The table below shows the parameters for four multiple linear regression bridge deterioration models. The full model has age as continuous independent variable, traffic (Average Daily Traffic (ADT)) and bridge design as categorical variables. The bridge design is expressed as codes “H’ or “HS” for a single-unit truck and a tractor pulling a semitrailer respectively. The numeric suffix represents the gross weight in tons for H truck or weight on the first two axle sets of the HS truck. For example, H_10 denotes a truck with a gross work of 10 tons. The table also contains the following model validation indicators: adjusted r-squared, Akaike’s Information Criteria (AIC), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC). Write the multiple regression equation for each of the four models and comment on the accuracy of prediction of bridge deterioration of each model.

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The table below shows the parameters for four multiple linear regression bridge deterioration models. The full model has age as continuous independent variable, traffic (Average Daily Traffic (ADT)) and bridge design as categorical variables. The bridge design is expressed as codes “H’ or “HS” for a single-unit truck and a tractor pulling a semitrailer respectively. The numeric suffix represents the gross weight in tons for H truck or weight on the first two axle sets of the HS truck. For example, H_10 denotes a truck with a gross work of 10 tons. The table also contains the following model validation indicators: adjusted r-squared, Akaike’s Information Criteria (AIC), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC).

Write the multiple regression equation for each of the four models and comment on the accuracy of prediction of bridge deterioration of each model.

Deck Model
N
Adjusted
R-squared
AIC
MSE
BIC
Intercept
Age
Age²
Age³
ADT<-1000
ADT<-5000
ADT<=10000
ADT>10000
H_10
H_15
H_20
HS 15
HS_20
HS_20P
HS_25
Polynomial
model with data
filtering
20643
0.3258
15573
2.13
15575
8.2709
-0.08254
0.00097214
-0.0000053
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Polynomial
model without
data filtering
63439
0.2686
38767
1.84232
38769
8.19543
-0.095
0.00123
-0.00000613
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Full model with
data filtering
20643
0.3561
14637
2.03079
14639
7.85967
-0.09026
0.00128
-0.00000723
-0.36832
-0.43792
-0.64814
0.68265
0.68574
0.62199
0.90066
0.84992
0.74399
Full model
without data
filtering
63439
0.2967
36284
1.7717
36286
8.0987
-0.10561
0.00148
-0.00000754
-0.27658
-0.44108
-0.44701
0.47337
0.45804
0.45024
0.83339
0.51066
0.35579
Note: "N/A" indicate that the corresponding variables are not considered in the model; "-"indicate that the
corresponding variable is a reference variable for the categorical variable; all independent variables are
significant at 99% of confidence.
Transcribed Image Text:Deck Model N Adjusted R-squared AIC MSE BIC Intercept Age Age² Age³ ADT<-1000 ADT<-5000 ADT<=10000 ADT>10000 H_10 H_15 H_20 HS 15 HS_20 HS_20P HS_25 Polynomial model with data filtering 20643 0.3258 15573 2.13 15575 8.2709 -0.08254 0.00097214 -0.0000053 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Polynomial model without data filtering 63439 0.2686 38767 1.84232 38769 8.19543 -0.095 0.00123 -0.00000613 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Full model with data filtering 20643 0.3561 14637 2.03079 14639 7.85967 -0.09026 0.00128 -0.00000723 -0.36832 -0.43792 -0.64814 0.68265 0.68574 0.62199 0.90066 0.84992 0.74399 Full model without data filtering 63439 0.2967 36284 1.7717 36286 8.0987 -0.10561 0.00148 -0.00000754 -0.27658 -0.44108 -0.44701 0.47337 0.45804 0.45024 0.83339 0.51066 0.35579 Note: "N/A" indicate that the corresponding variables are not considered in the model; "-"indicate that the corresponding variable is a reference variable for the categorical variable; all independent variables are significant at 99% of confidence.
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