There is a 7% probability of a major earthquake in Japan this year. If a major earthquake does occur, the probability of another major earthquake next year falls to 5%. However, if a major earthquake does not occur this year, the probability of a major earthquake next quake rises to 9%. What probability there will be exactly one major earthquake in the next two years

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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There is a 7% probability of a major earthquake in Japan this year. If a major earthquake does occur, the probability of another major earthquake next year falls to 5%.

However, if a major earthquake does not occur this year, the probability of a major earthquake next quake rises to 9%.

What probability there will be exactly one major earthquake in the next two years?

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