The Victory Plus Mutual Fund of growth stocks has had the following average monthly price for the past 10 months: Month Fund Price 1 62.7 2 63.9 3 68.0 4 66.4 5 67.2 6 65.8 7 68.2 8 69.3 9 67.2 10 70.1 Compute the forecast for Month 11 using the exponentially smoothed forecast with α=.40, Compute the forecast for Month 11 using the adjusted exponential smoothing forecast with α=.40and β=.30, and Compute the forecast for Month 11 using the linear trend line forecast. (Compute a and b by constructing columns xy and x^2) Compare the accuracy of the three forecasts, using cumulative error and MAD, and indicate which forecast appears to be most accurate.
The Victory Plus Mutual Fund of growth stocks has had the following average monthly price for the past 10 months: Month Fund Price 1 62.7 2 63.9 3 68.0 4 66.4 5 67.2 6 65.8 7 68.2 8 69.3 9 67.2 10 70.1 Compute the forecast for Month 11 using the exponentially smoothed forecast with α=.40, Compute the forecast for Month 11 using the adjusted exponential smoothing forecast with α=.40and β=.30, and Compute the forecast for Month 11 using the linear trend line forecast. (Compute a and b by constructing columns xy and x^2) Compare the accuracy of the three forecasts, using cumulative error and MAD, and indicate which forecast appears to be most accurate.
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...
Related questions
Question
The Victory Plus Mutual Fund of growth stocks has had the following average monthly price for the past 10 months:
Month |
Fund Price |
1 |
62.7 |
2 |
63.9 |
3 |
68.0 |
4 |
66.4 |
5 |
67.2 |
6 |
65.8 |
7 |
68.2 |
8 |
69.3 |
9 |
67.2 |
10 |
70.1 |
- Compute the
forecast for Month 11 using the exponentially smoothed forecast with α=.40, - Compute the forecast for Month 11 using the adjusted exponential smoothing forecast with α=.40and β=.30, and
- Compute the forecast for Month 11 using the linear trend line forecast. (Compute a and b by constructing columns xy and x^2)
- Compare the accuracy of the three forecasts, using cumulative error and MAD, and indicate which forecast appears to be most accurate.
Expert Solution
This question has been solved!
Explore an expertly crafted, step-by-step solution for a thorough understanding of key concepts.
This is a popular solution!
Trending now
This is a popular solution!
Step by step
Solved in 4 steps with 9 images
Recommended textbooks for you
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781337406659
Author:
WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:
Cengage,
Operations Management
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781259667473
Author:
William J Stevenson
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill Education
Operations and Supply Chain Management (Mcgraw-hi…
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781259666100
Author:
F. Robert Jacobs, Richard B Chase
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill Education
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781337406659
Author:
WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:
Cengage,
Operations Management
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781259667473
Author:
William J Stevenson
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill Education
Operations and Supply Chain Management (Mcgraw-hi…
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781259666100
Author:
F. Robert Jacobs, Richard B Chase
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill Education
Purchasing and Supply Chain Management
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781285869681
Author:
Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. Patterson
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Production and Operations Analysis, Seventh Editi…
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781478623069
Author:
Steven Nahmias, Tava Lennon Olsen
Publisher:
Waveland Press, Inc.