The Salk vaccine against polio was tested in 1954 in a carefully designed field experiment. Approximately, 400,000 children took part in this experiment. Using a randomization procedure, the children were randomly divided into 2 groups of equal size, a treatment group, and a control group. The vaccine was given only to the children in the treatment group; the control group children received placebo injections. The children did not know which of the two groups they had been placed into. The diagnosticians also lacked this information. 57 children in the treatment group went on to contract polio, while 142 children in the control group contracted the illness. How likely would such a difference in outcomes be when the assignment to the treatment or control group had absolutely no effect on the outcomes?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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The Salk vaccine against polio was tested in 1954 in a carefully designed field experiment. Approximately, 400,000 children took part in this experiment. Using a randomization procedure, the children were randomly divided into 2 groups of equal size, a treatment group, and a control group. The vaccine was given only to the children in the treatment group; the control group children received placebo injections. The children did not know which of the two groups they had been placed into. The diagnosticians also lacked this information. 57 children in the treatment group went on to contract polio, while 142 children in the control group contracted the illness. How likely would such a difference in outcomes be when the assignment to the treatment or control group had absolutely no effect on the outcomes?      

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