Things are classified as type A, type B, type C, or type D. 22% are type A. 47% are type B. 9% are type C, and 22% are type D. 68% of type A things are special. 43% of type B things are special. 88% of type C things are special. 55% of type D things are special. a.) Given that a thing is special, what is the probability that it is type

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Things are classified as type A, type B, type C, or type D. 22% are type A. 47% are type B. 9% are type C, and 22% are type D. 68% of type A things are special. 43% of type B things are special. 88% of type C things are special. 55% of type D things are special.

a.) Given that a thing is special, what is the probability that it is type C?

b.) Given that a thing is not special, what is the probability that it is type A?

c.) Given that a thing is type A or type D, what is the probability that it is special?

Expert Solution
Step 1

Given that,

P(A)=22%=0.22

P(B)=47%=0.47

P(C)=9%=0.09

P(D)=22%=0.22

P(special|A)=68%=0.68

P(special|B)=43%=0.43

P(special|C)=88%=0.88

P(special|D)=55%=0.55

a)

Given that a thing is special, the probability that it is type C is,

P(C|special)=P(soecial|C)*P(C)P(soecial|A)*P(A)+P(soecial|B)*P(B)+P(soecial|C)*P(C)+P(soecial|D)*P(D)                      =(0.88*0.09)(0.22*0.68)+(0.47*0.43)+(0.88*0.09)+(0.55*0.22)                     =0.1435

 

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