To create a delta-neutral portfolio, the SIT fund has sold 10,000 put options on Epsilon stock with a strike price of $80 when the shares were trading at $100. The risk manager from SIT uses the Black-Scholes model to value all its option exposures. The current price of the shares is $90. The annualized standard deviation of Epsilon stock returns is 40% and the option expires in six months. If the risk-free rate is 2%, approximately, what is the likelihood that this option will be exercised? (a) 0.7975 (b) 0.6219 (c) 0.3781 (d) 0.2025

Essentials Of Investments
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ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
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Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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To create a delta-neutral portfolio, the SIT fund has sold 10,000 put options on Epsilon stock with

a strike price of $80 when the shares were trading at $100. The risk manager from SIT uses the

Black-Scholes model to value all its option exposures. The current price of the shares is $90. The

annualized standard deviation of Epsilon stock returns is 40% and the option expires in six months.

If the risk-free rate is 2%, approximately, what is the likelihood that this option will be exercised?

(a) 0.7975

(b) 0.6219

(c) 0.3781

(d) 0.2025

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