Tim Brooks is a fund manager at Liberty Financial Advisers' clients and arranges a presentation for his clients at which the guest presenter is Stephen Davis, an economist at the local university who frequently provides economic commentary for national media outlets. During his presentation, Davis states that it is likely the United States will enter a recession next year. He recommends that the clients shift their assets into investment grade bonds and noncyclical stocks. . He states that he has been successful in predicting recessions over the past 15 years and is certain of his forecasts. He states further that the only time he has been wrong in predicting the business cycle is when Congress unexpectedly increased spending beyond that expected. He states that if that had not happened, his prediction of a mild recession would have been correct, instead of the mild expansion that actually occurred. Later that evening at dinner, Brooks and Davis discuss the day's events. Commenting on investment strategies, Davis states that he focuses on growth stocks with 6-quarter earnings growth and monitors his portfolio on a quarterly basis. Davis also states that when the short-term moving average rises above the long-term moving average, this signals an opportune time to trade. Name any two possible behavioural biases that could be argued to describe Davis’ approach to investing.
Tim Brooks is a fund manager at Liberty Financial Advisers' clients and arranges a presentation for his clients at which the guest presenter is Stephen Davis, an economist at the local university who frequently provides economic commentary for national media outlets. During his presentation, Davis states that it is likely the United States will enter a recession next year. He recommends that the clients shift their assets into investment grade bonds and noncyclical stocks. . He states that he has been successful in predicting recessions over the past 15 years and is certain of his
Name any two possible behavioural biases that could be argued to describe Davis’ approach to investing.
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