This question refers to an example in the book Production/Operations Management by Willam J. Stevenson. The example involves a capacity-planning problem in which a compeny must choose to bulld a small, medium, or large production facility. The payoff obtained will depend on whether future demand is low, moderate, or high, and the payoffs are as glven in the following table: Alternatives Deall tacility Mediun facllity Large taeility Ponslble Puture Donand Moderate 911 Low 911 High 11 6 14 *Present value in $ millions. Suppose that the company assigns prior probabilities of 3, 5, and 2 to low, moderate, and high demands, respectively. (a) Find the expected monetary value for each alternative (amall, medium, and large) (Round your answers to 1 decimal place. Enter your answers In millons.) Maximum payoff for each altérnative: EMVISmal) EMVIMedium) EMVILarge) M M M (b) Whet is the best alternative if we use the expected monetary value criterion? Dest aernative

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This question refers to an example in the book Production/Operations Management by Willam J. Stevenson. The example Involves a
capacity-planning problem in which a company must choose to bulld a small, medium, or large production facility. The payoff obtained
will depend on whether future demand is low, moderate, or high, and the payoffs are as glven in the following table:
Alternatives
Small tacility
Medium facilsty
Large tacility
Ponsible Puture Denand
High
S11
Low
Moderate
06
-$46
14
*Present value in $ millions.
Suppose that the company assigns prior probabilities of 3, 5, and 2 to low, moderate, and high demands, respectively.
(a) Find the expected monetary value for each alternative (small, medium, and large). (Round your answers to 1 decimal place. Enter
your answers In milons.)
Maximum payoff for each alternative:
EMV(Smal)
EMVIMedium)
EMVILarge)
M
(b) What is the best alternative if we use the expected monetary value criterion?
Best alternative
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Transcribed Image Text:This question refers to an example in the book Production/Operations Management by Willam J. Stevenson. The example Involves a capacity-planning problem in which a company must choose to bulld a small, medium, or large production facility. The payoff obtained will depend on whether future demand is low, moderate, or high, and the payoffs are as glven in the following table: Alternatives Small tacility Medium facilsty Large tacility Ponsible Puture Denand High S11 Low Moderate 06 -$46 14 *Present value in $ millions. Suppose that the company assigns prior probabilities of 3, 5, and 2 to low, moderate, and high demands, respectively. (a) Find the expected monetary value for each alternative (small, medium, and large). (Round your answers to 1 decimal place. Enter your answers In milons.) Maximum payoff for each alternative: EMV(Smal) EMVIMedium) EMVILarge) M (b) What is the best alternative if we use the expected monetary value criterion? Best alternative < Prev 19 of 20 Next>
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