The pure expectations theory, or the expectations hypothesis, asserts that long-term interest rates can be used to estimate future short-term interest rates. Based on the pure expectations theory, is the following statement true or false? The pure expectations theory assumes that investors do not consider long-term bonds to be riskier than short-term bonds. True False The yield on a one-year Treasury security is 4.6900%, and the two-year Treasury security has a 6.3315% yield. Assuming that the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the market’s estimate of the one-year Treasury rate one year from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.) 10.1585% 7.9988% 6.799% 9.1186% Recall that on a one-year Treasury security the yield is 4.6900% and 6.3315% on a two-year Treasury security. Suppose the one-year security does not have a maturity risk premium, but the two-year security does and it is 0.5%. What is the market’s estimate of the one-year Treasury rate one year from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.) 8.8716% 6.9855% 7.9635% 5.9377% Suppose the yield on a two-year Treasury security is 5.83%, and the yield on a five-year Treasury security is 6.20%. Assuming that the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the market’s estimate of the three-year Treasury rate two years from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.) 6.53% 6.45% 5.46% 6.61%
The pure expectations theory, or the expectations hypothesis, asserts that long-term interest rates can be used to estimate future short-term interest rates. Based on the pure expectations theory, is the following statement true or false? The pure expectations theory assumes that investors do not consider long-term bonds to be riskier than short-term bonds. True False The yield on a one-year Treasury security is 4.6900%, and the two-year Treasury security has a 6.3315% yield. Assuming that the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the market’s estimate of the one-year Treasury rate one year from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.) 10.1585% 7.9988% 6.799% 9.1186% Recall that on a one-year Treasury security the yield is 4.6900% and 6.3315% on a two-year Treasury security. Suppose the one-year security does not have a maturity risk premium, but the two-year security does and it is 0.5%. What is the market’s estimate of the one-year Treasury rate one year from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.) 8.8716% 6.9855% 7.9635% 5.9377% Suppose the yield on a two-year Treasury security is 5.83%, and the yield on a five-year Treasury security is 6.20%. Assuming that the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the market’s estimate of the three-year Treasury rate two years from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.) 6.53% 6.45% 5.46% 6.61%
Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1PS
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6. Pure expectations theory
The pure expectations theory, or the expectations hypothesis, asserts that long-term interest rates can be used to estimate future short-term interest rates.
Based on the pure expectations theory, is the following statement true or false?
The pure expectations theory assumes that investors do not consider long-term bonds to be riskier than short-term bonds.
True
False
The yield on a one-year Treasury security is 4.6900%, and the two-year Treasury security has a 6.3315% yield. Assuming that the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the market’s estimate of the one-year Treasury rate one year from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.)
10.1585%
7.9988%
6.799%
9.1186%
Recall that on a one-year Treasury security the yield is 4.6900% and 6.3315% on a two-year Treasury security. Suppose the one-year security does not have a maturity risk premium, but the two-year security does and it is 0.5%. What is the market’s estimate of the one-year Treasury rate one year from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.)
8.8716%
6.9855%
7.9635%
5.9377%
Suppose the yield on a two-year Treasury security is 5.83%, and the yield on a five-year Treasury security is 6.20%. Assuming that the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the market’s estimate of the three-year Treasury rate two years from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.)
6.53%
6.45%
5.46%
6.61%
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Follow-up Questions
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Follow-up Question
The yield on a one-year Treasury security is 4.6900%, and the two-year Treasury security has a 6.3315% yield. Assuming that the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the market’s estimate of the one-year Treasury rate one year from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.)
10.1585%
7.9988%
6.799%
9.1186%
Recall that on a one-year Treasury security the yield is 4.6900% and 6.3315% on a two-year Treasury security. Suppose the one-year security does not have a maturity risk premium, but the two-year security does and it is 0.5%. What is the market’s estimate of the one-year Treasury rate one year from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.)
8.8716%
6.9855%
7.9635%
5.9377%
Suppose the yield on a two-year Treasury security is 5.83%, and the yield on a five-year Treasury security is 6.20%. Assuming that the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the market’s estimate of the three-year Treasury rate two years from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.)
6.53%
6.45%
5.46%
6.61%
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