There's a glitch in ChatRoulette, and it matches you with a completely random person, despite your request to be matched with someone of a particular gender. Suppose that 70% of ChatRoulette participants are men (30% are women); 80% of participants are bat-shit crazy (20% are sane); and the proportion of crazies is the same regardless of gender. What is the probability that your next match is a sane woman?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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There's a glitch in ChatRoulette, and it matches you with a completely random person, despite your request to be matched with someone of a particular gender. Suppose that 70% of ChatRoulette participants are men (30% are women); 80% of participants are bat-shit crazy (20% are sane); and the proportion of crazies is the same regardless of gender.

What is the probability that your next match is a sane woman?

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Step 1

Given:

70% of ChatRoulette participants are men.

30% of ChatRoulette participants are women.

80% of participants are bat-shit crazy.

20% of participants are sane.

 

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