-
ability that the letter is in some drawer?

j. Based on your answers to parts f–i, what is happening to
the probability that the letter is in some drawer?

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